Rasmussen (R) now has Clinton ahead of Trump.

[Drunken Irishman]

43-42

[GaYellowDawg]

1. WOW.

That's like a 10 point lead for Hillary in any other poll.

[DarthDem]

2. Exactly Right!

Knowing ScottyRaz, he's just trying to get ahead of the pro-Hillary bounce and make it seem like it's less than it really is. Every poll he issues is cooked in the Thugs' favor to some extent, but when this is the best he can do, you're right.

[RAFisher]

3. Poll was conducted 7/26-7/27. Questions if Trump got a bump at all.

Last edited Thu Jul 28, 2016, 10:54 AM - Edit history (1)

The convention, Kaine, and first day of the DNC could all be factors resulting this +2% gain for Clinton. Last week Trump was up 1% in Rasmussen. This is the second poll(Economist/YouGov the first) showing Clinton, not Trump, polling higher after the RNC. So far this is looking good and goes against polls like the LA Times/USC that have Trump up 7% from a week ago.

[BobbyDrake]

4. But where did all the concern go then? There was so much of it laying around before, now it's gone.

Almost like what we saw before... wasn't real? Surely not!

[Nevernose]

7. If the election were held today, Trump would likely win

Nate Silver at 538 has his odds today at 53% (and doesn't consider convention bounces, and is a shitty summary for a variety of reasons). Overall, he's got Trump's chances pegged at 40%.

If a forty percent chance of Trump winning doesn't concern you, then you must be smoking the good shit

Nate's also got us as losing Ohio and Florida, and hopefully our DUers there are registering voters and knocking on doors already.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

5. If it's Rasmussen, add on 5-10 extra points for the Democrats for proper context.

That Hillary's already ahead even in this context is encouraging.

[piechartking]

6. I'm still concerned

And won't stop until John King says polls in the west close in 1 minute and those electoral college votes put Hillary over the top!

[rurallib]

8. did they forget who they work for?