Study links Disneyland measles outbreak to low vaccination rates

[HuckleB]

http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-disneyland-measles-under-vaccination-20150316-story.html

"...

Using some simple math, the researchers show that the vaccination rate among people who were exposed to the measles during the outbreak was no higher than 86%, and it might have been as low as 50%.

...

In other words, the only way to explain how the measles spread from a single person at Disneyland to 142 people in seven states is that a substantial number of American parents have not had their children fully immunized with the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine.

“Clearly, MMR vaccination rates in many of the communities that have been affected by this outbreak fall well below the necessary threshold to sustain herd immunity, thus placing the greater population at risk as well,” the researchers concluded.

...

So why did the study authors go to all this trouble? In an outbreak involving a major tourist destination like Disneyland, there is no single state, county or even school district that can report the overall vaccination rate, the researchers wrote. As a result, mathematical modeling like this may give a clearer picture than any individual government agency.

..."

--------------------------------------


Yes, such studies are necessary.

[hobbit709]

1. Waiting for someone to claim the "scientific" study was wrong.

Because vaccines contain 'xxx' and are bad for you.

[HuckleB]

2. One of these folks probably would do so.

The Batty Bunch: https://www.facebook.com/TheQuestionist/photos/a.415654311825452.89470.415335941857289/865372653520280/?type=1&theater

[proverbialwisdom]

11. Not problematic despite the "mathematical modeling" not resembling the actual data:CDC Early Report?

Read all about it here: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm64e0213a1.htm
Reposted: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141040934

Oh, dear.

[HuckleB]

24. You got one!

Of course, it's DU's most obsessive anti-vaxer, but...

[LadyHawkAZ]

3. Study conclusively links water to wetness

A related study was able to demonstrate a link between fire and heat.

[HuckleB]

5. My favorite study links pizza to a full stomach.

[LadyHawkAZ]

6. I applied to be a test subject on that one

They blew me off with some cheesy excuse.

[HuckleB]

7. +1,000,000 ... 000

[Lancero]

4. And meanwhile the anti-vaxxer cry 'HOAX!!!'

Despite studies proving them to be safe we will still have some people who cry out that the results are bought by the the pharmaceutical industries because it makes them a lot of money. We still have people saying that they are responsible for a plethora of medical condtions, despite research that shows the opposite.

It's a fear of science, plain and simple. And this isn't the only group to be based on it.

[ScreamingMeemie]

22. The conspiracy theories abound.

[HuckleB]

28. They won't give up pushing fictions.

[KamaAina]

8. Where was this study done?

The Duh! Institute?

[HuckleB]

10. I believe it was CU.

Conspicuous University.

Yeah, I know I could do better, but I'm struggling today.

[PowerToThePeople]

9. Rec. Obvious is not obvious to everyone. n/t

[HuckleB]

14. Exactly. (eom)

[phantom power]

12. Amazing. Was there some competing theory?

Space aliens? Al Qaeda?

[geek tragedy]

13. our resident xenophobes blamed undocumented immigrants nt

[Coventina]

15. IIRC, "patient zero" was a foreign national, but don't recall the legal status.

But the only reason s/he caused an outbreak was due to low vaccination rates.

If everyone had been vaccinated, it would not have spread as it did.

[geek tragedy]

16. I'd be willing to bet that someone springing $100/person for a trip to Disneyland

was probably a foreign tourist and not a day laborer from Ciudad Juarez.

[Coventina]

17. No, again, I think (and again, I'm relying on my memory here) it was someone from the Philippines.

I assumed it was a tourist, but I honestly don't remember if the legal status of the patient was even mentioned in the article I read.

[HuckleB]

18. In the first paragraph of the article, it states that we do not know the "first patient."

Epidemiologists are still working on it.

[Coventina]

19. Disneyland measles cases genetically similar to Philippines outbreak

Found the article!!

CDC thinks it came from foreign tourist. Exact patient not specifically id'd but conclusion reached with the scientific evidence.

http://www.cnn.com/2015/02/19/health/disneyland-measles-philippines/

[HuckleB]

20. That's still only one possibility, which is why that hasn't been addressed since.

[Coventina]

21. What are the other possibilities that are being pursued? I'll admit, I haven't kept up with the

case.

But I would think that the CDC would be pretty sure of its findings before going public with them.

[HuckleB]

23. The point is that they are no longer going with that story, which may not have been valid.

That's why they are overtly saying they don't have a confirmation.

[Coventina]

25. Philippines measles strain, genotype B3, found in California patients

http://outbreaknewstoday.com/philippines-measles-strain-genotype-b3-found-in-california-patients-86538/


That has not changed.

They haven't ID'd the specific PERSON who brought it into the country, but that's where it came from.

It SPREAD because of large numbers of unvaccinated children, as this study proves.

Where do you get the information that they are no longer "going with" the story that it came from the Philippines? Because I can't find anything.

[still_one]

26. Whooping cough has also seen a resurgence in California due to kids

not getting vaccinated

[HuckleB]

27. Yup.