Georgia election results -- with 140K Ossoff holding at 50%

[grantcart]

Last edited Tue Apr 18, 2017, 10:14 PM - Edit history (7)

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/04/18/live-updates-georgias-6th-district-special-election/

Nate Cohn is expecting that early results will favour Ossoff and that he will need to hit 60% early in order to maintain 50% later on.

Updated at 6:15 p.m. Reading the tea leaves

Political analysts are getting wound up about a pair of Sandy Springs districts that could signal a stronger-than-expected Democratic turnout.

The first is a precinct that Democrat Michelle Nunn won with 78 percent of the vote in 2014, meaning that it’s a trove of potential votes for Democrat Jon Ossoff. Turnout in that precinct has nearly doubled on Tuesday, an astounding fete for a special election.

The second is a precinct in a more conservative stretch of Sandy Springs where Nunn only got about a third of the votes. Turnout there is only about half of what it was in 2014.

“That ain’t good,” texted one GOP operative.

Adding Secretary of State Website

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

[lamp_shade]

1. Thank you.

[grantcart]

2. Fulton County Polls Extended.

EAST COBB, GA — As election day progressed around Georgia's 6th District on Tuesday, voting issues plagued some polling stations and candidates appealed to voters on social media for more turnout as much of the nation watched. A judge agreed to keep polls open past 7 p.m. in north Fulton County, where two polling stations were hit by problems Tuesday morning.

Even as evening storms threatened, a steady stream of voters were going to the ballot boxes around the 6th District, an affluent cross-section of the Atlanta suburbs encompassing parts of Cobb, DeKalb and Fulton counties.

[SticksnStones]

3. Georgia is WOKE!

[fun n serious]

4. Is there any news about what is being done about the computer thefts? nt

[CottonBear]

9. Nothing that I've heard. Machines haven't been recovered.

Georgia Secretary of State (R-Good Old White Boy) Brian Kemp said not to worry.

I worry. A lot. Who knows where those tabulating machines have been and who had them and did who knows what to them and where the machines are right now.

I'm here in GA. The only thing I know for sure is that the GA GOP has and will continue to steal elections with all EV machines and NO paper trail.

[fun n serious]

14. It's the only way the win.

I don't know what dems can do about it either.

[jmowreader]

27. The machines that were stolen were electronic pollbooks, not tabulators

[CottonBear]

30. What exactly is the difference? I live in and vote in GA.

The poll worker gives you a card like a thick credit card. You take it to an electronic voting machine and insert it, vote, remove it and return it to the poll worker.

What is the purpose of removing the card? What is the purpose of having the card? Is it reinserted in a polling machine?

We had all non-electronic lever machines everywhere that I lived in GA right up until 2002.

[grantcart]

5. Polls will now officially be closed at 7:55

The adjustments mean the Johns Creek site would close at 7:55 p.m., nearly an hour past the original 7 p.m. cutoff, while voting at Centennial High would cease at 7:35 p.m.

[demmiblue]

6. .

[grantcart]

7. Secretary of State website added

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

[Takket]

8. dems need a win to get back in the game. starts now

[NYC Liberal]

10. Live results from NY Times:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

[Initech]

11. "That ain't good".

Been saying that for everything that's happened since the election!

[Jersey Devil]

12. Live results - The Hill

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/329361-live-results-georgia-special-election

[grantcart]

13. Ossof starts wtih 71% on Sec State 1% voting

[Glitterati]

15. WOW! That's early voting results tabulated

If Ossof did that well in early voting, this is gonna be a very good night for Democrats.

OK early voting from Dekalb county only, but still excellent results.

[grantcart]

16. He is expected to do very well early on and for it to go down from there

In any case 2% isn't significant yet

[grantcart]

17. NYT 63% with about 4% in

[grantcart]

18. Nate Cohn is surprised:

We now have early vote from Cobb County — the most Republican part of the district. Ossoff is at 57 percent in the early vote there, which is much better than I think even the most optimistic analysts would have suggested. Puts Ossoff on pace for around two-thirds of the early vote.

[Glitterati]

21. Yeah, that's huge. 57% in East Cobb?

Yes, very big, early vote or not. East Cobb, for real?

That's Newt Gringrich territory.

[grantcart]

23. Cohn suggests trend isholding

We now have the finished vote in six precincts, and they look pretty good for Ossoff. They also augur for a high turnout. We’ll see whether that holds. Six precincts can easily be unrepresentative.

[Glitterati]

25. Part of what bodes well for Ossof is Karen Handel, honestly

Handel is a perpetual candidate, who always underperforms in every race. The fact that she has been the GOP leader in this race is a very good sign for Ossof.

[grantcart]

19. Nate Cohn early vote in

There are now more than 50,000 votes counted by the Georgia secretary of state — almost all of the early vote — and Ossoff is at 62 percent. I think that’s better than most expected, and it’s at least going to keep us up for a while to wait for what will need to be a strong Republican Election Day vote.

[grantcart]

20. Cohn says turn out should be between 120,000 to 220,000

We would need 110k to meet the higher number

Currently at 33k.

Need about 46% of the rest.

[LaydeeBug]

22. There will be a last minute upset.

Then they'll tell us to hone our message.

[LaydeeBug]

38. It's like I'm becoming *psychic* or something. nt

[a kennedy]

24. He's at 60% now......

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/ *keeping fingers crossed* for a victory of over 50%.

[grantcart]

26. NYT breaks it down by county

It shows Ossof holding more than 50% in Cobb (the only county that Clinton lost in that district)

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

[grantcart]

28. 58% with about 1/3 of the votes in

[grantcart]

29. With 84,000 votes in holding with 56%

[grantcart]

31. If the total number of votes is 200k we are about half way there.

[L. Coyote]

32. Updated at 9:05 p.m. Watch party dispatches

Updated at 9:05 p.m. — Watch party dispatches

Ossoff’s party is rowdy, with hundreds packing the Crown Ravinia ballroom in Dunwoody as oldies and R & B tunes play in the background. Two giant screens are tuned to CNN, and huge roars erupt every time they show election results with Ossoff in the lead.

Long lines form at the cash bars and many in the crowd are enthusiastic, some a bit overly so. A few quiet skeptics are roaming the room, warning supporters that the long night is just beginning.

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[GitRDun]

33. Will be a typical Lucy pulling the football away night

At around midnight tonight some hillbilly will pull 20,000 Republican votes out of their car trunk.

The waving and shouting will go on for a few days.

The millions will pour in for the runoff.

And all will go back to the R's in June.

Sorry. Too negative. I'm doubting Thomas right now.

[grantcart]

34. If the current trend continues it appears we will hit 48% but still possible.

Nate Cohn

Reporter with The Upshot
9:37 PM ET

We now have nearly 100,000 votes counted, with perhaps another 100,000 to come, and the returns are still saying basically the same thing: high turnout, Ossoff a slight underdog but not completely out of it. I’d guess he’s on track for 48 percent or so.

[grantcart]

35. Going to be very close

Nate Cohn

DeKalb is done with its count. Ossoff finishes with 58.5 percent; Clinton had 57 percent (and 47 percent districtwide).

So, you can do the quick math and see why we’re tracking toward something like 48 or 48.5 tonight.

It is possible that the few votes that went to other Democrats might make the difference.

Democrats could get 51% but split among the 4.

[L. Coyote]

36. Live Analysis by Nate Cohn »

Live Analysis by Nate Cohn »

Cobb is done. Ossoff at 50.3% with 55k in Fulton County left. Our guess he gets 45%; needs 49. Seems small, but very hard.

[L. Coyote]

37. 84% reporting (177 of 210 precincts) Jon Ossoff 48.6% Runoff in June