HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Guardian: Pentagon prepar...

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 09:57 PM

Guardian: Pentagon preparing for mass civil breakdown

Social science is being militarised to develop 'operational tools' to target peaceful activists and protest movements

Nafeez Ahmed Guardian.co.uk Thursday 12 June 2014


The Pentagon is funding social science research to model risks of "social contagions" that could damage US strategic interests. Photograph: Jason Reed/REUTERS

A US Department of Defense (DoD) research programme is funding universities to model the dynamics, risks and tipping points for large-scale civil unrest across the world, under the supervision of various US military agencies. The multi-million dollar programme is designed to develop immediate and long-term "warfighter-relevant insights" for senior officials and decision makers in "the defense policy community," and to inform policy implemented by "combatant commands."

Launched in 2008 the year of the global banking crisis the DoD 'Minerva Research Initiative' partners with universities "to improve DoD's basic understanding of the social, cultural, behavioral, and political forces that shape regions of the world of strategic importance to the US."

Among the projects awarded for the period 2014-2017 is a Cornell University-led study managed by the US Air Force Office of Scientific Research which aims to develop an empirical model "of the dynamics of social movement mobilisation and contagions." The project will determine "the critical mass (tipping point)" of social contagians by studying their "digital traces" in the cases of "the 2011 Egyptian revolution, the 2011 Russian Duma elections, the 2012 Nigerian fuel subsidy crisis and the 2013 Gazi park protests in Turkey."

Twitter posts and conversations will be examined "to identify individuals mobilised in a social contagion and when they become mobilised."...

full article: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/jun/12/pentagon-mass-civil-breakdown




12 replies, 1714 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Guardian: Pentagon preparing for mass civil breakdown (Original post)
nationalize the fed Jun 2014 OP
msongs Jun 2014 #1
cstanleytech Jun 2014 #2
elias49 Jun 2014 #3
LineNew Reply .
MohRokTah Jun 2014 #4
newthinking Jun 2014 #5
MadrasT Jun 2014 #6
HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #7
woo me with science Jun 2014 #10
drmeow Jun 2014 #8
nationalize the fed Jun 2014 #9
drmeow Jun 2014 #11
Waiting For Everyman Jun 2014 #12

Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 10:28 PM

1. maybe that should be preparing to CAUSE mass civil breakdown when the 1% has had enough nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 10:38 PM

2. Makes sense to try and and learn how detect a problem early so as to try and fix it

in a peaceful manner rather than wait until the situation deteriorates to the level where the military might be required to send in troops.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 10:40 PM

3. All part and parcel of the MIC and the intelligence apparatus in this country

 

including dirty shit by the CIA -
FBI infiltration of protest movements -
NSA stepping on the privacy of Americans..

This is not strictly for European or Asian consumption IMO. It works at home too.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 10:42 PM

4. .

 



Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 10:54 PM

5. Peace activists are considered basically terrorists who haven't yet acted. Imagine that...

Last year, the DoD's Minerva Initiative funded a project to determine 'Who Does Not Become a Terrorist, and Why?' which, however, conflates peaceful activists with "supporters of political violence" who are different from terrorists only in that they do not embark on "armed militancy" themselves. The project explicitly sets out to study non-violent activists:

"In every context we find many individuals who share the demographic, family, cultural, and/or socioeconomic background of those who decided to engage in terrorism, and yet refrained themselves from taking up armed militancy, even though they were sympathetic to the end goals of armed groups. The field of terrorism studies has not, until recently, attempted to look at this control group. This project is not about terrorists, but about supporters of political violence."

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 11:38 PM

6. Why don't they keep an eye on the fucking Tea Party?

Those are your full blown domestic terrorists, right there.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sun Jun 15, 2014, 12:36 AM

7. Thats what the NSA spy program is designed for.

 

Not to catch muslim terrorists, but to squash domestic protests and protect corporate power.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to HooptieWagon (Reply #7)

Sun Jun 15, 2014, 12:59 PM

10. +10000000



1) Total information awareness FOR PROFIT

and

2) A surveillance state to prevent resistance by those being exploited FOR PROFIT.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Sun Jun 15, 2014, 02:23 AM

8. I manage one of the Minerva funded projects

mentioned in the article. There is a lot of hyperbole, paranoia, and cherry-picking in this article. I know Erin Fitzgerald and I know the program officers. I've prepared and presented project briefings to the DoD. This article is not describing what we're studying accurately.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to drmeow (Reply #8)

Sun Jun 15, 2014, 03:03 AM

9. Maybe it would be a good idea to contact the author

and let him know he's full of "hyperbole, paranoia and cherry picking"
because his next article continues on with the same theme

Defence officials prepare to fight the poor, activists and minorities (and commies)
The self-defeating logic of militarised social science targets anti-capitalist 'extremists' in the new 'age of uncertainty'

Yesterday I wrote about the Pentagon's dubious role in funding social science research that could be applied to active military operations in the context of the increasing propensity for global systemic crises to challenge US interests. Several key research projects highlighted the extent to which US security agencies, assisted by civilian academic institutions, view entire populations particularly those involved in political activism as potential terror suspects who, therefore, deserve to be carefully monitored and studied.

It is not just the US where the effort to subordinate social science to the demands of state military ideology continues apace. In Britain, a key area where this is occurring is in the Research Councils UK (RCUK) Global Uncertainties programme, recently rebranded as the 'Partnership for Conflict, Crime and Security Research.'

The programme is led by the Economics and Social Research Council (ESRC), and supported by the Arts and Humanities Research Council (AHRC) and the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC). But it is not an independent exercise.

Rather it is explicitly designed to "help governments, businesses and societies to better predict, detect, prevent and mitigate threats to society" in the context of" environmental change and diminishing natural recourses, food security, demographic change, poverty, inequality and poor governance, new and old conflicts, natural disasters and pandemics, expansion of digital technologies, economic downturn and other important global developments."...more>
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/jun/13/uk-defence-fight-poor-activists-minorities-marxists-commies


website: http://www.nafeezahmed.com/p/contact.html
Email: nafeez.ahmed@iprd.org.uk
http://www.facebook.com/DrNafeezAhmed
http://www.twitter.com/nafeezahmed

Dr Nafeez Ahmed is a bestselling author, investigative journalist and international security scholar. He is executive director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development, and author of A User's Guide to the Crisis of Civilization among other books. He writes for the Guardian on the geopolitics of environmental, energy and economic crises on his Earth insight blog

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Reply #9)

Sun Jun 15, 2014, 11:57 PM

11. Oh, he KNOWS that he's

engaging in hyperbole, paranoia and cherry picking - either that or he's really not a very good investigative journalist. But thanks so much for the suggestion.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nationalize the fed (Original post)

Mon Jun 16, 2014, 02:37 AM

12. The saving grace here is that

they'll be just as incompetent and clueless at this, as they are at anything else.

Failure is what they do best: both the militarists and their mercenary academics.

They won't be able to predict jack-shit, is my guess. Monitor, yes (up to a point); understand, no.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread