Worst case -Ossoff gets 48% -49% of the vote.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Last edited Tue Apr 18, 2017, 10:32 PM - Edit history (4)

That means the Deplorables would have to get >90% of the remaining votes in the run off.





on edit -added remaining. it was implied

[malaise]

1. Huge win regardless

Congrats Dems

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. I want to win tonight.

But a slow demise for the Deplorables would be fine too.

[malaise]

3. He can still reach 50%

but right now this is a disaster for the Con

[Ilsa]

18. That much is true. It is apparent that 06 despises him. NT

[Warpy]

4. Oh, I think it will likely be less than that

but I think he might have a good chance in a runoff election.

Remember, he's running against 4 GOPS and a whole fistful of other candidates from splinter parties. Remember also that this is Gingrich's old district.

Because of the district's history, if one of the horrible GOP candidates does win the runoff, it is going to be very close and that will send the same shockwaves through that racket, er, party, that the close election in Kansas did.

It will also tell the inside the Beltway crowd in our own party that even deep red districts are now within reach and will become more so as long as the GOP keeps Asshole in office.

[mvd]

7. The NYT analysts think 48% is doable

I really want an outright win. We can still win in the runoff, but we need even higher turnout or some of those Republicans not to back Handel.

[Jersey Devil]

5. The key is Fulton County, won by 2% by Trump

but only 16% of the vote in so far compared to 88% of Cobb and 95% of DeKalb. If Ossoff can outperform Clinton in Fulton he can still get 50%

[BootinUp]

6. The Dem needs to take it now

Or forget about it.

[johnnyrocket]

8. Yep, enough with these close elections. If the voting public doesn't get it now, they never will....

...and we're screwed beyond belief.

[mvd]

9. I really want to win in GA and MT. Close and the man-child in the WH..

can still brag away.

[GulfCoast66]

12. These are districts we should not even be competitive in

Transfer this energy to the upper Midwest or Mid-Atlantic and things will be different.

And also some districts in Central Florida and Southern California. If we are losing districts by 2% that we have traditionally lost by 20%, that is a sea-change.

[onenote]

10. Can you explain? Why wouldn't repubs simply need to get 51 percent in the run off?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. Ossoff is going to get 48% of the vote.

That leaves 51-52% of the vote for everybody else. In the runoff he only has to get 5-10% of that 51-52%. The GOP candidate will have to get all of it.

[onenote]

17. That assumes he gets 100 percent of the vote he gets tonight.

He should, but it will all depend on turnout.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

20. Scattered Dems got 1% of the vote...

So Dems might clear 50% tonight.

It seems to be the Deplorables need to be perfect in the run off and have no margin of error.

[SickOfTheOnePct]

19. If there is a runoff

The winner will have to get 50% + 1 vote to win, period. Claiming that anyone has to get >90% of the vote in a runoff is misleading.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. Yes. It requires someone to make some logical inferences.

I have faith the denizens of this board are capable of that and much more.

[superpatriotman]

11. He is still at 50.70% at 10:00

But his lead has faded.

Democrats need this win. Period.

[LeftInTX]

13. I've seen the front runner in a first round lose in the runoff

If all of those other candidates are R, then they agree to support the R candidate if their candidate lost. Their votes are diluted because there are so many R candidates.

We have non-partisan municipal elections where I live. There are no primaries. Right now we have 14 candidates running for mayor. Only three of those are serious. Tw will compete in a runoff. So much could happen between the first election and the run-off. Lots of dirty tricks etc. Last time, the candidate I supported won the first round, but lost the run-off.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Ossoff is going to get 48% of the vote.

The GOP has to be perfect and the Deplorables are going to be pissed that their candidate got eliminated by a RINO.

[mvd]

16. Needs to overperform in Fulton

Not impossible that he does and gets 50%+, but I agree that runoff looks likely. We better put resources into it.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

22. I get it .

If Ossoff gets 49% of the vote tonight and the GOP gets all the remaining votes in the run off they win. But that means they have to be perfect. I suspect we will see a RINO-Deplorable war now in GA 6.