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MyNameIsKhan

(2,205 posts)
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 01:38 PM Aug 2017

Why one big-time Republican consultant thinks Trump won't be president by 2019 ?

http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/22/politics/donald-trump-gop-mike-murphy/index.html
...

Cillizza: Finish this sentence: "Donald Trump will be president until __________." Now, explain.
Murphy: Again, my crystal ball on Trump is 100% certified as badly cracked. But I'll try. "Donald Trump will be President until early 2019."
Here's why: First, he won't get better. There will be more Trump outrages, despite whatever staff shuffling occurs in the White House. Trump is the atomic clock of Trump craziness; he cannot change.
Second, I fear the GOP will have a very rough midterm election, particularly in the House. Although I want the GOP to win despite Trump, I'm pessimistic. I think (especially after Charlottesville and the next Trump Charlottesville-esque mess whatever that will be) that voting against Trump/the GOP will become a big social value for a lot of young, marginal voters in 2018. If these Democratic-leaning, presidential year voters show up to protest Trump in the midterms, we Republicans will face our worst turnout nightmare and we will lose the House.
If that happens, post-election Donald Trump will be alone, despised by his own party, a failure rebuked by the nation, and politically neutered even more than he is today. He'll channel-surf between reports of various D's and R's setting up to run against him for president in 2020. At that point I think President Trump will pine for the Tower. A resignation is far from impossible, if for no other reason than nothing is impossible with Trump. There is also the Mueller factor and whatever legal jeopardy his family could face. All unknown, but all potentially huge problems for him.
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Why one big-time Republican consultant thinks Trump won't be president by 2019 ? (Original Post) MyNameIsKhan Aug 2017 OP
We have to wait that long? liberal N proud Aug 2017 #1
First things first. Start with THIS YEAR: 2017. . . DinahMoeHum Aug 2017 #8
Creeping of certain depression . . . Iliyah Aug 2017 #2
To "spend time with his family" won't fly, but he still has an out DFW Aug 2017 #3
"Although I want the GOP to win despite Trump..." Liberalagogo Aug 2017 #4
He has already been determined a failure, luvtheGWN Aug 2017 #5
He has already done so much damage in 1/2 a year PatSeg Aug 2017 #6
yes in another 18 months, we will reduced to rubles ... MyNameIsKhan Aug 2017 #9
Let us make it so. DinahMoeHum Aug 2017 #7

DinahMoeHum

(21,784 posts)
8. First things first. Start with THIS YEAR: 2017. . .
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 03:59 PM
Aug 2017

. . .mostly LOCAL elections.

It all starts at the local level.

As the candidate I'm supporting for County Executive tells us:
"If you want to get to Berlin, first you have to get to Normandy"

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
2. Creeping of certain depression . . .
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 02:10 PM
Aug 2017

The 1% losing money will put a stop to him, because, unfortunately "wealth" will be the only deter.

DFW

(54,358 posts)
3. To "spend time with his family" won't fly, but he still has an out
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 03:37 PM
Aug 2017

Remember, he had some quack pronounce him in excellent health last year?

Well, all he needs is a new quack to claim the first quack was practicing "fake medicine," and the new one says Trump needs to give up the job for health reasons, and concentrate on activities for which large doses of viagra are needed.

But don't gloat if it happens. Life under Vice-President Ayatollah won't be an improvement.

luvtheGWN

(1,336 posts)
5. He has already been determined a failure,
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 03:38 PM
Aug 2017

rebuked by the international community -- especially by his supposed international allies. All the trade pacts in the world won't change their minds. They can't trust him. Nobody can trust him, either at home or abroad.

PatSeg

(47,413 posts)
6. He has already done so much damage in 1/2 a year
Tue Aug 22, 2017, 03:52 PM
Aug 2017

Imagine how much more he can do in 16-17 months. It is terrifying.

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