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Quixote1818

(28,919 posts)
Thu Dec 18, 2014, 03:07 AM Dec 2014

2014 will be the hottest year on record

For those of us fixated on whether 2014 will be the hottest year on record, the results are in. At least, we know enough that we can make the call. According the global data from NOAA, 2014 will be the hottest year ever recorded.


I can make this pronouncement even before the end of the year because each month, I collect daily global average temperatures. So far, December is running about 0.5°C above the average. The climate and weather models predict that the next week will be about 0.75°C above average. This means, December will come in around 0.6°C above average. Are these daily values accurate? Well the last two months they have been within 0.05°C of the final official results.


What does this all mean? Well, when I combine December with the year-to-date as officially reported, I predict the annual temperature anomaly will be 0.674°C. This beats the prior record by 0.024°C. That is a big margin in terms of global temperatures.

For those of us who are not fixated on whether any individual year is a record but are more concerned with trends, this year is still important. Particularly because according to those who deny the basic physics and our understanding of climate change, this year wasn’t supposed to be particularly warm.


More:

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2014/dec/17/2014-will-be-the-hottest-year-on-record

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2014 will be the hottest year on record (Original Post) Quixote1818 Dec 2014 OP
Interesting Egnever Dec 2014 #1
Thanks for posting this. countryjake Dec 2014 #2
Very interesting, thanks for posting. R B Garr Dec 2014 #3
kick for the polar bears countryjake Dec 2014 #4
and permafrost countryjake Dec 2014 #7
Didn't seem all that hot. I remember years in the 80's when the summers closeupready Dec 2014 #5
Yeah, but only until 12/31/15, so quit complaining! 11 Bravo Dec 2014 #6

countryjake

(8,554 posts)
2. Thanks for posting this.
Thu Dec 18, 2014, 04:06 AM
Dec 2014

I just shared a link about all the broken records up here in Cascadia, last night over in the Weather Watchers group.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1232639

 

closeupready

(29,503 posts)
5. Didn't seem all that hot. I remember years in the 80's when the summers
Thu Dec 18, 2014, 02:34 PM
Dec 2014

were BLAZINGLY hot, day after day, no precipitation for weeks and weeks.

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