Huh... the tea leaves on the latest CNN poll

[Recursion]

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/02/29/rel4a.-.2016.primaries.pdf

(This delves into GDP territory but is general enough I figured I'd try it here -- for that matter it's difficult to figure out where to place articles that address both parties' primaries...)

52% of all voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting in this year's Presidential election
52% of Democratic voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting
58% of Republican voters "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting
(the math says this means that no-lean independents are very unenthusiastic about voting)

Among Republicans nationally, Trump is at 49%. Rubio is in second place, 33 points below him.
68% of GOP voters say they have already made up their mind completely about their primary choice

Cruz gets 69% "definitely" or "probably" support in the general among Republicans vs 31% "definitely not" or "probably not".
Rubio gets 69% vs. 29%
Trump gets 52% vs 48%, with 35% "definitely not support". I have never seen a frontrunner's numbers be this bad in their own party.

On our side, Clinton has increased her national lead with 55% to Sanders's 38%. 67% of Democrats' say their mind is already made up. Clinton gets 65% vs. 33% in Democratic support in the general; Sanders gets 74% vs. 24%. (Anybody who wants to talk about these numbers please start a GDP discussion; I'm just including them for completeness.)

[DemocraticWing]

1. The numbers on support in the GE is among people supporting another candidate in the primaries.

So Trump gets half of the Republicans up front and half of the other candidates' voters. That's potentially 25% of Republicans not voting for Trump in November, vs. a maximum of about 10% of Democrats for Hillary Clinton (or lower for Bernie).

That's good news for now, but we'll see who falls in line.