General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2018,2020,and 2022 US Senate Elections-Highly Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
Highly Vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seats
2018
IN-Donnelly-D vs Messer-R
MO-McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R
MT-Tester-D vs Rosendale-R
ND-Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R
WV-Manchin-D vs Morrisey-R
2020
No Democratic Held US Senate seat up in 2020 is highly vulnerable.
Warner-VA,Shaheen-NH,Franken-MN,and Peters-MI will win by a wider margin than in 2014.
2022-If a Democrat is in the White House.
CO-Bennet-D
NV-Cortez Masto-D
NH-Hassan-D
CO and NV will become more Democratic after 2020 due to increasing Hispanic population.
2022-If Trump or Pence is in the White House.
None of the Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2022 is highly vulnerable.
Bennet-CO,Cortez Masto-NV,and Hassan-NH will win by a wider margin than in 2016.
Highly Vulnerable Republican Held US Senate seats
2018
AZ-Flake-R vs Stanton-D
NV-Heller-R vs Rosen-D
AZ Special- Whoever Governor Ducey-R appoints vs Sinema-D
2020
AZ Special- Whoever Governor Ducey-R appoints vs Sinema-D
CO-Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Hancock,or Johnston-D. Polis-D will be Governor, Kennedy-D will be LT Governor.
ME-if Collins-R retires or loses in the primary.
MT-Daines-R vs Bullock-D
NC-Thillis-R vs Foxx or Stein-D
TX-if Cornyn-R retires, One of the Castro brothers run.
2022-If a Democrat is in the White House
AZ-if a Republican wins the 2018 or 2020 special vs Sinema or Gallego-D
GA-if Isakson-R retires and Democrats nominate Reed,Abrams,Evans,Nunn,or Carter-D
NC-if Burr-R retires.
2022-If Trump or Pence is in the White House
AZ-If a Republican wins the 2018 or 2020 special vs Sinema or Gallego-D
FL-Rubio-R vs Crist-D
NC-if Burr-R retires.
PA-Toomey-R vs Wolf or Boyle-D
WI-Johnson-R vs Pocan-D
In 2018-Democrats lose IN and MO and pick up AZ and NV.
In 2020-Democrats will pick up AZ,CO,MT,and NC -Democrats regain control of the US Senate.
In 2022-Democrats will pick up FL.
HopeAgain
(4,407 posts)I haven't seen any poll numbers yet, but Florida keeps trending deeper red. He will probably be running against a 2 time Republican Governor.
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Florida Chamber of Commerce Poll taken in March 2017 has Nelson-D leading by 48-42
St Leo University Poll taken in March 2017 has Nelson-D leading by 39-34
Mason Dixon poll taken in March 2017 has Nelson leading by 46-41
University of North Florida Poll taken in February 2017 has Nelson-D leading by 44-38
Public Policy Polling poll taken in September 2016 has Nelson leading by 45-41
Nelson-D is going to defeat Scott by a high single digit margin especially with Trump in the White House.
Nelson-D is popular in Northern and Central Florida.