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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Fri Jul 21, 2017, 10:17 PM Jul 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

Most Vulnerable Democratic held seats.
MO (McCaskill-D) vs Hawley-R
IN (Donnelly-D) vs Messer-R
OH (Brown-D) vs Mandel-R
WV (Manchin-D) vs Morrisey-R
ND (Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R
MT (Tester-D) vs Rosendale-R
FL (Nelson-D) vs Scott-R
WI (Baldwin-D) vs Hovde-R
Most Vulnerable Republican held seats
NV (Heller-R) vs Rosen-D
AZ (Flake-R) vs Stanton-D
TX (Cruz-R) vs O'Rourke-D
In 2018 Democrats lose MO and IN and pick up NV and AZ 48D 52R
In 2020 Democrats hold onto most vulnerable seats in MI,NH,and VA and pick up CO,AZ-Special,and NC.



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2018 US Senate Election-Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats. (Original Post) nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 OP
McCaskill and Donnelly are favorites. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2017 #1
If McCaskill-MO and Donnelly-IN are favored to win re-election, Democrats will hold onto every nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #3
We need to get Cruz out brokephibroke Jul 2017 #2
+1 onetexan Jul 2017 #6
Hawley has not declared xmas74 Jul 2017 #4
Wild Card - Menendez - NJ Jersey Devil Jul 2017 #5
If Christie gets to appoint Menendez's successor to the US Senate, NJ will become the most nkpolitics1212 Jul 2017 #8
I very much disagree with your placement of Brown dsc Jul 2017 #7

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
3. If McCaskill-MO and Donnelly-IN are favored to win re-election, Democrats will hold onto every
Fri Jul 21, 2017, 11:03 PM
Jul 2017

vulnerable Democratic seat in 2018 and pick up NV and AZ to get to 50 seats. If there is going to be a special election in AZ in 2018-Democrats could get their 51st seat otherwise Democrats have to wait until 2020 to pick up CO.

onetexan

(12,994 posts)
6. +1
Sat Jul 22, 2017, 01:04 AM
Jul 2017

I went to one of Beto's meet & greet here in North tx. he is as great opponent for lyin' Ted cruz.
H

xmas74

(29,658 posts)
4. Hawley has not declared
Fri Jul 21, 2017, 11:37 PM
Jul 2017

And McCaskill is fundraising like nobody's business. Her position is precarious but she can still pull it off. Her ten town halls in two days over the Fourth of July week has actually boosted her a bit.

Some here on DU don't like her. I've met her in person many times. She's good for Missouri and good for the country.

Jersey Devil

(9,862 posts)
5. Wild Card - Menendez - NJ
Sat Jul 22, 2017, 12:54 AM
Jul 2017

He is scheduled to go on trial in September. If convicted before Christie leaves office he will be replaced by a Republican.

nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
8. If Christie gets to appoint Menendez's successor to the US Senate, NJ will become the most
Sat Jul 22, 2017, 09:13 AM
Jul 2017

vulnerable Republican held seat up in 2018. Democrats will win back that seat in 2018.

dsc

(52,129 posts)
7. I very much disagree with your placement of Brown
Sat Jul 22, 2017, 01:32 AM
Jul 2017

I don't think he is in worse shape than Manchin or Heitkamp. All three have good histories of winning in their states but of the three Brown has won by bigger margins and is facing a less good opponent. I am, by no means, saying Brown is a lock but I think he is a mild favorite and more of one than either Manchin or Heitkamp.

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