General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMueller's firing is inevitable....here's how I think it goes down, and what happens afterward:
Since Trump knows what he has done, and since the investigation has been going full steam for a while now, he know's he is toast unless a wild hail Mary works (which won't). He will try any hail Mary he can think up....eventually leading to his firing Mueller, and pardoning his crew....all of them....because they are all caught, too.
As for Mueller, his assistant prosecutors, the DOJ, and the FBI.....you KNOW that they all have known that there is a huge chance he will get fired. They have to have some time bombs waiting for that possible eventuality. What they are, I do not know for sure......
However.....there probably are at least some sealed federal indictments waiting for the full investigation to be finished. The NY AG most likely has some charges ready, also. If Mueller is fired, I think immediate federal charges will be unsealed right before it happens.
I say immediate because I think it will go down like this:
1. Trump orders Rosenstein to fire Mueller.
2. Rosenstein will not do it, but he can stall for at least a few minutes.
3. He calls Mueller and lets him know it is about to happen, and the pre-arranged plan is activated.
4. Rosenstein approves indictments of the entire Trump group, which are made public almost instantly, which include indictments of Ryan and McConnell (for being involved with Russian campaign donations), along with unindicted co-conspirator designations for Trump and Pence.
5. Rosenstein resigns.
6. Others resign until Trump finds the one who will do the deed, and Mueller is fired.
7. For good measure, the NY AG issues indictments (with more to follow).
8. Trump issues pardons.
9. Total and complete hell breaks loose.
10. The total and complete hell to which I just referred manifests itself as a furor the likes of which has never been seen before in this country, and impeachment proceedings for Trump and Pence start immediately, with help from those GOP reps who are not involved with the Russia mess (it's Russia...most of them have hated Russia for a long time....they can only take so much, especially after Trump's capitulations at the G20 conference, and it doesn't take that many of them to join the Dems for this to happen).
11. Trump and crew immediately flee the country, heading to mother Russia, rather than just stay and wait to be jailed for decades.
12. Hatch becomes president after Trump and Pence abandon their offices (Ryan resigns and/or refuses to accede to the presidency), and Hatch forms a coalition government, naming Hillary Clinton as VP.
13. Trump is impeached....then Pence immediately thereafter (both in absentia).
14. A complete government stalemate ensues, getting partially cleared up by the mid term elections, which will be a total tidal wave defeat of the Republicans.
15. Unless her health falters, Hillary runs for president in 2020 and wins.
What are your thoughts?
Johnny2X2X
(19,001 posts)No leaks from Mueller and his team means they understand that they need to hide what they are doing until they are done. This might let them finish.
cilla4progress
(24,723 posts)I could live with that outcome!
One more thing: Conservatives/ Republicans are out of power for foreseeable generations!
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Stargleamer
(1,989 posts)L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Please, the real answers, no speculations ....
tableturner
(1,680 posts)L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)CanonRay
(14,093 posts)The second part is a trick question, as there is no World Series in 2023 due to the eruption and the end of mankind. You're welcome.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)What should I do with my shares of PONDX?
klook
(12,153 posts)The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,656 posts)Rosenstein can't "approve" indictments, nor can any other prosecutor. Grand juries, not prosecutors, issue indictments, and those indictments are not issued until the grand juries have heard witnesses. In this case there would be a lot of them and it will take a long time.
The NY AG can't issue indictments either, for the same reason.
A president can't pardon state crimes, so if any of the Trumps are charged with state crimes in NY, Trump can't get them off the hook.
The Trumps wouldn't go to Russia because Putin is not their friend. Chances are they'd wind up in a gulag, or worse.
In no known (or unknown) universe would Ryan turn down the presidency.
In no known (or unknown) universe would Hatch form any kind of coalition with Hillary.
Hillary will not run in 2020, nor should she.
jaysunb
(11,856 posts)ecstatic
(32,673 posts)tableturner
(1,680 posts)following Trump's jet on the way to Russia? It would make the OJ Bronco chase look like small potatoes. The TV news stations could show the Flight Aware map on screen so the public could see the progress of the plane heading to Moscow. Would be a hell of a show!
tableturner
(1,680 posts)We assume that is Trump's jet. The plane seems to be traveling steadily to the northeast. We'll let you know when we get more info."
"Thanks, Katy.....let's go to Jacob Soboroff at Players sports bar in Manhattan..."
"Yes, Lester, I'm talking to Dante Farelli, a Knicks fan coming to watch his favorite team....he and the rest of the bar is glued to the Trump air chase. Dante.....what are you thinking now?"
"Well.....I was looking forward to a good time watching the Knicks play the Bulls, but heck, this is ten times better!I hope Ryan and McConnell follow Trump tomorrow night. The hell with basketball!"
"Okay, Lester....back to you....we'll be talking to more bar patrons later."
"Thanks, Jacob.....we're now going to Steve Kornacki, in North New Jersey....
"Lester....Trump lied and said that Muslims in New Jersey were cheering on the rooftops of their houses when 911 happened. Well, I'm here to tell you now that Muslims, and all other ethnic groups are up on their rooftops cheering and shouting 'Death to Comrade Trump!' I'll have some interviews later."
"We'll be back after a word from our sponsors."
ecstatic
(32,673 posts)Although... can any of his planes handle a chase? Didn't Pence almost crash on the runway in Trump's plane?
tableturner
(1,680 posts)Talk about needing popcorn for a show! Can you imagine the traffic flood on DU if that were to happen?
magicarpet
(14,143 posts)...... you must be kidding.
More like Russian caviar, lobster, and champagne.
With 100 US Air Force fighter jets escort to the Russian air space border and dump the whole tr-dump clan in Putin's lap.
snooper2
(30,151 posts)pnwmom
(108,973 posts)that some sealed indictments already exist.
And Grand Juries don't issue ALL indictments; some are approved by a Judge.
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,656 posts)According to Rule 6, Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, a federal indictment can only be brought by a grand jury, which consists of 16-23 people. A judge must call (convene) a grand jury "when the public interest so requires." Those selected to serve on the grand jury do so for approximately one year, after which a new grand jury is selected by the U.S. District Court. The grand jury hears evidence and testimony from witnesses presented by the prosecution, and has the power to ask questions and subpoena witnesses and documents on its own. Once the grand jury hears the evidence, it can vote to indict or not, based on whether they believe there is probable cause to believe the defendant is guilty.
A minimum of 16 grand jurors must be present to vote (a quorum), and at least 12 must vote in favor of an indictment before charges can be brought. If the grand jury votes to indict, it will return a true bill, signed by the foreperson of the grand jury.
In other words, a judge can order a grand jury to be convened, but only the grand jury itself can actually issue an indictment.
A grand jury has been convened in the Eastern District of Virginia, but grand juries hear more than one case during their terms.
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,656 posts)any sealed indictments have been issued. So if somebody claims that there *are* sealed indictments, they're just speculating or making shit up. Here's why:
Rule 6 says " 4) Sealed Indictment. The magistrate judge to whom an indictment is returned may direct that the indictment be kept secret until the defendant is in custody or has been released pending trial. The clerk must then seal the indictment, and no person may disclose the indictment's existence except as necessary to issue or execute a warrant or summons."
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)be sealed indictments pending the finish of the rest of the investigation. Surely in a large case Grand Juries don't issue all the indictments on the same day; some must be sealed, to be unsealed at the proper time.
tableturner
(1,680 posts)be released at an appropriate time. That is a plausible scenario, for sure.
And Ocelat, you're being a bit too picky. I should have used the word "release" instead of "issued". Yes, the grand jury returns indictments. When to act on and publicize is determined by multiple factors. I am not sure what the proper word is, but sealed indictments are eventually unsealed and acted upon. That'a all I was saying.
Laffy Kat
(16,376 posts)enid602
(8,606 posts)When tRump fires Mueller (and I feel he has no other choice but to do so), our country will have effectively suffered a coup. Whether or not that coup is effective, however depends on the loyalties of the military and IC. I'm not sure these organizations will back tRump.
Freethinker65
(10,008 posts)Last edited Tue Jul 11, 2017, 12:22 AM - Edit history (1)
He and his cabal are free to live out their lives in grifter luxury...but as most are now shunned in the U.S. by the wealthy donor elites, they will spend little time here. Melania will profess her love for Trump, but seek separation soon after the resignation and return to her native Slovenia. Trump will die a clueless obese demented man at one of his foreign properties. The Republicans in power will close down all investigations for "the good of the country" and "healing" to occur. The Democrats will go along without much of a choice. Pence becomes President and encourages a rousing unity speech from Hillary. She obliges, then is sent back to obscurity. The country will be in shock. The GOP will continue to pass conservative "Christian" agenda with ultra conservative court appointments. Voter purges will be accelerated. The Democrats will gain some seats in the House, but not enough for control, and will not gain control of the Senate in 2018. Pence will have competition from the GOP in the 2020 presidential primary.
SJMULE
(193 posts)"The Democrats will go along without much of a choice. Pence becomes President and encourages a rousing unity speech from Hillary. She obliges, then is sent back to obscurity."
And if the Dems capitulate like this instead of putting their boots and heels on the neck of every Trump apologist and GOP apologist to bury them for eternity, they deserve the scorn and no votes of every patriotic American.
emulatorloo
(44,096 posts)KNew exactly what Flynn was up to w Russia and lied about it.
onenote
(42,660 posts)Mme. Defarge
(8,020 posts)12 & 15.
Tommy_Carcetti
(43,157 posts)jmowreader
(50,545 posts)Hillary's an awesome leader, but 30-plus years of right wing attacks have polarized the nation.
If I was going to pick one person to swear he'll come in, keep the nation on an even keel working with Orrin Hatch while the entire Trump Administration is being packed into tumbrils, and then step aside in 2020...I'm going with Joe Manchin, who is a bland moderate. We need a new Gerald Ford - a guy who won't break anything and will keep the Naval Observatory dusted for a couple of years. Manchin will do.
In 2020, we need someone who can communicate with both liberals and conservatives. With Hillary we don't get the Bernie Wing and we don't get anyone even slightly to the right of Hillary. My pick's Al Franken; even if you don't like his politics, you probably like him.
tableturner
(1,680 posts)phleshdef
(11,936 posts)Gets a lil crazy after that
Patterson
(1,529 posts)He owes too much.
Hamlette
(15,411 posts)and Mueller won't do #4 but other than that, good plan
tableturner
(1,680 posts)He certainly consults with Mueller, especially about preserving the investigation and any pending indictments. The acting AG, while working with the special counsel he supervises, taking measures to preserve and ensure the integrity of an investigation is no violation of law, procedure, or code of ethics of attorneys.
For the same reason, I disagree with you about #4.
A-Schwarzenegger
(15,596 posts)The fire-Mueller ship has sailed.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)This was specifically said publicly when his appointment was announced. So it does seem to me that would be Trump's desperation move to save himself, but what is he going to use for cause?
Sam
tableturner
(1,680 posts)anything you could think of, as opposed to doing nothing and voluntarily consigning oneself to going to prison?
Samantha
(9,314 posts)It will not be as easy to push Mueller to the side as it was Comey. And if Mueller perceived his termination was unjust, he just might not leave. I wouldn't.
Sam
oldtime dfl_er
(6,930 posts)you're letting Jeff Sessions off scot free?????
tableturner
(1,680 posts)Kablooie
(18,619 posts)tableturner
(1,680 posts)for a multitude of reasons we all know. There is much discord in our country, which was one of his goals. If Trump gets thrown out of office, the discord, confusion, and even the country's security vulnerability will go to maximum levels. It worked....it was a long shot that it would work at all. Plus, he may have gotten a lot of good info, and the average citizen may not ever know what that is.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)1) Undated pardons have already been prepared and signed for all of the main Trump family members including Trump and Bannon and a few others and are sitting in their attorney's safes. they will be point one not eight.
2) There will be an effort to get someone who is completely unattached to the government, a Gerald Ford type to give them a new break. Mitch Daniels would be a good choice from their point of view.
tableturner
(1,680 posts)Mike Nelson
(9,949 posts)...agree with your thesis...he has to do something to try and stop the investigation... but, I think Trump would favor a much more cowardly exit strategy... he would resign and damn the "rigged" investigation which "wrongly" revealed him. Your way is much more fun, though!
Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)It in fact would require a long, drawn out process to fire him.
If anyone here has ever worked for the Federal Government you know how that goes. I have seen cases where an employee actually phycially assaulted their supervisor on the job to the point the supervisor was hospitalized and the employee was arrested and 3 weeks later that employee was still on the payroll as the process of firing them slowly proceeded.
The idea of Trump firing him is fantasy, absent some serious and provable in a hearing misconduct on Muellers part.
Achilleaze
(15,543 posts)against the ongoing ACTS OF WAR* russia is launching on America.
* per dick freaking cheney, for god's sake.
Stinky The Clown
(67,776 posts)FSogol
(45,464 posts)of the episode. Numbers 11-15 are pure unadulterated nonsense.
CanonRay
(14,093 posts)He pardons everyone. Congress does nothing. All hell is a bunch of "crybaby snowflake Libtards" and who gives a shit. Trump stays in office to the end of his term, the GOP does everything possible to ensure they cannot lose even if they lost, and run Pence or some other flunky.
11. We're fucked.
oldtime dfl_er
(6,930 posts)sadly
Javaman
(62,507 posts)while all of what you wrote happens...
alt right nuts go nuts.
either because they support tRump or, more likely, they see an opportunity to seed dissension among the general population in hopes of starting some sort of internal civil/race war.