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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhy the email controversy probably hasn’t dented Hillary Clinton’s public image
The first polls taken since the news of Hillary Clintons email controversy broke are beginning to trickle in, and they arent likely to make Republicans particularly happy. According to the Pew Research Center, only 17 percent of people said they were following the story closely (though that included 34 percent of Republicans). Starved as we are for campaign news, we in Washington may have found it riveting, but voters werent nearly so interested.
And it doesnt seem to have affected how they think of her: A new Gallup poll, taken between last Monday and Wednesday (the story broke last Monday), shows Clintons approval rating at 50 percent, with 39 percent disapproving, not too different from what it was before. That +11 net positive is higher than any of the Republican candidates with the exception of Ben Carson (who comes in at 20-8 approval, for a net of +12).
The fact that shes so much better known than any of her potential Republican opponents highlights the difficulty of the task they face. When a candidate is new and unfamiliar, a negative story like this one can comprise a large part of what people know about them. For instance, what the average voter knows about Scott Walker is that he fights with unions (if they know even that). If we find out that hes running a dog-fighting ring, hed become the guy who fights with unions and runs a dog-fighting ring; the latter would loom very large in his public image. But even a real scandal about Hillary Clinton would be one of a hundred things voters know and think about her.
That isnt to say that opinions of Clinton cant change, because theyve changed before. Over the last twenty years, her favorability ratings have waxed and waned according to how much she was perceived as a partisan political figure. It was high during her quieter times as First Lady, dipped when she ran for Senate, rose when she was quietly doing legislative work, dipped again when she ran for president, rose when she was Secretary of State, and has now settled back in what we might think of as the partisan zone of around 50 percent. The vast majority of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents view her favorably, while the vast majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents dont. Any change will come only at the margins.
Right now, both Clinton and her detractors are probably thinking theres something unfair about this email story. Clinton probably thinks its been overblown, just like so many fake scandals shes suffered through before, while her opponents probably think the public isnt taking it as seriously as they should. There are ways in which they may both have a point.
Consider that when the story broke, many in the media justified the blanket coverage it received on the basis that it plays into a narrative in other words, before they could determine whether it had any merit, they would run with it because it dovetailed with stories of the past.
But in fact, theres another narrative at work. Its a narrative in which she or her husband get accused of something, it gets a lot of coverage, Republicans express outrage, and then in the end it turns out to be somewhere between unimportant and completely meaningless, both substantively and politically. The public is quite familiar with that narrative, too.
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/03/13/why-the-email-controversy-probably-hasnt-dented-hillary-clintons-public-image/?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Well, most folks.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)come 2016.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)I am quiet aware of the swiftboat tactics , just another attempt of RW convincing has fallen on deaf ears.
ffr
(22,668 posts)a giving, objective, intelligent, thoughtful public servant. If she were to walk by me I would applaud her for what she's done, I'd ask for her autograph and perhaps get my picture taken with her. And if I got all that, I'd proudly display copies of that picture in my office for all the Republis around here to see, because I know what I stand for and what she stands for. Same for President Bill Clinton, a back breaking, stay-up-all-night worrying about the economy and the safety of Americans kind of guy.