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Thu Dec 18, 2014, 03:07 AM

2014 will be the hottest year on record

For those of us fixated on whether 2014 will be the hottest year on record, the results are in. At least, we know enough that we can make the call. According the global data from NOAA, 2014 will be the hottest year ever recorded.


I can make this pronouncement even before the end of the year because each month, I collect daily global average temperatures. So far, December is running about 0.5C above the average. The climate and weather models predict that the next week will be about 0.75C above average. This means, December will come in around 0.6C above average. Are these daily values accurate? Well the last two months they have been within 0.05C of the final official results.


What does this all mean? Well, when I combine December with the year-to-date as officially reported, I predict the annual temperature anomaly will be 0.674C. This beats the prior record by 0.024C. That is a big margin in terms of global temperatures.

For those of us who are not fixated on whether any individual year is a record but are more concerned with trends, this year is still important. Particularly because according to those who deny the basic physics and our understanding of climate change, this year wasnt supposed to be particularly warm.


More:

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2014/dec/17/2014-will-be-the-hottest-year-on-record

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Reply 2014 will be the hottest year on record (Original post)
Quixote1818 Dec 2014 OP
Egnever Dec 2014 #1
countryjake Dec 2014 #2
R B Garr Dec 2014 #3
countryjake Dec 2014 #4
countryjake Dec 2014 #7
closeupready Dec 2014 #5
11 Bravo Dec 2014 #6

Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 03:51 AM

1. Interesting

 

Thanks for posting it.

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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 04:06 AM

2. Thanks for posting this.

I just shared a link about all the broken records up here in Cascadia, last night over in the Weather Watchers group.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1232639

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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 04:33 AM

3. Very interesting, thanks for posting.

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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 02:20 PM

4. kick for the polar bears

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Response to countryjake (Reply #4)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 05:42 PM

7. and permafrost

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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 02:34 PM

5. Didn't seem all that hot. I remember years in the 80's when the summers

 

were BLAZINGLY hot, day after day, no precipitation for weeks and weeks.

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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Thu Dec 18, 2014, 03:43 PM

6. Yeah, but only until 12/31/15, so quit complaining!

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