All the predictions... all of them in one graphic

[Bucky]

Not bad, Clinton clears 270 in every single forecast. NPR's is especially lame, leaving 103 EC votes as "too close to call". Pfff, tea sipping effetes. That hardly qualifies as a forecast at all. I'd say a 100 Electoral College margin of victory is a pretty cautious call.

[Sherman A1]

1. Well,

based upon what the graphic shows. If she doesn't win, it would then certainly appear to have been a rigged election.

[Helen Borg]

2. Wrong!

[Bucky]

3. It will the greatest election. Real classy. America will be great again. Rosie is gross. Sad.

[Thor_MN]

9. BA-leave me.

[left-of-center2012]

16. It would make my head spin n/t

[Fahrenthold451]

26. Seeing as Trumps highest number is 214 I agree.

[Bucky]

4. I like how in this table, right below "Mike Pence," it says "Total Toss-up"

Frankly, I have the same reaction when I see him on TV

[Bernardo de La Paz]

5. Averaged: 288 / 193 / 57

Clinton/Kaine

Favored . . 221
Lean . . . . . 67
Total . . . . 288


Trump/Pence

Favored . . 139
Lean . . . . . 53
Total . . . . 193


Toss-up . . . 57

Note: Totals do not add up due to adding rounded averages. Interestingly the Total + Total + Toss-up does equal 538.

[still_one]

7. These results appear to be based before the Comey announcement, so I would hope the numbers

would only go up

[barbtries]

10. Hillary will win.

i'm still full of this hateful fear, but somewhat less so.

it is sooooo much closer than it should be.

[bucolic_frolic]

12. Isn't the fear palpable?

it's like I'm giving blood and they don't stop taking more,
cold, shivering, shaking

[barbtries]

15. it is bad.

i tend to sleep an awful lot.

[mountain grammy]

20. Lucky you, wish I could escape into sleep.

Wide awake here and scared to death.

[barbtries]

25. well, i'm traveling for business and

have a clear vision of myself hunched up alone in a hotel room in Philly tonight. i plan to make phone calls if i can't sleep!

it's been dreadful. i have been lethargic. it's been hard to work. as i write i am sitting at my desk in the office !

i have pools of calm. all the signs point to Hillary winning.

[mountain grammy]

29. My problem is, I'm retired..

I've kept myself busy with this campaign, but here in my red county, I get depressed with all the Trumpers.

Hillary will win. My husband assures me of this every minute, but I'm still a wreck. Hoping for a good night's sleep tonight.

Today, I'm cleaning the house.

[alfredo]

17. She will win by at least three points.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

11. I was mistaken -- see down subthread. ("effette"? Why the sexist language?)

Last edited Tue Nov 8, 2016, 11:02 AM - Edit history (1)

on edit: I'm sorry; I was mistaken about the meaning of the word.

Why use femininity ("effete&quot as a negative?

Why the assumption that NPR is male and not male enough for you?
Why the assumption that males have to be very masculine?

[leftynyc]

28. Here is the definition of effete

ef·fete
əˈfēt/
adjective
(of a person) affected, overrefined, and ineffectual.
"effete trendies from art college"
synonyms: affected, pretentious, precious, mannered, overrefined; More
no longer capable of effective action.
"the authority of an effete aristocracy began to dwindle"
synonyms: weak, enfeebled, enervated, worn out, exhausted, finished, drained, spent, powerless, ineffectual
"the fabric of society is effete"



Nothing about gender in there at all.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

30. Ah, Thank you for correcting me! I learned something about language today.

Looks like the OP actually used the phrase very well, deftly.

Thanks!

[leftynyc]

31. No problem

I was genuinely puzzled by your charge so had to look it up.

[Lithos]

13. Link?

Wanted to add it to my bookmark list.

[paulkienitz]

14. Nate Silver is indeed the most pessimistic of the group

I ranked these by taking the midpoint of their tossup range, and got this ordering:

FiveThirtyEight 297.5
Cook Political 301
ABC 306
PredictWise 308
Sabato's Crystal Ball 308.5
Governing 311.5
CNN 315.5
NBC 316
Associated Press 321.5
Princeton 323
NPR 323.5
Fox 325.5
The Fix 326
NYT Upshot 334.5
Rothenberg&Gonzales 335

Nate Silver is about 19 EV off the average, and the most Trumpward of the bunch. Given that the turnout stories indicate a surge of Dem votes way beyond his prediction, I expect that this election will be Silver's comeuppance as the big star among statistical election predictors.

[FSogol]

19. I demand no less than 300+ EV for Clinton!

Make it happen, DU.

[mountain grammy]

21. Me too.. 300+ for Madame President

and I'll sleep for a week.

[ginnyinWI]

22. I think she'll do even better!

And as for the trumpster, they'd better get a straight jacket ready.