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Jimbo101

(776 posts)
Thu Jun 22, 2017, 01:23 AM Jun 2017

The overall message of 2017 special elections is that Republicans are in trouble

Vox

Democrats are consolidating Clinton’s gains, and Republicans aren’t consolidating Trump’s.

Rank-and-file Democrats are, reasonably, disappointed with a loss in what seemed to be a winnable special election in Georgia. Even my colleague Andrew Prokop warns that Democrats shouldn’t “sugarcoat” the result, which is “bad news” for the party.

But step back from the specifics of the race and look at all four special elections in red districts held since Donald Trump’s election, and a more optimistic story emerges. Democrats have successfully transferred Hillary Clinton’s gains in well-educated districts to their down-ballot candidates, even while succeeding in making up some of the ground she lost in white working-class ones.

The Democratic Party’s leaders seem to have believed they could improve on her margins in a place like the Georgia Sixth District while being unreasonably pessimistic about the party’s chances in situations like the South Carolina and Kansas races. That speaks somewhat poorly of their judgment and strategic acumen, but the underlying reality revealed by the four elections taken as a whole is actually more bullish for Democrats than the one the party’s leaders thought they were in. If the basic pattern holds up — with Democrats pocketing Clinton’s gains and the GOP not consolidating Trump’s — they are well positioned for the future.


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The overall message of 2017 special elections is that Republicans are in trouble (Original Post) Jimbo101 Jun 2017 OP
The fact that Republicans ... NanceGreggs Jun 2017 #1

NanceGreggs

(27,813 posts)
1. The fact that Republicans ...
Thu Jun 22, 2017, 01:45 AM
Jun 2017

... are playing-up the idea that they won in districts determined to be "safe" months ago speaks for itself.

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