Electoral College Prediction for as of January, 2012.

[RandySF]

Every month I will be making electoral college predictions based on where I think the presidential race is going and on the assumption Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee. As of the end of January, 2012, I predict that Barack Obama would win with 317 electoral votes to 221 for Mittens. I think that Romney will take IN, NC, NH and FL away from Obama. However, Obama would pick up AZ.

http://theelectoralvote.com/

[mdmc]

1. keep em coming

Hard to tell without a veep in place for mitt

[RZM]

2. I put it at 303-235 for Obama

Republicans get Florida, North Carolina, and Indiana. Arizona and New Hampshire vote the same way they did last time.

[dogknob]

3. It would be interesting to see projections that take the campaign's voter-suppression laws...

... into account.

Like GOP will win "this" state because x-number of people will be prevented from voting.

I don't have the research chops for this, but it would be great if someone did.

[Proud Public Servant]

4. Don't see an AZ pickup, and if O'Donnell's GOP veep

I don't see him keeping VA. Agree about losing IA, NC, NH, and FL.

So: Obama, 284-254

[blue_onyx]

5. Obama: 299 and Romney: 239

Obama loses IN, FL, NC, and NH this time.