General Discussion

imanamerican63

(13,775 posts) Mon Jul 25, 2016, 08:59 AM Jul 2016

So, Trump was able get a good bounce from the GOP convention?

You have to wonder what Hillary will get from the DNC convention? I would hope she could get more then a 6 point bounce like Trump did! I know conventions do not weigh out in the end, so we need to push forward and vote our conscience and prevent a disaster(Trump) to enter the White House!

6 replies

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So, Trump was able get a good bounce from the GOP convention? (Original Post) imanamerican63 Jul 2016 OP

Higher than expected Xipe Totec Jul 2016 #1

If we have a good convention, strong message and unity she will get a strong bounce book_worm Jul 2016 #2

Most every poll tends to oversample white voters. Demographics don't match the numbers we're seeing. CrowCityDem Jul 2016 #3

Polls are always keyed to the demographic data from the prior presidential election. MohRokTah Jul 2016 #4

If so, why do most polls predict an increase in white turnout? The minority population has grown. CrowCityDem Jul 2016 #5

A phone-based poll of 1,000 ksoze Jul 2016 #6

Xipe Totec

(43,889 posts)

1. Higher than expected

Reply to imanamerican63 (Original post)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 09:01 AM

Jul 2016

book_worm

(15,951 posts)

2. If we have a good convention, strong message and unity she will get a strong bounce

Reply to imanamerican63 (Original post)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 09:01 AM

Jul 2016

CrowCityDem

(2,348 posts)

3. Most every poll tends to oversample white voters. Demographics don't match the numbers we're seeing.

Reply to imanamerican63 (Original post)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 09:10 AM

Jul 2016

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)

4. Polls are always keyed to the demographic data from the prior presidential election.

Reply to CrowCityDem (Reply #3)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 09:51 AM

Jul 2016

This also serves to explain how Obama was able to outperform the polls twice.

CrowCityDem

(2,348 posts)

5. If so, why do most polls predict an increase in white turnout? The minority population has grown.

Reply to MohRokTah (Reply #4)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 10:04 AM

Jul 2016

ksoze

(2,068 posts)

6. A phone-based poll of 1,000

Reply to imanamerican63 (Original post)

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 10:33 AM

Jul 2016

Gonna guess the demographics may not represent the potential electorate in November. If there are not using cell phones, then the sample may not reflect reality.

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