For 2016, Hillary Clinton has commanding lead over Democrats, GOP race wide open

[applegrove]

For 2016, Hillary Clinton has commanding lead over Democrats, GOP race wide open

By Philip Rucker and Scott Clement at the Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/for-2016-hillary-clinton-has-commanding-lead-over-democrats-gop-race-wide-open/2014/01/29/188bb3f4-8904-11e3-833c-33098f9e5267_story.html?wpisrc=al_national

"SNIP.......................................




The new survey puts Christie in third place — with the support of 13 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents — behind Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) with 20 percent and former Florida governor Jeb Bush at 18 percent. The rest of the scattered pack includes Sens. Ted Cruz (Tex.), Rand Paul (Ky.) and Marco Rubio (Fla.), who are at 12, 11 and 10 percent, respectively.

Among strong backers of the tea party — who make up about one-fifth of the Republicans polled — Cruz has a big lead, with 28 percent, followed by Ryan, at 18 percent. But Cruz, an iconoclastic freshman senator who rose to prominence during last fall’s partial government shutdown, registers just 4 percent among those who oppose or have no opinion of the tea party.

Christie is weakest among the strong tea party set, winning 6 percent of that group, but he has the backing of 15 percent of other Republicans. Bush’s base of support comes from self-identified Republicans, while Ryan’s strength comes from white evangelical Protestants, young voters and less conservative wings of the party. Rubio does particularly well among Republicans with college degrees.

Christie has benefited from the perception that he has unique appeal among independents and some Democrats, a reputation the governor burnished with his 2013 reelection in his strongly Democratic state.



.......................................SNIP"

[Beacool]

1. Say goodnight, Gracie.

The new survey puts Christie in third place — with the support of 13 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents — behind Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) with 20 percent and former Florida governor Jeb Bush at 18 percent.

[Whisp]

2. a commanding lead over whoooooo?

she will fuck up again.

guaranteed.

[msongs]

3. gee maybe she can be the nominee of both parties so she doesn't have to choose :-) nt

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

4. That way should could be both the "Not as Bad" and "Worse than bad" candidate.

[Fumesucker]

5. I am intrigued by your ideas and wish to subscribe to your newsletter n/t

[joshcryer]

8. GOP will never be for LGBT or women.

So that's unlikely.

[solarhydrocan]

6. .

Hillary would look good on one of those horses

[Donald Ian Rankin]

7. Who was ahead in Jan 2006?

[joshcryer]

9. Dems wanted Clinton at 36%. A far cry from ... 73% now.

It is incredible how much the Democratic Party wants her.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/23245/clinton-giuliani-top-2008-presidential-nomination-polls.aspx

Note: this is about Democratic Primary more than the Presidency. The Gallup poll doesn't really run the gauntlet they just poll "Dem v. GOP." (It doesn't pit Giuliani against Clinton.)

Assuming a dark horse Dem candidate appears and drags Clintons numbers down and splits the vote, she still is likely to win. I hope we still have a primary though. I don't think the Party can run without a primary, without changing the platform.

[JI7]

10. there is no Obama this time around

[brooklynite]

11. Clinton continues to be as dominant as ever when it comes to the Democratic primary (PPP)

Clinton continues to be as dominant as ever when it comes to the Democratic primary. 67% want her to be the candidate to 7% each for Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, 2% each for Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo, and 1% each for Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O'Malley, Brian Schweitzer, and Mark Warner. Clinton continues to have the strong support of every Democratic constituency- she's over 60% with liberals, moderates, men, women, whites, African Americans, and Hispanics alike.

If Clinton sits it out Joe Biden is the favorite, getting 32% to 16% for Warren, and 7% each for Booker and Cuomo. And if Biden doesn't run either it's Warren 24%, Cuomo 13%, and Booker at 11% with no one else over 4%.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/01/huckabee-up-clinton-down.html