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Trumps Not Ready for a Crisis
The White House national security team is still in transition, nearly five months on.
By DOUGLAS LUTE June 20, 2017
Inside the 18-acre White House compound, the National Security Council processmaking key decisions and overseeing their executionis still in transition nearly five months after President Donald Trump took office. The sooner this transition concludes, the better for our security. In the long run, getting this transition right is far more important than any of the administrations discrete decisions that have dominated the news since January 20. Based on my firsthand experience in the White House coordinating the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan during the last such transitionthe departure of the Bush administration and the arrival of the Obama team in 2009there are two fundamental challenges.
First, the national security team must be built. This goes far beyond the early presidential memorandum specifying the members of the NSC and the supporting principals and deputies committees. With the departures of Michael Flynn and K.T. McFarland, the NSC staff is now settling in, with H.R. McMaster at the helm. The 10 to 12 senior directors reporting directly to McMaster lead small cells of professionals drawn largely from across the government. But, this is only the nerve center of the national security team. Their counterparts in the State and Defense Departmentswhere the depth of experience and diversity of views reside, and where responsibility for implementation laysare still nowhere close to being in place. Incredibly, nearly half a year in, there are still only a very few political appointees in Foggy Bottom and the Pentagon below the deputy secretary level, fewer than 10 percent of those required.
This is because the administration has been slow to nominate candidates who then face a multistep process: in-depth personal vetting, investigations before being granted a security clearance and in many cases confirmation by the Senate. As candidates are drawn mostly from outside conventional policy circles, they will never have experienced this rigorous process, resulting in further delays. Today, the team is set at the very top, but not the supporting cast. There is simply no substitute for getting the team in place, and soon.
Second, the process of decision-making and overseeing execution needs to be established. This is the how of national security policy. There is no magic formula here, but several principles apply. McMaster will set the example in his relationship with the other principals, especially Tillerson, Mattis, Kelly, Coats, Pompeo and Dunford. Good process builds trust among the players and leads to good policy. Everyone must feel he has a voice in the process, that there will be no rush to judgment, that there is a regular order to decisions and that discussions will remain confidential. A good process will deal with routine issues routinely, allowing the participants to come to discussions well prepared, based on a predictable schedule that also gives them the space to run their own large departments and agencies. Good process also preserves time and energy to handle the inevitable crises, when everyone must stop whatever is planned and move to the Situation Room.
Without a routine process in which the principals have confidence, every issue becomes a crisis: Officials never know what the priorities are, preparation suffers when they become consumed by the latest fire drill, and theres too little time to focus on the longer-term national interest. Another likely impact will be corrosive leaks from inside the still-forming team. Leaks tend to happen when the team is not set, trust not established, and when the process leaves players feeling unheard, undercut or surprised. The result is even further erosion of trust.
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http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/06/20/trumps-not-ready-for-a-crisis-215283
Coventina
(27,113 posts)WhiteTara
(29,704 posts)and that is the end of the great American experiment.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)Remember how poorly Dubya was doing for the first few months of his term. Then 9/11 happened, and he suddenly was anointed our king, the only hero who could protect us from Big Bad al-Qaeda.
And Trump is far more likely to go all the way and make himself virtual emperor-for-life after it happens again.
WhiteTara
(29,704 posts)and then Jared can be BabyDoc for Life!
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)to minimize the size of an attack below the thousands that died on 9/11. It is doubtful even 75 will die at one time unless it is a homegrown rightwing terrorist. So incompetence on Trump's part won't be so glaring.