OK DUers there is a 70% chance of a system forming in the 'Effin Central Atlantic - update -now TD#1

[malaise]

Last edited Wed Apr 19, 2017, 10:46 AM - Edit history (1)

From NOAA

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
825 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
in 48 hours

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is located over the central
Atlantic a little more than 700 miles southwest of the Azores.
There has been a small increase in organization during the past few
hours, and a subtropical depression is likely to form later today
before the system becomes absorbed by a larger extratropical
cyclone on Thursday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will
be issued by 2 PM EDT this afternoon unless advisories have already
been initiated. For additional information on this system, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Avila
--------------------------
It is mid-April - this is the Atlantic - remember there is no Climate Change

[JHan]

1. what the ever living fuck?

The fuck, it's april?!?

[Achilleaze]

2. and the republicans weasel out of the Paris climate meeting...

what planetary-scale idiotic a-holery on the part of the frikken carbon-belching KGOP, Inc. against the people of America and the world.

deplorable.

[malaise]

6. It's now Tropical Depression #1

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/Tropical-Depression-One

The good news NNE - may catch up with Nunes in the Azores

[JHan]

7. this is my expression right now:

April..... April.

[malaise]

9. Bwaaaaaaaaaaah hahahahahaha

[bathroommonkey76]

17. lol

[Phoenix61]

3. That's really, really not a good sign

Way too early. Obviously has nothing to do with climate change.

[LongTomH]

4. It just keeps getting worse!

[malaise]

10. Remember that last yearthe first one was in January

[superpatriotman]

5. Just had my flat roofs redone

Just in time, it seems.

[malaise]

13. Well if it survives it may be the Canadian

Maritimes. Some lousy weather is heading somewhere. There is near Tropical Storm strength

[Quackers]

8. Kick. nt

[Quackers]

11. Found this chart on past hurricane counts. 1851-2015

Total and Average Number of Tropical Cylones by Month
(1851-2015)
Month Tropical Storms Hurricanes U.S. Landfalling
Hurricanes
Total Average Total Average Total Average
JANUARY 2 * 1 * 0 *
FEBRUARY 1 * 0 * 0 *
MARCH 1 * 1 * 0 *
APRIL 1 * 0 * 0 *
MAY 21 0.1 4 * 0 *
JUNE 87 0.5 33 0.2 19 0.12
JULY 118 0.7 55 0.3 25 0.15
AUGUST 378 2.3 238 1.4 77 0.48
SEPTEMBER 571 3.5 395 2.4 107 0.67
OCTOBER 336 2.0 201 1.2 53 0.33
NOVEMBER 89 0.5 58 0.3 5 0.03
DECEMBER 17 0.1 6 * 0 *
YEAR 1619 9.9 991 6.0 284 1.73

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E17.html

[malaise]

12. Very rare

[B2G]

19. This isn't a hurricane

Any data on TDs?

[Blue_Tires]

14. I ain't skeert...

[malaise]

15. LOL

I'm more worried about climate change than this particular storm

[Blue_Tires]

16. True....

But I don't think this storm is going anywhere near you anyway...

[malaise]

18. It's now tropical storm Arlene

Hehehehhe - not coming near me