What - in your estimation - are the chances of a government shutdown and/or default?

[LongTomH]

A default would be the worst economic disaster since the Great Depression; it might even be worse. Interest rates for home loans, student loans, etc. would spike. Millions could lose their life savings and pensions.

The credibility of the United States would be destroyed.

A government shutdown would be bad enough, and seems absolutely assured, especially with Paul Ryan as Speaker of the House.

[yeoman6987]

1. The country will survive no matter what

They won't default for sure. The money is there for that. Shutting the government is happening after the veto today. Not sure why the president vetoed the budget. That would have stopped any shutdown right there.

[truebluegreen]

4. It wasn't "the budget", it was the defense bill

and apparently he vetoed it because he thought it was irresponsible BS re funding and Cuba/Guantanamo.

[yeoman6987]

5. Thanks.

[flamingdem]

12. Edit: It's about Gitmo

details not published yet.

[Agnosticsherbet]

2. At least one month, 90%.

[HassleCat]

3. Difficult to predict

There is a hard core of GOP conservatives and neocons and Tea Party types who have read only a dozen or so books, everything by Ayn Rand, and everything by Ann Coulter. They are not just willing to shut down the government, but eager to do so, champing at the bit. The smarter Republicans, the few who remain, are a little worried about today's Trey Gowdy circus, because they know how the voters are looking at it. They realize a shutdown would be throwing fuel on that fire. So, we may end up thanking Gowdy for scaring some of his fellow morons away from a shutdown. Imagine that! Trey Gowdy averts a shutdown.

[hollysmom]

6. but but Hilary coughed after 11 hours

that means she is on deaths door, so republicans can win!!!! They won today by making Hilary cough!!! didn't you see it???
We can see they lost today, but in republican eyes, they always win. fantasy world.

[HassleCat]

7. Yes! And her mouth moved when she spoke!

Did you see it? You saw it, right? It proves she is the devil! The DEVIL! We can't wait to see her elected, so we can impeach her. Oh, my god! I think I'm having an orgasm. Ahhh... BENGHAZI! BENGHAZI! Hand me my nitroglycerine, would you?

[hollysmom]

8. well, I missed the moat where they were ging to throw her to see if she floated

Floating = devil
sinking and dying = innocent

[winter is coming]

9. At the least, it will go down to the wire.

I'm expecting a shutdown, but a brief one.

[abelenkpe]

10. Won't happen nt

[La Lioness Priyanka]

11. high for a shutdown, we may fail to raise debt ceiling for a few days much like last time. nt