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RandySF

(58,693 posts)
1. New Hampshire was a big deal going back to the 50's
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:39 PM
Jan 2016

Jimmy Carter put Iowa on the map by upsetting stronger opponents. South Carolina used to be the kingmaker for Republicans.

UTUSN

(70,671 posts)
3. I love all Dems, but Jimmy has a lot of SMACKS I'd like to give him
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:44 PM
Jan 2016

* If he wanted to be a Bible saint, don't undo the JFK separation of church/state (carrying a Bible everywhere).

* He gave us his (now) FoxNews polltaker Pat CADDELL, and Tweety, and RUSSERT.

 

virgogal

(10,178 posts)
2. I have been mumbling that to myself for weeks. I just don't get it.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:42 PM
Jan 2016

Especially the Iowa/New Hampshire hype.

Why ???

RandySF

(58,693 posts)
4. If there is one state that reflects the country, it's California
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:46 PM
Jan 2016

we need to change the state constitution so we can have our presidential and state primaries when it really counts.

Renew Deal

(81,852 posts)
6. It makes it instantly a big money primary
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:47 PM
Jan 2016

The nice thing about IA and NH is that they are mostly small media markets.

JonLeibowitz

(6,282 posts)
10. Why do you think some people around here are angling to make large states vote first?
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:55 PM
Jan 2016

That is exactly the play.

Renew Deal

(81,852 posts)
11. A more representive electorate.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 11:00 PM
Jan 2016

IA and NH are also whiter than most of the country and more rural than where most people live.

RandySF

(58,693 posts)
8. I think NV will be the showdown for Bernie and Hillary.
Mon Jan 11, 2016, 10:49 PM
Jan 2016

I'm not sure where it will be for Republicans.

yewberry

(6,530 posts)
13. Can't really speak to IA, but I know NH history.
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:25 AM
Jan 2016

NH has has historically had the first primary since 1920 and it started to become important in 1952 when it simplified its voting rules. There is a state law requiring it to be first in the nation, and they've been fighting to keep it since the 70s. Before the IA caucus started getting national attention in the 70s, NH was the first binding indication of the support candidates had.

NH is not a closed primary. Undeclared voters can vote in whichever primary they want and immediately switch back to undeclared. All voting is done with paper ballots.

While NH demographics do not reflect national racial demographics (not even close), the party numbers would probably surprise people. Almost 40% are undeclared independents. NH is more conservative than VT & MA, and that tends to manifest as a 'live free or die' libertarian streak.

NH is small and NH markets are relatively cheap. A candidate without a lot of cash can do a lot in NH-- you can drive around the state for a few days and hit the 'major' cities, and TV/radio spots there are dirt cheap in comparison to larger markets. Even more important, the state parties have massive networking systems to handle the demand. Any candidate can set up a state event in a day and expect a turnout, and that candidate can set up house parties and a place to sleep for free on a dime. And the media will show up.

That last paragraph should say a lot. NH might seem to be a weird choice, but the state has an infrastructure that really doesn't exist elsewhere.


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