Looking forward toward 2020 - What to expect.
In the first place, there will no doubt be several primary candidates for the Democratic nomination for President. It could be as few as 2 or as many as choose to run. During that primary, they will do their best to lay out their plans for the United States if they were elected. Predictably, some Democrats will like one primary candidate better than the others. Other Democrats will favor a different candidate.
That's what happens in most Democratic primary races, unless we have a popular incumbent already in office. We watched that happen in 2016, and we'll see the same thing in 2020, without a doubt.
During the Primary race, none of the candidates are yet the nominee of the party, so there will be campaigning, disagreements, and even arguments. But, state-by-state, the primary elections and caucuses will be held in our process of selecting delegates to the national convention. By the time of the convention, it will be generally known, in most cases, who the most likely primary candidate will be to become our nominee.
During any primary with more than two candidates, it's a multiple-choice thing. Everyone votes for one of the candidates for the nomination, generally the one they'd like to see in the White House. After the national convention, though, things change. Or, I should say, they should change. Once we have a nominee, the election becomes binary in nature, realistically.
In no recent presidential election in the United States has any candidate who is not a Democrat or a Republican been elected. So, the person elected in November will either be a Democrat or a Republican. That person will become President in 2021. There won't be any alteration of that. Our presidential elections in November, every four years, are binary in nature.
After the convention, the Democratic Party will have a nominee. So will the Republican Party. One of those two will win. A vote for any third party candidate will be futile, since that third party candidate has no probability of winning at all. So, Democrats should vote for the Democratic candidate to prevent the Republican candidate from becoming President.
That's how it usually works. Most voters understand the binary nature of our presidential elections. I hope, by November of 2020, we have understood that and vote accordingly. I truly do, because we didn't do that so well in 2016, and ended up with a narcissistic asshole in the White House. I hope we do not do that again.
