General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSaudi Arabia to run out of cash within 5 years.
How long can the Middle East survive cheap oil?
Matt Egan
If oil stays around $50 a barrel, most countries in the region will run out of cash in five years or less, warned a dire report from the International Monetary Fund this week. That includes OPEC leader Saudi Arabia as well as Oman and Bahrain.
Low oil prices will wipe out an estimated $360 billion from the region this year alone, the IMF said.
Huge budget surpluses are quickly swinging to massive deficits as oil prices have crashed to around $45 currently from over $100 last year. Many of these countries are being forced to tap into rainy day funds to weather the storm.
http://money.cnn.com/2015/10/25/investing/oil-prices-saudi-arabia-cash-opec-middle-east/index.html
Sounds like they need some republicans in charge. That way they can run out of money in 3 years!
onehandle
(51,122 posts)The financiers of 9/11 are getting slightly less ridiculously rich.
yay
Turbineguy
(37,297 posts)There are enough young men with too much time on their hands. Maybe they'll start looking for glory.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)like most of us in reality. No time for pipe dreams anymore; nose to the grindstone.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)Direct the anger where it really belongs.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)they have a single industry economy and their hope to destroy Western drilling companies by lowering the price of oil is going to hurt them a lot more than I think they anticipated.
Western economies aren't as stapled to oil prices as they used to be.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)They won't be able to rent out entire hotels, or race overpriced cars through the streets of American neighbourhoods anymore, or sexually molest the housecleaning staff? Those poor, poor, princes among men!
Warpy
(111,175 posts)There are already rumblings of a coup within the family. Once they deplete the treasury by buying all the overpriced military crap this country will sell them (and China will if we won't) to throw at Yemen, they'll have little left to float their lavish lifestyle, pay the religious police, export their toxic brand of Islam worldwide, or even share crumbs with their people. I just hope their people are starting to consider what they'd want to replace that hopelessly corrupt family.
I don't harbor any illusion that the worst people won't rush into the power vacuum at first or that they'll suddenly decide that a secular government without all those horrible laws against women will serve them. I just think the House of Saud has had about the longest run it can expect in a country of hungry people it hasn't shared much of its wealth with.
Yeah, the Republicans would send all the money to the Caymans and bankrupt the country a lot sooner. However, those gold bathroom fittings don't pay for themselves and I remain convinced in the royal family's ability to piss away money almost as fast, especially since they're fighting one of their own wars for a change.
davidn3600
(6,342 posts)Im not any fan of the Saudi royal family. But like Saddam did in Iraq, they are keeping things relatively stable by keeping radicals suppressed in a area of the world that can turn into a gigantic mess very quickly.
The Saudis ARE reactionary medieval radicals of the worst possible kind. You cannot get a nanoparticle between the ass-backwards worldviews of the Saudi "royal" family and ISIS. Same barbaric shit, just different labels.
Warpy
(111,175 posts)by exporting their intolerant brand of Islam across the world for decades. The US coming in and destabilizing the region just allowed them to flourish.
Whatever arises in the short term is something we won't like.
A lot of the reason for anti Americanism in the region is our support of vicious strongmen who kept order and the oil flowing.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)So unlikely. SO.
DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)We wouldn't want that to happen to our best ally in the region, nope.
House of Roberts
(5,167 posts)What the ME oil economies need is a good proxy war with Iran spread over about six countries. That's what the Neocons prescribe for us when our economy sags. Then they won't run out of money in three years, they will owe billions for decades.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)try to eat and drink their oil.
Fuck the KSA, the anus mundi.
Lyric
(12,675 posts)LuvNewcastle
(16,838 posts)donco
(1,548 posts)have to do what they did before they depended on oil then.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)Honestly, I am curious. What will they do when the oil runs out? They are not a nation of educated, well trained people. They are too ass backward to become another Dubai.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)which was what they did for hundreds of years, often because someone from down the pike got intimate with their goats.
But with Land Rovers and machine guns this time instead of camels and scimitars.
And don't forget the traditional sideshows of religulous blood feuds/massacres and medieval executions for their version of fun.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)Where is all that pent up aggression going to go once the money runs out to fund terrorist operations abroad?
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)jacked to the gills on batshit religion. May they all butcher each other as quickly as is possible. The world will applaud, then breathe a huge sigh of relief.
jaysunb
(11,856 posts)I put nothing past our frienemy, Saudi Arabia.
Travis_0004
(5,417 posts)I'm sure Saudi Arabia can survive if their surplus hit 0.
edhopper
(33,494 posts)Saudi dollars,
notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)Did you hear it from FOX or maybe read it some where? If so, where did you read it?
Travis_0004
(5,417 posts)notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)Travis_0004
(5,417 posts)Skittles
(153,122 posts)they always scream ENTITLEMENTS!!!
notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)She was one of the talking heads on "The View." She made that comment to Senator Sanders to which he replied "it isn't true." He wasn't given the opportunity to elaborate on that particular talking point in regards to why it isn't true- but I just thought it was odd to hear the same exact statement twice in one day.
Logical
(22,457 posts)notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)I asked a sincere question, I got a sincere answer. It's quite common for people to provide links when making an assertion. I don't understand why it bothered you to the point that you felt you needed to post your rude response? I didn't dispute it. I mean really? What's it to you?
Logical
(22,457 posts)notadmblnd
(23,720 posts)I honestly didn't know where. As I said down thread he wasn't the only person who made that statement today and someone else disputed it. If the person I asked didn't take offense, why are you jumping in and attacking me?
Skittles
(153,122 posts)I need my x-ray glasses - NOT
edhopper
(33,494 posts)Last edited Mon Oct 26, 2015, 09:40 PM - Edit history (1)
A government that subjegates women and crucified blasphemers would come in.
Oh wait.....
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)Indeed.
edhopper
(33,494 posts)make you laugh.
Thanks for contributing.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)DERP in that context is both funny and on point. It makes a good point. No typo policing from me, of all people.
glad you explained. That is pretty funny.
Skittles
(153,122 posts)yes INDEED
MissB
(15,804 posts)Skittles
(153,122 posts)yes indeed
I just think it is sad when people tell me they would not even have known about their new grandchild were it not for a freaking website
I totally get that- that is sad.
My brother travels extensively for work- multi week trips in far flung locales. He posts pics while on location so I get to see them. He lives 10 minutes away from us, but he may only be home a couple of days a month. And when he is in town, we have wonderful family dinners with my other brother and his family.
It used to be that my brother would mail off postcards to everyone from whatever location he was in- and there is a certain nostalgia to looking thru those postcards. But it's way cooler to see 20-30 pictures a day (and far cheaper/faster to share with everyone.) I get a great window into the world thru his eyes. I can't afford to travel yet but someday...
On the other hand, I get tired of the 31 party invites (think: bag selling pyramid scheme like company) from another relative on FB. Love her dearly tho, so I just ignore it.
It's good and bad.
Skittles
(153,122 posts)no need for that piece of shit FB site
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)like "eff this". I couldn't understand the appeal. I can barely keep up with the people who are actually in my daily life, let alone 1000 of my closest friends and associates from days gone by. Plus all the humble brags just really turned me off. I didn't want to play that game.
Skittles
(153,122 posts)even pictures have lost their meaning - there's so freaking MANY of them, and don't even get me started on selfies
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)who has never taken a "selfie". The whole thing just seems so narcissistic!
Skittles
(153,122 posts)the narcissism of the chronic-selfies is astounding
LuvNewcastle
(16,838 posts)I was on FB for about a year or two, until I realized how much I dreaded logging into the site and seeing all of the garbage people had posted. I had one friend who took several selfies a day, and some of his friends would post how handsome he looked and blah. I found it nauseating, so I decided to just leave FB without saying anything to anyone rather than shit on people there. My stomach couldn't handle reading the trash without telling anybody how tacky they were.
raouldukelives
(5,178 posts)A value that if fulfilled to its shareholders would more than assure cataclysmic climate change.
The same climate change that is fueling the current humanitarian crisis in the ME. The same climate change that assuredly will get a lot worse before it can start to get better.
Couple that with the worlds necessary switch to more renewable energy, along with the ever growing refugees and immigrants the current changes to our weather systems CC has already created in the world, and, well, it ain't purty. IMHO, it is downright frightening.
Javaman
(62,504 posts)the price of oil is going to sky rocket soon.
right now, the price of land and anything for that matter in Wyoming tar sands area is cheap due to the recent collapse of the price of oil.
buy now.
in a couple of years it will be worth a small fortune.
smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)Most of us will get screwed along with the Saudis unless we come up with some alternatives soon.
Javaman
(62,504 posts)might as well, go up there and sell 50 dollar ham sandwiches.
Xolodno
(6,384 posts)There goals were multi faceted.
1. Discourage US and Canadian Oil Production (from what I read, lot of oil developers won't be able to survive much longer).
2. Increase US consumption of oil (so when prices do rise, there will be less of it to export).
3. Hurt Russia economically so it would seem to costly to intervene in Syria, topple the government and build a pipeline to Europe (that has obviously backfired).
4. Discourage Russia and China cooperation on energy (which realistically only delayed projects)
5. Hurt Iran economically so it can only financially support so much in their proxy wars. Obviously, jury is still out on this one.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)They're blowing hundreds of billions in reserves subsidizing low oil prices
KamaAina
(78,249 posts)valerief
(53,235 posts)Renew Deal
(81,847 posts)Bucky
(53,965 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)Which is better than the US and comparable to Western Europe.
Victor_c3
(3,557 posts)When oil prices creep up, the focus shifts towards other energy sources that become cost effective and competitive with oil. Trying to restrain growth of renewable energy alternatives for as long as possible is vital to big oil continuing to have a place of relevance in world politics and the world economy.
Once renewable energy infrastructures are in place and technologies decreasing their costs become more available, there is no undoing that progress. Oil will forever lose its influence.
truebrit71
(20,805 posts)....
IDemo
(16,926 posts)-- my son drives a Land Rover, his son will drive a Land Rover, but his son will ride a camel."
Sheikh Rashid bin Saeed Al Maktoum's famous quote about the rise and fall of Middle Eastern oil wealth.
sub.theory
(652 posts)That Wahhabbist hate machine of a country can cease to be the number one backer of Islamic terrorism. The world will be a better place.