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Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:40 PM

US Congressional districts Democrats need to win in order to regain control of the US House.

1)AZ-2
2)CA-10
3)CA-21
4)CA-25
5)CA-39
6)CA-45
7)CA-48
8)CA-49
9)CO-6
10)FL-18
11)FL-26
12)FL-27
13)IL-6
14)IL-12
15)IL-13
16)IL-16
17)IA-1
18)IA-3
19)ME-2
20)MI-3
21)MI-6
22)MI-7
23)MI-8
24)MI-11
25)MN-2
26)MN-3
27)NE-2
28)NJ-2
29)NJ-3
30)NY-1
31)NY-2
32)NY-11
33)NY-19
34)NY-21
35)NY-22
36)NY-23
37)NY-24
38)OH-10
39)OH-14
40)PA-6
41)PA-7
42)PA-8
43)PA-15
44)PA-16
45)TX-23
46)VA-2
47)VA-10
48)WA-3
49)WA-8
50)WI-1
51)WI-7
52)W-8
These districts are +4R and less.

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Reply US Congressional districts Democrats need to win in order to regain control of the US House. (Original post)
nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 OP
LAS14 Mar 2017 #1
Tatiana Mar 2017 #2
nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 #4
Jim Lane Mar 2017 #13
mountain grammy Mar 2017 #3
nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 #6
mountain grammy Mar 2017 #7
littlemissmartypants Mar 2017 #5
Wounded Bear Mar 2017 #8
BumRushDaShow Mar 2017 #9
chimpymustgo Mar 2017 #10
Wounded Bear Mar 2017 #11
Initech Mar 2017 #12

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:44 PM

1. Thanks for this. We need to start thinking this way right now!

But what does this mean? "These districts are +4R and less." ?

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Response to LAS14 (Reply #1)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:46 PM

2. Lean Republican by 4 pts

Which honestly is not a lot. Many of these are easily winnable. Some will require substantial investment by the DNC.

We have to do our best. We have to take back the House in order to impeach these bastards.

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Response to LAS14 (Reply #1)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:49 PM

4. These districts are +4R and less means

All of these districts PVI are +4R,+3R,+2R,+1R,even,+1D,+2D,+3D+4D,etc.

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Response to LAS14 (Reply #1)

Sun Mar 5, 2017, 01:14 AM

13. I assume it's the Cook PVI score

 

That's the Cook Partisan Voting Index.

It compares the voting in a state or a Congressional district with the national average in the two most recent Presidential elections. The "lean" is computed against the average, not against 50-50. Thus, because we've had two Democratic wins in the popular vote, a district with PVI of 0 (i.e., "EVEN" would have, on average, shown a small Democratic edge.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:46 PM

3. CO-6 Mike Coffman.. he needs to go!

Tipton could lose in the 3rd too if Democrats can run a good candidate.

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Response to mountain grammy (Reply #3)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:50 PM

6. How would Salazar do in CO-3?

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #6)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 09:03 PM

7. Ken Salazar?

He's from Alamosa, so maybe. John Salazar was defeated by Tipton in 2010 and Tipton has held on, but being a Republican, there's some corruption going on there. Thought they might get him out this year, but hope for 2018.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:50 PM

5. Kicking. nt

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:18 PM

8. K & R ......for visibility..



3- Jaime Buetler...not sure
8- Reichert is long time rep, but backed out on town halls. might be vulnerable
5- McMorris-Rogers could be flippable

I know there are organizers out there.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:20 PM

9. We only need 25 of those to get to 218 in the House.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:20 PM

10. Excellent, important post. Thanks!!! nt

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:21 PM

11. Keep in mind...

we really only need 25 of those to flip and we'll have a bare majority.

35 would be great, though.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:27 PM

12. We need to win all of these and start kicking the GOP to the curb!

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