SCOTUS Analyst: Loretta Lynch 'Most Likely Candidate' to Replace Scalia

[Agnosticsherbet]

SCOTUS Analyst: Loretta Lynch 'Most Likely Candidate' to Replace Scalia
A leading Supreme Court analyst thinks Attorney General Loretta Lynch is the "most likely candidate" to replace the late conservative Justice Antonin Scalia.

Tom Goldstein, who runs the influential SCOTUSblog, had earlier predicted Ninth Circuit Judge Paul Watford would make the top of President Obama's shortlist. But in a revised blog post, Goldstein said he now believes Lynch is the leading contender.

Lynch is a "very serious possibility," Goldstein wrote. "The fact that Lynch was vetted so recently for attorney general also makes it practical for the president to nominate her in relatively short order."

Certainly qualified.

[Yavin4]

1. I loved her duet with Jack White

[FBaggins]

2. Not a chance

She may be the most likely to be nominated - and even the most likely to damage the Republicans in their opposition. But she won't make it past the current senate.

[still_one]

3. unfortunately I think you are right

[Agnosticsherbet]

4. I do agree that she is unlikely to win Senate approval.

Since Republicans are politicizing the process, he might as well make them pay for it.

[Yavin4]

5. Politically, in a presidential election year, it would be bad for the Republicans to reject her

That would fire up African Americans and women to get out and vote.

[Agnosticsherbet]

8. In this, I think they fear their own constituents and other Conservative groups

more than women and African Americans.

The Tea Party, for instance, has a history of primarying and defeating members of the leadership.

[Yupster]

6. She might get a hearing by the Republican senate

but there's no way she'd be approved.

There are Republican senators that would love to question her about many things especially executive orders.

What would her answer be to whether she feels the president violated the Constitution when he made recess appointments when the senate wasn't in recess?

Does she back the president who was overruled by the supreme court on the issue by a count of 9-0? That would seem to make it easy for the senate to end the hearing right there and declare her far outside the mainstream of judicial thought.

Does she agree that the president violated the Constitution?

Does she just refuse to answer the question?

I don't think she gets nominated for this reason. It wouldn't be hard for the senate to reject her at all.

[stevebreeze]

7. She is certainly up to the job but

is even less like to get past the Senate as some others. Not that I think any will. It will highlight the nastiness of the GOP.
It may be hard to get someone both qualified to be USSC justice and will to go through the shit storm that is inevitable.

[msongs]

9. he should nominate the person he thinks is best. confirming is the senate's issue, not his nt