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Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:08 PM

Pls report in: how does the Senate race look in your state?????


82 replies, 3453 views

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Reply Pls report in: how does the Senate race look in your state????? (Original post)
dixiegrrrrl Oct 2016 OP
femmocrat Oct 2016 #1
Glamrock Oct 2016 #2
salin Oct 2016 #5
Glamrock Oct 2016 #7
Mira Oct 2016 #3
yardwork Oct 2016 #48
dixiegrrrrl Oct 2016 #57
mahina Oct 2016 #4
Glamrock Oct 2016 #8
mahina Oct 2016 #42
Glamrock Oct 2016 #43
mahina Oct 2016 #45
Glamrock Oct 2016 #46
Shrike47 Oct 2016 #6
sakabatou Oct 2016 #9
Liberal_in_LA Oct 2016 #17
BlueCaliDem Oct 2016 #29
beachbumbob Oct 2016 #10
frazzled Oct 2016 #16
petronius Oct 2016 #11
global1 Oct 2016 #12
No Vested Interest Oct 2016 #13
LisaL Oct 2016 #25
liberal N proud Oct 2016 #35
No Vested Interest Oct 2016 #70
irisblue Oct 2016 #14
Jim Beard Oct 2016 #66
irisblue Oct 2016 #68
Greybnk48 Oct 2016 #15
HereSince1628 Oct 2016 #75
charlyvi Oct 2016 #18
dixiegrrrrl Oct 2016 #60
madokie Oct 2016 #19
hedda_foil Oct 2016 #23
madokie Oct 2016 #41
True_Blue Oct 2016 #20
yeoman6987 Oct 2016 #21
csziggy Oct 2016 #44
Hayduke Bomgarte Oct 2016 #22
Wounded Bear Oct 2016 #39
GreenEyedLefty Oct 2016 #26
Raine Oct 2016 #27
GP6971 Oct 2016 #28
chillfactor Oct 2016 #30
doc03 Oct 2016 #31
upaloopa Oct 2016 #32
handmade34 Oct 2016 #33
donco Oct 2016 #34
xmas74 Oct 2016 #54
Aristus Oct 2016 #36
Wounded Bear Oct 2016 #37
suffragette Oct 2016 #64
Dawson Leery Oct 2016 #38
karynnj Oct 2016 #40
Iggo Oct 2016 #47
mike_c Oct 2016 #49
Lebam in LA Oct 2016 #55
a la izquierda Oct 2016 #51
CentralMass Oct 2016 #52
Shrike47 Oct 2016 #61
CentralMass Oct 2016 #63
lapucelle Oct 2016 #56
Tarc Oct 2016 #58
GWC58 Oct 2016 #59
mountain grammy Oct 2016 #65
Rhythm Oct 2016 #67
awoke_in_2003 Oct 2016 #69
No Vested Interest Oct 2016 #72
LeftyMom Oct 2016 #73
Blue_Adept Oct 2016 #76
LaydeeBug Oct 2016 #78
MrScorpio Oct 2016 #79
smirkymonkey Oct 2016 #80
OregonBlue Oct 2016 #81
LeftInTX Oct 2016 #82
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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:15 PM

1. Pennsylvania: neck and neck

McGinty is just slightly ahead of Toomey: 44.2 to 43.8 on RCP today.
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_toomey_vs_mcginty-5074.html

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:18 PM

2. Indiana

Bayh up 6.

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Response to Glamrock (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:24 PM

5. I don't love Bayh... but I love his beating Young and helping to reclaim the Senate.

Not the topic of the thread - but looks like Gregg is getting a good solid lead as well.

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Response to salin (Reply #5)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:30 PM

7. Yep yep!

Honestly? I don't want Bayh as my Senator, but, I'll take him over Young hands down. Totally psyched about Gregg though. Good man, big moustache.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:18 PM

3. Tight in NC

If NC goes for Hillary Clinton, then I believe Burr will hopefully slide out of office on her coat tails. We have a Republican Governor who is not beloved, and that will help get rid of Burr as well.

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Response to Mira (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:53 PM

48. Nail biting.

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Response to Mira (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:38 PM

57. I am hoping this anti-Trump/repub sentiment spreads to the Governor races as well. n/t

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:21 PM

4. Slam dunk, done deal.

I got a hug from my Senator yesterday

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Response to mahina (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:31 PM

8. Where is ya?

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Response to Glamrock (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:21 PM

42. Honolulu

Deep blue Hawaii

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Response to mahina (Reply #42)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:23 PM

43. Aaah.

Yeah, I guess it is a done deal.

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Response to Glamrock (Reply #43)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:41 PM

45. We help other states, and some of us go there.

I've sent kokua to Jay Inslee and Russ Feingold, & Doug Applegate recently, and letters to Seigleman. He responded.

Part of the reason? We've got one of the highest % of labor families in the country, but that is declining nationwide, sadly.

Maybe not for long!

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Response to mahina (Reply #45)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:43 PM

46. Not for long indeed.

The pendulum has finally begun to swing our way.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:25 PM

6. Oregon's Democratic senator is ahead by 20% or so in the polls.

He's not running unopposed, but almost.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:34 PM

9. CA

Dems still control it.

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Response to sakabatou (Reply #9)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:08 PM

17. Yup..two dems running against each other

 

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Reply #17)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:57 PM

29. Kamala Harris will win. It would be wonderful to have Sen. Sanders head of the Budget Committee!!

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:47 PM

10. Illinois, a democratic pickup...

 

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Response to beachbumbob (Reply #10)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:06 PM

16. Most recent poll (Simon/SIU): Duckworth +14

Lettuce spray it stays that way.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:53 PM

11. Here in California, sadly, a Democrat is certain to lose

But on the bright side, the other Democrat will win!

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:55 PM

12. Duckworth Will Beat Kirk In Illinois....nt

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 06:57 PM

13. Ohio. Not looking food for Strickland (D).

Portman has had a ton of money and TV ads for months.
I live in Portman's home territory - SW Ohio- and there are and have been many more Portman signs than anyone else.

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Response to No Vested Interest (Reply #13)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:52 PM

25. Tons of negative ads against Strickland.

Running for months and months. Barely any ads against Portman.

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Response to No Vested Interest (Reply #13)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:02 PM

35. Strickland is a victim of the Bush economic meltdown

Which gave the GOP tones of material to spin against him.

We would have been better off with his primary opponent, Sittenfeld.

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Response to liberal N proud (Reply #35)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:13 AM

70. I like P. G. Sittenfeld, but believe he's not quite ready for prime time.

His heart is in the right place, but he offended many Cinti Dems when he changed his vote re building of a streetcar immediately after being elected to city Council. ( He was against it before the election, as was the majority that was elected, and for it after the election. There are some long memories around here.

However, he has access to many donors and potential donors, and, hopefully, has a future in Ohio Dem politics.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:02 PM

14. Ohio... not good news

Portman(R) incumbent has a double digit lead over Strickland (D) former cong rep & Governor. Lots& lots of Koch dark money early made the difference. This seat stays R, and is a primer for Sherrord Browns campaign in 2018.

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Response to irisblue (Reply #14)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:13 PM

66. Is this the race where the Democratic funding machine quit supporting the Democrat?

 

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Response to Jim Beard (Reply #66)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:33 PM

68. yeah. Portman got ~45/50 million in dark money real early.

Strickland had a primary challenger, Sittenfeld from the Cincy area and that drained cash. The dark money amount is the most spent this election cycle on a senate campaign. I feel that the choices that DWS made in allocation of funding locked Strickland in out early summer. Portman will never have a republican challanger, he is very locked in. The Atlantic has a good 9/8/16 article on the race. So now the national party is sending money to winnable seats. I also wonder if the unionized older white men in the Cleveland/Akron area had not gone so gaga for the racist crap Trump spews, Strickland would have had more campaign workers and a better chance.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:03 PM

15. Feingold is still ahead of Johnson in Wisconsin.

Last edited Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:12 PM - Edit history (1)

We just had a debate last night so things may change this week. The Koch's are flooding the State with cash for ads for Rojo, but I think Feingold will hold on because we're solidly for Clinton. Lots of straight ticket voters.

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Response to Greybnk48 (Reply #15)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 07:26 AM

75. Three days ago, MU poll had Fiengold and Johnson in a statistical tie in the multi-way

In Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race, 46 percent of likely voters support Russ Feingold, 44 percent back Sen. Ron Johnson and 4 percent choose Libertarian candidate Phil Anderson. Five percent do not express a preference. In September, Feingold was supported by 44 percent, Johnson by 39 percent and Anderson by 7 percent, with 10 percent not giving a preference. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/


In the two-way Feingold's lead remains 2 percent.

Libertarians are a factor here. Wisconsin is getting a major push for Libertarian candidates, and they're having some success as Johnson is doing better in WI than his national avg. In the end, these polls my not reflect their 'stop the Dems from taking the Senate' attitude. If that thinking gets the better of the 'Never Trumpers' the senate race is going to be a nail-biter.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:15 PM

18. Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III is my junior senator.

Richard Shelby is my senior senator. I would say don't depend on any help from the Great State of Alabama...the last state God made.

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Response to charlyvi (Reply #18)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:41 PM

60. Sigh....I know....I know.....

Sessions reminds me so very much of Howdy Doody.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:19 PM

19. One word and it starts with an F and ends with a K

I remember when this state used to be solidily in the democrat column but thats not the case any longer

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Response to madokie (Reply #19)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:42 PM

23. Which state?

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Response to hedda_foil (Reply #23)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:17 PM

41. Mybad

Oklahoma

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:23 PM

20. Not good here in AZ!

McCain and Kirkpatrick were neck & neck up until last week when McCain unendorsed Trump. Now Real Clear Politics has him up 16 points.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:24 PM

21. Not good in Florida

 

Just watched dateline using DVR and had positive commercials on Rubio and negative on the democratic nominee.

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Response to yeoman6987 (Reply #21)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:28 PM

44. Nate Silver doesn't give Murphy much of a chance of winning

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:25 PM

22. Illinois

We'll have Dick Durbin for at least 2 more years.

Looks really, really good for Tammy Duckworth to send Mark Kirk down the crapper, where he belongs.

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Response to Hayduke Bomgarte (Reply #22)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:07 PM

39. I hope so...

Tammy is a winner and a keeper.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:53 PM

26. Michigan is safe. Stabenow is up next in 2018.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:55 PM

27. Here in CA, no repubs running for the Senate. nt

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:57 PM

28. I'd say WA is safe. n/t

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 07:58 PM

30. New Mexico

neither of my senators are up for re-election this year...they are both VERY STRONG Democrats!

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:00 PM

31. Not good in Ohio, the Koch brothers started pouring millions into the state over a year ago

while Democrats sat on their f----g hands.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:00 PM

32. In CA a Democrat will win. 2 Dems are running against each other

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:01 PM

33. I think Vermont is safe...

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:01 PM

34. In the Show-Me state

…the August Monmouth had Blunt up by 5, but Wednesday's poll shows Kander trailing by only 2.

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Response to donco (Reply #34)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:30 PM

54. We are considered THE state to watch now.

If Kander beats Blunt the Senate goes blue-guaranteed.

I think he can do it.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:04 PM

36. Washington - "Fighting Patty" Murray is going up against some Republican sacrificial lamb I've never

heard of.

Murray has done so much for both Main Street citizens and veterans that the only campaign trope a potential opponent could possibly offer is "I'm not a Democrat". Not a good stratagem in the Evergreen State.

Sure, they vote Repuke out in Spokanistan, where nobody lives. But we vote Blue in King, Pierce, and Snohomish Counties, where everyone lives.

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Response to Aristus (Reply #36)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:06 PM

37. Blue, blue, my state is blue...

bluer than blue,
and Patty is too.

Even my Rep, Smith in District 9, and both of my state reps are Dems.

Not many decisions to make this time.

Go Seahawks!

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Response to Wounded Bear (Reply #37)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:08 PM

64. Vance is running as far away from Trump as he can and he still can't come close

To our favorite Senator in her 'mom tennis shoes.'


Have you seen the ad with Patty Murray and Deborah Parker - love that one!

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:07 PM

38. CT-Blumenthal is ahead 2:1.

Former birther Dan Carter is the token candidate of the GOP.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:13 PM

40. Senator Leahy is a very very easy win.

His opponent may be deluded that he has a chance as he came close against Shumlin - but Leahy is as respected as Shumlin is disliked.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 08:52 PM

47. California. All Dems. (n/t)

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:03 PM

49. it's dismal in California....

DiFi is still in the senate. The race for Barbara Boxer's seat is going well-- Kamela Harris has a substantial lead. But Feinstein will remain in the senate, I'm sorry to report.

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Response to mike_c (Reply #49)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:36 PM

55. Exactly

I wish Boxer was staying and Feinstein was on her way to retiement

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:23 PM

51. WV- Manchin and Capito...

Neither up for re-election and both are awful.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:27 PM

52. Edited: Ron Wyden, OR, has a 22 percentage point lead over Callahan.

Last edited Sun Oct 16, 2016, 12:00 AM - Edit history (1)

Sorry about that. I haven't been in the state long. I knew Wyden had a good lead but his opponent wasn't household name to me. I pulled up primary results first go sround.

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Response to CentralMass (Reply #52)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:41 PM

61. Who? His Republican opponent is Mark Callahan, isn't he?

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Response to Shrike47 (Reply #61)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:02 PM

63. Fixed it. New to the state.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:37 PM

56. I'm in NY, so things look great.

That's why the NY metro DNC is sending busloads of volunteers every weekend to Pennsylvania to work to unseat Senator Toomey and elect Secretary Clinton.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:38 PM

58. New Hampshire here will come down to the 11th hour

As Republicans go, Kelly Ayotte is not atrocious, she's a one that you can just disagree with without it being personal and nasty. So she has a lot of moderate and even some Democratic support around here. But with Trump as their flagbearer, an R's a R and they all have to go. I hope Maggie Hassan can pull it out.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 09:40 PM

59. Blue Maryland will

once again elect a Democrat to replace Barbara Mikulski, Chris VanHollan. 😀😬😃

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:08 PM

65. Bennet is ahead by 11%

the GOP candidate talks to god, literally.

Bennet is conservative, for TPP etc. but he's honest and does respond to constituents. My choice would be a more liberal Democrat, but I'll not have a problem voting for Bennet.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:17 PM

67. West Virginia: Neither Senate seat is in play this year...

Joe Manchin (D - sort-of) will be up for re-election in 2018.

Shelly Moore Capito (R) will not be on a ballot until 2020.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sat Oct 15, 2016, 10:33 PM

69. Sucky

 

Stuck with Cornyn until 2020 and Cruz until 2018

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Response to awoke_in_2003 (Reply #69)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:25 AM

72. Kentucky - no one has checked in with a KY report.

From neighboring Ohio, it appears the Rand Paul is a shoe-in in KY.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 02:26 AM

73. It looks like a lock for a dem woman of color.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 07:29 AM

76. It's a skip cycle here in MA and it's blissful

Being able to not have to deal with the barrage of it is wondrous.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 10:35 AM

78. Van Hollen will be the next Senator from Maryland *AND* HRC will carry the state. nt

 

just not my neighborhood. :/

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 11:32 AM

79. None up for grabs here in Michigan

We have two sitting Dems already. So we're all good.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 11:36 AM

80. Dems will control the Senate here in MA as usual.

No danger here.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 01:50 PM

81. Oregon. Wyden has a +22 lead. There was never a question.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Original post)

Sun Oct 16, 2016, 04:15 PM

82. TX - no senate election

But, I think you know there would be no change from the repukes!

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