Trump, Kissinger and Ma playing on a crowded chessboard
Incoming US Secretary of State “T Rex” Tillerson told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that China should be denied access to islands in the South China Sea. Militarization of the islands, he said, was “akin to Russia taking Crimea” from Ukraine.
Incoming Pentagon head James “Mad Dog” Mattis told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee the established world order is under its “biggest attack” since World War I: from Russia, as Putin is trying to “break” NATO, “from terrorist groups and with what China is doing in the South China Sea.”
In principle, these outbursts spell out an unchanged script for both the Pentagon and the US State Department as we approach the Donald Trump era. Pentagon doctrine rules that Russia and China, in that order, are the top “existential threats” to the US.
Yet in the shadow play of the New Great Game in Eurasia, this is all sekala — the tangible; the real action is in the realm of niskala, in the invisible shades of gray.
And that brings us once again to Henry Kissinger, the putative dalang — puppet master — of Trump’s foreign policy.
As leaked late last year in Germany’s Bild Zeitung newspaper, Kissinger has drafted a plan to officially recognize Crimea as part of Russia and lift the Obama administration’s economic sanctions.
The plan fits into Kissinger’s overall strategy — call it a traditional British Balance of Power, or Divide and Rule, approach — of breaking up the Eurasian front (Russia-China-Iran) that constitutes the real “threat” to what Mattis defines as the “established world order.” The strategy consists in seducing the alleged weaker top “threat” (Russia) away from the stronger (China), while keeping on antagonizing/harassing the third and weakest pole, Iran.
Kissinger is certainly more sophisticated than predictable US Think Tankland in his attempt to dismember the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, one of key nodes of the Russia-China strategic partnership. The SCO has been on the go for a decade and a half now. Iran, an observer, will soon become a full member, as will India and Pakistan; and Turkey — after the failed coup against Erdogan — is being courted by Moscow.
German analyst Peter Spengler adds a juicy teaser — if Kissinger’s “Metternichian approach would include some degree of ‘harmonization’ with Russia, how will a Trump presidency then manage to contain the re-engineered ally Germany?” After all, a key priority for sanctions-averse German industrialists is to vastly expand business with Russia.
http://www.atimes.com/article/trump-kissinger-ma-playing-crowded-chessboard/
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