Here is a nice way to begin the new year
Normal leaders come up with policy proposals in a certain conventional way. They gather their advisers around them and they debate alternatives with briefing papers, intelligence briefings and implementation strategies.
Donald Trump doesnt do that. Hes tweeted out policy gestures in recent weeks, say about the future of Americas nuclear arsenal. But these gestures arent attached to anything. They emerged from no analytic process and point to no implemental effects. Trumps statements seem to spring spontaneously from his middle-of-night feelings. They are astoundingly ambiguous and defy interpretation.
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Ill be curious to see if Trumps public rhetoric becomes operationalized in any way. For example, I bet his bromance with Putin will end badly. The two men are both such blustery, insecure, aggressive public posturers, sooner or later they will get in a schoolyard fight.
It will be interesting to see if that brawl is just an escalating but ultimately harmless volley of verbiage, or whether it affects the substance of government policy and leads to nuclear war.
Happy New Year!
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