2018 US Senate Election- Recent poll in TX gives Democrats hope in regaining control of the Senate.

[nkpolitics1212]

A recent poll (Texas Lyceum) shows Cruz-R trailing Castro-D by a 4 point margin (31-35) and Cruz-R and O'Rourke-D in a tie (30-30)
If more polls show that Cruz-R is in a statistical tie race against the likely Democratic nominee, Democrats are likely to pick up the TX US Senate seat along with AZ (assuming US Reps Sinema or Gallego run and/or Flake-R loses the Republican nomination) and NV (assuming US Reps Titus or Kihuen run).
Democrats are likely to hold onto all of the Democratic held US Senate seats in blue states (CA,CT,DE,HI,ME,MD,MA,MN,NJ,NM,NY,RI,VT,VA,and WA),weak red states (FL,MI,OH,PA,and WI) and 3 out of 5 of the strong red states (MO,MT,and WV) IN and ND could go either way.
Democrats need to aggressively contest the 2017 AL US Senate Special Election like they are contesting KS-4 and GA-6.

[Demsrule86]

1. That is fantastic!!!!

[nycbos]

2. It's way to early to talk about likely pickups.

We were all excited when Wendy Davis has a few close polls with Greg Abbott.


And the idea that any Dem can win in Alabama is extremely silly.


Satan would win Alabama if he ran as a Republican

[nkpolitics1212]

4. Wendy lost in 2014 -a Republican wave.

A non controversial Democrat can turn TX into a purple state in a post Trump Era.
Democrats could get Jim Folsom Jr to run. Folsom has been on the ballot for statewide office in AL from 1980 to 1994 and 2006 and 2010.
1980-US Senator-lost by a 3 percent margin.47-50
1986-Lt Governor-won by a 24 percent margin.62-38
1990-Lt Governor-won by a 34 percent margin.67-33
1994-Governor-lost by a 1 percent margin. 49-50
2006-Lt Governor-won by a 2 percent margin. 51-49
2010-Lt Governor-lost by a 3 percent margin. 48-51.

Folsom make the AL US Senate Race competive and can potentially win.

[nycbos]

5. Lt Governor is different then Senate.

The last Senate races in TX haven't been close to competitive. I would be love to be wrong.


This is one of those cases where crow would taste delicious.

[ananda]

3. I sure hope Rep Castro decides to run!

nt

[grantcart]

6. Texas going purple is the end of the Republican Party's national ambitions