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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:40 PM Mar 2017

US Congressional districts Democrats need to win in order to regain control of the US House.

1)AZ-2
2)CA-10
3)CA-21
4)CA-25
5)CA-39
6)CA-45
7)CA-48
8)CA-49
9)CO-6
10)FL-18
11)FL-26
12)FL-27
13)IL-6
14)IL-12
15)IL-13
16)IL-16
17)IA-1
18)IA-3
19)ME-2
20)MI-3
21)MI-6
22)MI-7
23)MI-8
24)MI-11
25)MN-2
26)MN-3
27)NE-2
28)NJ-2
29)NJ-3
30)NY-1
31)NY-2
32)NY-11
33)NY-19
34)NY-21
35)NY-22
36)NY-23
37)NY-24
38)OH-10
39)OH-14
40)PA-6
41)PA-7
42)PA-8
43)PA-15
44)PA-16
45)TX-23
46)VA-2
47)VA-10
48)WA-3
49)WA-8
50)WI-1
51)WI-7
52)W-8
These districts are +4R and less.

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US Congressional districts Democrats need to win in order to regain control of the US House. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 OP
Thanks for this. We need to start thinking this way right now! LAS14 Mar 2017 #1
Lean Republican by 4 pts Tatiana Mar 2017 #2
These districts are +4R and less means nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 #4
I assume it's the Cook PVI score Jim Lane Mar 2017 #13
CO-6 Mike Coffman.. he needs to go! mountain grammy Mar 2017 #3
How would Salazar do in CO-3? nkpolitics1212 Mar 2017 #6
Ken Salazar? mountain grammy Mar 2017 #7
Kicking. nt littlemissmartypants Mar 2017 #5
K & R ......for visibility.. Wounded Bear Mar 2017 #8
We only need 25 of those to get to 218 in the House. BumRushDaShow Mar 2017 #9
Excellent, important post. Thanks!!! nt chimpymustgo Mar 2017 #10
Keep in mind... Wounded Bear Mar 2017 #11
We need to win all of these and start kicking the GOP to the curb! Initech Mar 2017 #12

LAS14

(13,769 posts)
1. Thanks for this. We need to start thinking this way right now!
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:44 PM
Mar 2017

But what does this mean? "These districts are +4R and less." ?

Tatiana

(14,167 posts)
2. Lean Republican by 4 pts
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:46 PM
Mar 2017

Which honestly is not a lot. Many of these are easily winnable. Some will require substantial investment by the DNC.

We have to do our best. We have to take back the House in order to impeach these bastards.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
4. These districts are +4R and less means
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 08:49 PM
Mar 2017

All of these districts PVI are +4R,+3R,+2R,+1R,even,+1D,+2D,+3D+4D,etc.

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
13. I assume it's the Cook PVI score
Sun Mar 5, 2017, 01:14 AM
Mar 2017

That's the Cook Partisan Voting Index.

It compares the voting in a state or a Congressional district with the national average in the two most recent Presidential elections. The "lean" is computed against the average, not against 50-50. Thus, because we've had two Democratic wins in the popular vote, a district with PVI of 0 (i.e., "EVEN&quot would have, on average, shown a small Democratic edge.

mountain grammy

(26,598 posts)
7. Ken Salazar?
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 09:03 PM
Mar 2017

He's from Alamosa, so maybe. John Salazar was defeated by Tipton in 2010 and Tipton has held on, but being a Republican, there's some corruption going on there. Thought they might get him out this year, but hope for 2018.

Wounded Bear

(58,584 posts)
8. K & R ......for visibility..
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:18 PM
Mar 2017


3- Jaime Buetler...not sure
8- Reichert is long time rep, but backed out on town halls. might be vulnerable
5- McMorris-Rogers could be flippable

I know there are organizers out there.

Wounded Bear

(58,584 posts)
11. Keep in mind...
Sat Mar 4, 2017, 10:21 PM
Mar 2017

we really only need 25 of those to flip and we'll have a bare majority.

35 would be great, though.

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