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Animal Chin

(175 posts)
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:42 PM Apr 2013

How long until Suspect 1 and Suspect 2 are either caught or killed


11 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
less than 6 hours
0 (0%)
between 6 and 12 hours
1 (9%)
between 12 and 18 hours
1 (9%)
between 18 and 24 hours
3 (27%)
between 24 and 36 hours
2 (18%)
between 36 and 48 hours
0 (0%)
between 48 and 72 hours
0 (0%)
more than 72 hours
4 (36%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
How long until Suspect 1 and Suspect 2 are either caught or killed (Original Post) Animal Chin Apr 2013 OP
Not soon enough. nt geek tragedy Apr 2013 #1
Hopefully they're already watching them NightWatcher Apr 2013 #2
I hope you're right. I don't have that much optimism, though. gateley Apr 2013 #12
that is what I believe. n/t sammytko Apr 2013 #13
Before sunrise. TheCowsCameHome Apr 2013 #3
My feeling is that since a couple days has transpired, closeupready Apr 2013 #4
Are these suspects or persons of interest? hrmjustin Apr 2013 #5
Identified as suspects by the FBI less than an hour ago. nt Animal Chin Apr 2013 #7
I think they are considered possible suspects? Marrah_G Apr 2013 #9
FBI said "suspects" angrychair Apr 2013 #10
listed them as extremely dangerous MattBaggins Apr 2013 #32
48 and 72 Benton D Struckcheon Apr 2013 #6
Is it appropriate to speculate on suspects being killed? undeterred Apr 2013 #8
Some of these guys have a tendency not to be taken alive Animal Chin Apr 2013 #15
I wonder if they have photos of them all the way to the getaway car aint_no_life_nowhere Apr 2013 #11
Between 24-48 hours to identify. 48-72 hours for the FBI to confirm. avaistheone1 Apr 2013 #14
18-24 hrs. I think they're home with their parents. back in the basement. gateley Apr 2013 #16
Is there a prize for a correct answer? pintobean Apr 2013 #17
I don't think either man will be captured or killed anytime soon. LonePirate Apr 2013 #18
Nah, in that case they're traveling by car, Benton D Struckcheon Apr 2013 #21
Is there a substantial reward for their capture? SummerSnow Apr 2013 #19
They are either hidden or out of the country davidn3600 Apr 2013 #20
The world isn't big enough for them to hide. TheCowsCameHome Apr 2013 #23
Suspect 1 and suspect 2 should be caught Blue_In_AK Apr 2013 #22
In the end that's at least partially up to them. (nt) Posteritatis Apr 2013 #25
True. Blue_In_AK Apr 2013 #27
One point: these guys are young Benton D Struckcheon Apr 2013 #24
In Boston metro, there are probably >10,000 students who could make these bombs. FarCenter Apr 2013 #26
True, but it's not likely these were Boston college students. Benton D Struckcheon Apr 2013 #28
I'm not convinced about the network part FarCenter Apr 2013 #29
They're ad-hoc bombs, not standardized cruise missiles. (nt) Posteritatis Apr 2013 #30
Impossible to predict MattBaggins Apr 2013 #31
Post removed Post removed Apr 2013 #33
Looks like "between 6 and 12 hours" is a winner for Suspect 1 Animal Chin Apr 2013 #34
I'm one of the 3 who knew it would be by morning marions ghost Apr 2013 #37
This is not the fucking Hunger Games. You should delete this post. randome Apr 2013 #35
I do not know what the fucking Hunger Games are. Animal Chin Apr 2013 #36
Not wrong at all marions ghost Apr 2013 #38

gateley

(62,683 posts)
12. I hope you're right. I don't have that much optimism, though.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:48 PM
Apr 2013

I'd imagine it's pretty easy to disappear in a city like Boston.

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
4. My feeling is that since a couple days has transpired,
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:46 PM
Apr 2013

the suspects in question are likely to be well-hidden somewhere planned in advance. So it will likely take some time, but they will be caught.

Marrah_G

(28,581 posts)
9. I think they are considered possible suspects?
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:47 PM
Apr 2013

They saw one guy put his bag down and leave it at one of the blast sites.

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
6. 48 and 72
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:46 PM
Apr 2013

Enough time for someone to id one of them, and then some time to track them down. A little time for the usual bureaucracy. Just a little, since this is a big case.

Animal Chin

(175 posts)
15. Some of these guys have a tendency not to be taken alive
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:50 PM
Apr 2013

The amount of attention that is about to be put on these two is what inspired the poll. The only possible outcomes are:

1. apprehension
2. death
3. escape

Outcome 3 does not seem realistic.

aint_no_life_nowhere

(21,925 posts)
11. I wonder if they have photos of them all the way to the getaway car
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:48 PM
Apr 2013

There must be tons of other shots of these guys from private phones and cameras and store security cameras showing them after the ones we've now seen.

 

avaistheone1

(14,626 posts)
14. Between 24-48 hours to identify. 48-72 hours for the FBI to confirm.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:50 PM
Apr 2013

Last edited Fri Apr 19, 2013, 02:08 AM - Edit history (1)

Once they have the first, it will be relatively easy to identify the second suspect.

gateley

(62,683 posts)
16. 18-24 hrs. I think they're home with their parents. back in the basement.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:51 PM
Apr 2013

My sense is that they're just bored asshole kids, no political agenda, no organization ties, who thought they could get away with this.

LonePirate

(13,730 posts)
18. I don't think either man will be captured or killed anytime soon.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:51 PM
Apr 2013

It's been three days. I suspect the FBI has reviewed airport and Amtrak camera footage for Boston, New Haven and NYC and have come up empty so they are reaching out to the public. I think these guys are long gone and we're already looking at a cold case. I sure hope I'm wrong, though.

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
21. Nah, in that case they're traveling by car,
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 05:55 PM
Apr 2013

at or under the speed limit, with all systems working, license plates properly placed, all that stuff. Not going to repeat McVeigh's mistake.
This is a domestic terrorism case, 90% certain of that. They're not out of the country, unless they went to Canada.

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
24. One point: these guys are young
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 06:01 PM
Apr 2013

Watching Bloomberg, and Falkenrath, who has been excellent so far, made the point that as young as they appear to be, there must be a support network behind them. Given this was done at around the anniversary of both Waco and McVeigh, on Patriots Day, in Boston, on tax day, and the ATF is active in the investigation and was right from the start (they have no jurisdiction in foreign sourced bombs) likely domestic. That means the support network is domestic.
The FBI knows all of this, and you can be sure they're working the domestic militia movements and their fellow travelers hard.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
26. In Boston metro, there are probably >10,000 students who could make these bombs.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 06:18 PM
Apr 2013

Pressure cooker, homemade shrapnel, gunpowder, remote control car battery and control board.

Benton D Struckcheon

(2,347 posts)
28. True, but it's not likely these were Boston college students.
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 06:28 PM
Apr 2013

Far far more likely they were part of a domestic network who went to Boston specifically because it was Patriots Day there. Lexington and Concord.
90% on that. 10% on something else. Nothing is of course certain at this point; the timing, the age of these guys, where they chose to attack, point to domestic and far right. The bomb type points more to the Middle East, so I'd allocate 9 of the remaining 10% to that possibility. 1% other, which would be your scenario. In my opinion, not high probability.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
29. I'm not convinced about the network part
Thu Apr 18, 2013, 06:47 PM
Apr 2013

I was just using Boston as an example, but there are plenty of people in this age group with the ability to make these bombs.

Testing would be easier in other parts of the country, since a bang would be less noticable if you set one off under some sand in a gravel pit in a rural area.

If from another state, they probably traveled by car, paid cash for gas, etc. The certainly look like they could be domestic, but they could also be Middle Eastern or North African. White hat has fairly light skin, a big nose, and curly hair.

Response to Animal Chin (Original post)

Animal Chin

(175 posts)
34. Looks like "between 6 and 12 hours" is a winner for Suspect 1
Fri Apr 19, 2013, 09:26 AM
Apr 2013

and from news reports, it sounds like "between 12 and 18" will be the winner for Suspect 2.

Thanks for playing, and yes, I am an idiot (not pretending )

marions ghost

(19,841 posts)
37. I'm one of the 3 who knew it would be by morning
Fri Apr 19, 2013, 10:08 AM
Apr 2013

...correct for suspect number one anyway...

I also guessed they were brothers from the video.
I also guessed their region of origin.

But never guessed they have been in the US for ten years.
And I didn't want to guess they were Islamists, for obvious reasons.

I don't think it hurts to speculate. That's what everyone does. You want to make some sense out of the senseless. Normal reaction.

Animal Chin

(175 posts)
36. I do not know what the fucking Hunger Games are.
Fri Apr 19, 2013, 09:43 AM
Apr 2013

This is the top news story in the world right now.

Why is it wrong to speculate on how long until it ends?

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