General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhere Would You Put The Odds of Trump Being the Republican Nominee?
About 5 weeks ago, I would have said 100%, without a doubt. But now, I am pegging it at around 70%. One or two more bad weeks for Trump and the GOP and I think he will have a full blown mutiny on his (very tiny) hands.
But, friends, I want to know, what do you think the odds are that Trump actually makes it through the convention without being overthrown?
BigDemVoter
(4,149 posts)The morons who voted for him would start a revolution otherwise.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)And they still think he is a saint, so why not nominate another one?
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Good.
But. Yeah, I think they may be stuck with him barring another week like last week.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Let the crazy old "poorly educated" racists sit at home and pout on November 8th, lose this election, but be able to save face in 4 years.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)they can make a clean break of the tea party insurgent types after Trump gets blown out. It will be a mandate for change.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Sure, they were terrible back then too but compared to what we have today, every Republican seemed like the 2nd coming of Lincoln. I heard some speech experts from George HW Bush and Bob Dole from back in the early 90's. They sounded like Winston Churchill compared to Penisfart McDumbfuck...I mean Trump. Just moderate, act normal and professional, and they would do a lot better. They need to purge the Tea Party though. Just say "fuck it", block their candidates and ideas, move more to the center and replace the lost tea party vote with votes from moderates. The problem is that they have moved so far to the right that their appeal is too limited. It didn't work, so ignore people like Ted Cruz that say the party needs to be even more right wing (somehow) and move back to the center.
There could be a huge silver lining to this election for them, if they seize the opportunity. Tea Party candidates will likely be decimated this cycle. Just let them go. Run much more moderate candidates in 2018 and 2020, and let the Tea Party die.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)hay rick
(7,521 posts)Who am I to disagree?
peace13
(11,076 posts)And the next rabbit they pull out of the hat will be a fire breathing dragon! Who knew?
Warpy
(110,909 posts)He's got the star quality that party likes to go for. They're also looking at his popularity with the base, the morons they've courted for years and now think are the majority. If he can reassure them that he'll take orders once he's in office, he'll be the nominee.
Since I consider that last proviso a long shot, I'm only giving him 60%. The alternative would be having a convention that's such a shambles that they field no naitonal candidate.
I also think Johnson will be enough of a factor that he'll get his clock cleaned in the general.
pnwmom
(108,925 posts)have to run in all states to cause a big problem for them.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Dangerous to remove and dangerous to keep around
pnwmom
(108,925 posts)LastLiberal in PalmSprings
(12,539 posts)roamer65
(36,739 posts)They are going to mess around with the convention rules pretty heavily to try to stop him.
Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)Trump is the nominee. He has the pledged votes.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)I'm not sure they are prepared for the aftermath of losing 40% of their voting base.....but letting trump go forward will have a similar effect....I am so glad they have trump and we have hillary