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Mon May 29, 2017, 07:24 PM

What would the outcome of the US Senate be in 2018 if Democrats target every Republican seat?

AZ-(Flake-R)The only announced Democratic candidate Deedra Abboud best chance of becoming US Senator is Kelli Ward-R winning the Republican Nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates Randall Freise,Mark Kelly,and Ann Kirkpatrick-D could make a race against Flake a Tossup and defeat Ward-R.
MS-(Wicker-R)Democrats best hope in MS is Wicker-R losing in the Republican primary to Chris McDaniel, and former MSAG Mike Moore running. Current AG Jim Hood is more likely to run for Governor in 2019.
NE-(Fischer-R)Assuming he does not seek a rematch against Don Bacon in NE-2, Brad Ashford. Fischer is favored to win.
NV-(Heller-R)Possible Democratic candidates Dina Titus,Jacky Rosen,Ruben Kihuen,Ross Miller,Kate Marshall or Steve Horsford-D could unseat Heller-R.
TN-(Corker-R)Democrats best hope is Corker-R losing in the Republican primary to Larry Crim-R, and Andy Berke-D the current Mayor of Chattanooga running. Democrats chances of winning TN will also depend how the Democrats perform in the 2018 TN Governors Race. The only Democratic candidate in the 2018 TN US Senate Race is Iraq War Veteran James Mackler.
TX-(Cruz-R)Beto O'Rourke-D chances is based on how great of a voter turnout is in the Black and Hispanic community in the Dallas,Fort Worth,Houston,San Antonio,Laredo,and El Paso area and how unpopular is Trump in Texas.
UT-(Hatch-R)Democrats best hope is Hatch-R losing the Republican primary, Evan McMullin running as an Independent and Jim Matheson-D running.
WY-(Barrasso-R)The only Democrat that could make the race competitive is Former WY Governor Dave Freudenthal. Barrasso-R would still be favored.

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Reply What would the outcome of the US Senate be in 2018 if Democrats target every Republican seat? (Original post)
nkpolitics1212 May 2017 OP
PoindexterOglethorpe May 2017 #1
brooklynite May 2017 #3
nkpolitics1212 May 2017 #4
brooklynite May 2017 #5
NurseJackie May 2017 #2

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon May 29, 2017, 07:36 PM

1. If the DNC would actually go for a 50 state strategy

of supporting Democrats no matter where they are running, we'd stand a chance of winning back both the House and the Senate. Alas, those in charge don't seem to understand or care why a 50 state strategy matters.

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Response to PoindexterOglethorpe (Reply #1)

Mon May 29, 2017, 07:55 PM

3. You're aware that Dean's "50 State Strategy" didn't assume this?

It assumed financial support for each State Party, NOT financial support for every House and Senate race (DNC doesn't fund these).

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #3)

Mon May 29, 2017, 08:17 PM

4. Could the DSCC currently chaired by Chris Van Hollen recruit top tier Democratic candidates in all

of those Republican held US Senate seats and offer them financial support in addition to offering financial support to Donnelly,McCaskill,Tester,Heitkamp,and Brown?

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #4)

Mon May 29, 2017, 08:32 PM

5. Do you assume they won't?

That DOESN'T mean that a "top tier" candidate is going to automatically win in:
Arizona
Nevada
Alabama
Mississippi
Nebraska
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Wyoming

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon May 29, 2017, 07:37 PM

2. You mean, like, instead of trying to primary our own?

Yeah... I like that. Let's go after the GOP instead of the divisive attacks and fracturing our party from within. Love it! Great idea! Let's do it!

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