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Wed Nov 5, 2014, 01:59 PM

Anyone doing the elecoral math for 2016?

How many seats Dems have to defend as opposed to how many repukes have to defend?

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Reply Anyone doing the elecoral math for 2016? (Original post)
Aristus Nov 2014 OP
Geoff R. Casavant Nov 2014 #1
Dawson Leery Nov 2014 #2
Proud Public Servant Nov 2014 #3
Rozlee Nov 2014 #4
JCMach1 Nov 2014 #8
Proud Public Servant Nov 2014 #9
JCMach1 Nov 2014 #5
Dawson Leery Nov 2014 #7
JCMach1 Nov 2014 #6

Response to Aristus (Original post)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:03 PM

1. I don't know the exact number

But remember the ones up for re-election are the same ones that got elected in the first GOP wave of 2010 -- the Tea Party darlings.

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Response to Aristus (Original post)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:07 PM

2. Cook and Sabato believe Democrats will have the Senate again after 2016.

R24 vs D10 up for re-election.

Only Harry Reid's seat looks competitive.

Democrats need to try to remove Richard Burr, John McCain, and Marco Rubio.

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Response to Aristus (Original post)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:12 PM

3. It's roughly the reverse of this year

34 seats in play, 24 held by the GOP. Six are 2010 wave seats in Blue or swing states: FL, IL, NH, OH, PA, WI. We could also catch a break if Grassley retires in IA. We're most vulnerable in NV and CO, where we have to defend Reid and Bennett, both of whom won in squeakers last time.

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Response to Proud Public Servant (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:27 PM

4. Reid won because he was pitted against batshit crazy Sharron Angle.

Who compared with the rank and file teabaggers today, barely registers yellow on the batshit crazy meter. She only said that you should make lemonade out of lemons where pregnancy from rape was concerned. She didn't say the rape was a blessing or a gift from god or that some girls are so easy to rape.

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Response to Proud Public Servant (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:34 PM

8. Rubio will be in no danger in FL... unless he runs for Prez.

LOL

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Response to JCMach1 (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:39 PM

9. Yep, almost didn't include him

Just did so in the interest of completeness; I doubt he's going anywhere.

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Response to Aristus (Original post)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:29 PM

5. Really, really bad setup for Repugs in 2016 with a good candidate at the top we are probably back

to 55-45... even 56-44

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Response to JCMach1 (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:31 PM

7. Cook and Sabato have said as such.

Especially if the teanuts undermine everything making it impossible to get anything done.

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Response to Aristus (Original post)

Wed Nov 5, 2014, 02:31 PM

6. 10 D's and 24 R' Seats...

many in solid blue states...

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