My revised March 15 primary predicitons

[RandySF]

Florida:
Clinton (D)
Trump (R) (Previously Rubio)

Illinois:
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)

Missouri:
Sanders/Clinton Tie (D) (In terms of delegates. Raw vote could go either way)
Cruz (R)

North Carolina:
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)

Ohio:
Sanders (D) (Close)
Katich (R)


Rubio will drop out of the race, and the Republican establishment will latch onto Kasich but Cruz will continue to make the case that he's earned the right to be the alternative to Trump. This will continue at least until next week when Trump wins Arizona.and Cruz wins Utah.

[JesterCS]

1. Seems close

But Illinois will go Sanders. I hope.

[Tiggeroshii]

2. All depends on turnout.

Consistently high turnout throughout the day in all states would make North Carolina narrow or give it to Sanders. Florida would be close but go to Clinton, while Missouri, Ohio and Illinois will be Sanders in a landslide. High turnout will give Sanders 3-5 states. Low turnout would give Clinton 3-5 states. All depends on turnout.

[leftofcool]

3. I think Hillary takes Ohio.

[bklyncowgirl]

4. The Morning Line

FLORIDA:

Democrats:
Clinton has the edge with large numbers of older voters who will support her as well as Cuban voters repelled by Sander's admiration for Fidel Castro. Sanders will get younger white voters and some non-Cuban Latinos. The wildcard here are Jewish voters who will be torn between voting for one of their own or a tried and true supporter of Israel. Since most Florida Jews are older my guess is they'll break for Clinton.
Odds: Clinton 5-1 Sanders: 20-1.

Republicans:
The Donald will almost certainly win here, after all it is Florida. Hometown boy Marco Rubio and the Canadian from Texas will duke it out for second. I see Cruz's strength with Evangelical voters actually beating Rubio. Kasich should be a non-factor here.
Odds: Trump: 5-1 Cruz: 10-1 Rubio: 20-1 Kasich: 50-1

ILLINOIS
Democrats:
Clinton is a home girl, that and the tacit support of Barak Obama should be enough to put her over the edge but the wildcard here is widespread distaste for Chicago mayor and Clinton supporter Raum Emmanuel could bring Chicagoans out in droves and Bernie, for the first time could win the African-American vote. Prediction: Sanders over Clinton in a photo finish. Odds: Clinton: 8-1 Sanders: 10-1.

Republicans:
Trump's strength among the hard core should put him over the edge here. Cruz will win evangelicals and establishment republicans whose first priority is stopping Trump. Look for Kasich to take the rest of the establishment types and those repelled by Trump. Rubio will not be a factor here.
Odds: Trump: 5-1, Kasich: 8-1, Cruz: 6-1. Prediction: Trump will win over Kasich with Cruz third in an exciting blanket finish.

MISSOURI
Democrats:
Clinton should win here but as always in the Midwestern States Sanders is a threat.
Odds: Clinton 8-1, Sanders 10-1. Prediction: Clinton over Sanders.

Republicans:
There are many Evangelicals in Missouri and Cruz is these voters guy. Trump will do well with the angry crowd but could lose the non-racist angry vote. Kasich as a mid-westerner should win moderates.
Odds: Trump: 5-1, Cruz: 6-1, Kasich 10-1, Rubio 50-1. Prediction: Cruz over Trump, not even close.

OHIO:
Democrats:
A rust belt state this should work to Sander's advantage but Clinton has strong establishment support including the state's populist leaning Senator Sherrod Brown. Odds: Clinton 6-1 Sanders 8-1. Prediction: Sanders over Clinton photo finish.

NORTH CAROLINA:
Democrats:
Hillary has proved unbeatable in the south and as long as her firewall of African-American voters and older voters holds she should win here easily.
Odds: Clinton 2-1 Sanders 20-1 Prediction: Clinton over Sanders by a comfortable margin.

Republicans:
Trump has the edge here but Cruz with his strength in the Evangelical community could surprise. Odds: Trump 5-1 Cruz 8-1 Prediction: Trump over Cruz by a narrow margin. Rubio and Kasich non factors.

[lpbk2713]

5. I see Trump over Rubio in Florida.

Even Rubio's own home town newspaper doesn't like him. He's not leadership material.