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NRaleighLiberal

(59,940 posts)
Mon Apr 3, 2017, 10:12 AM Apr 2017

A nice pic of trump erosion from TPM - and good article by Josh Marshall. trump haz a sad!



http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trumps-base-support-begins-to-erode

By JOSH MARSHALL Published APRIL 3, 2017, 8:51 AM EDT

President Trump’s dismal poll numbers continue to be one of the few sources of joy and mirth in the bleak political hellscape his presidency created. From a low of 35% a week ago in the daily Gallup Approval tracking poll, his approval number perked back up to 40%, only to fall back this weekend to 38%. Sad!, as they say.

What I hadn’t looked at in a while was the Rasmussen daily tracking poll which had had Trump at a wildly improbable 55% approval rating as recently as mid-February. Even Rasmussen now has Trump down at 43% approval, his lowest rating yet.
For years Rasmussen has specialized in various synthetic or questionable metrics, most of which have the effect of bolstering favored candidates. One of the less strained is focusing on “strong” approval and disapproval. But here too the numbers for Trump are bad. The most recent Rasmussen number puts Trump “strongly approve” number at 28%, down from 44% at his inauguration. Perhaps even more notable, “strongly disapprove” is at 47%. Almost half of Rasmussen’s already skewed sample “strongly disapproves” of President Trump.

These numbers are notable and entertaining in a way. But the most interesting data in the latest batch of polls comes from the McClatchy/Marist poll. In this poll, released on the 31st, Trump has an approval number at 38%, down from 41% in February. On that, it’s is basically in line with other pollsters. Lee Miringoff, who runs the Marist poll, discusses the various details of the poll here. Really every number is dismal. But this, I think, is the most significant.

There has been a profound shift in public opinion about whether or not President Trump is fulfilling campaign promises. 57% of Americans either strongly agree, 18%, or agree, 39%, that Trump is making good on the promises he made on the campaign trail. This is down from 71% in February. Regardless of party, fewer voters think he is keeping his word. Of note, 83% of Trump’s Republican base, down from 96% previously, believe Trump is fulfilling campaign promises.

“President Trump needs a major legislative win to get on track,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “No doubt the GOP in Congress will be closely watching the president’s standing among Republican voters.”

snippppp....much more at the link above
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A nice pic of trump erosion from TPM - and good article by Josh Marshall. trump haz a sad! (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Apr 2017 OP
Watching tRump? Scarsdale Apr 2017 #1
Possibly a stupid question regarding the conduction of polls. matt819 Apr 2017 #2
Kand REC--and thanks for post riversedge Apr 2017 #3

Scarsdale

(9,426 posts)
1. Watching tRump?
Mon Apr 3, 2017, 11:43 AM
Apr 2017

The gop really should pay attention to what their constituents are saying at their town halls. People are desperately trying to speak to the politicians who claim to "represent them" and bring ignored for the most part. People will get disgusted and elect representatives who DO GET IT. When will tRump decide to replace the Statue of Liberty with Ivanka in NY harbor??

matt819

(10,749 posts)
2. Possibly a stupid question regarding the conduction of polls.
Mon Apr 3, 2017, 12:45 PM
Apr 2017

I assume polling companies make money when someone pays them to undertake a poll.

Who's paying for these daily polls from Rasmussen, Gallup, Quinnipiac, etc.?

Or do they take the polls and then charge media organizations and others for all the detailed data behind the public release?

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