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Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:27 PM

Who voted for Trump?

from https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/10/the-first-white-president-ta-nehisi-coates/537909/

Asserting that Trump’s rise was primarily powered by cultural resentment and economic reversal has become de rigueur among white pundits and thought leaders. But evidence for this is, at best, mixed. In a study of preelection polling data, the Gallup researchers Jonathan Rothwell and Pablo Diego-Rosell found that “people living in areas with diminished economic opportunity” were “somewhat more likely to support Trump.” But the researchers also found that voters in their study who supported Trump generally had a higher mean household income ($81,898) than those who did not ($77,046). Those who approved of Trump were “less likely to be unemployed and less likely to be employed part-time” than those who did not. They also tended to be from areas that were very white: “The racial and ethnic isolation of whites at the zip code level is one of the strongest predictors of Trump support.”

An analysis of exit polls conducted during the presidential primaries estimated the median household income of Trump supporters to be about $72,000. But even this lower number is almost double the median household income of African Americans, and $15,000 above the American median. Trump’s white support was not determined by income. According to Edison Research, Trump won whites making less than $50,000 by 20 points, whites making $50,000 to $99,999 by 28 points, and whites making $100,000 or more by 14 points. This shows that Trump assembled a broad white coalition that ran the gamut from Joe the Dishwasher to Joe the Plumber to Joe the Banker. So when white pundits cast the elevation of Trump as the handiwork of an inscrutable white working class, they are being too modest, declining to claim credit for their own economic class. Trump’s dominance among whites across class lines is of a piece with his larger dominance across nearly every white demographic. Trump won white women (+9) and white men (+31). He won white people with college degrees (+3) and white people without them (+37). He won whites ages 18–29 (+4), 30–44 (+17), 45–64 (+28), and 65 and older (+19). Trump won whites in midwestern Illinois (+11), whites in mid-Atlantic New Jersey (+12), and whites in the Sun Belt’s New Mexico (+5). In no state that Edison polled did Trump’s white support dip below 40 percent. Hillary Clinton’s did, in states as disparate as Florida, Utah, Indiana, and Kentucky. From the beer track to the wine track, from soccer moms to nascar dads, Trump’s performance among whites was dominant. According to Mother Jones, based on preelection polling data, if you tallied the popular vote of only white America to derive 2016 electoral votes, Trump would have defeated Clinton 389 to 81, with the remaining 68 votes either a toss-up or unknown.

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Arrow 6 replies Author Time Post
Reply Who voted for Trump? (Original post)
cyclonefence Sep 2017 OP
JI7 Sep 2017 #1
cyclonefence Sep 2017 #3
Hoyt Sep 2017 #2
cyclonefence Sep 2017 #4
Hoyt Sep 2017 #5
cyclonefence Sep 2017 #6

Response to cyclonefence (Original post)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:31 PM

1. White straight christians

Especially the men

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Response to JI7 (Reply #1)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:36 PM

3. What surprised me

well, one of the things that surprised me in this essay is that Trump's support did not come mostly from the so-called "white working class" but from, as you say white straight christians, although I'm not sure about the christian part. I'd like to see some poll numbers broken down by religious affiliation, but straight I'll give you.

Trump even out-polled HRC (although only by a small margin) among women.

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Response to cyclonefence (Original post)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:33 PM

2. In other words, white wing racists voted overwhelmingly for Trump. Who would have guessed?

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Response to Hoyt (Reply #2)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:43 PM

4. The point is that Trump's voters were not "working-class"

From the essay:

voters in their study who supported Trump generally had a higher mean household income ($81,898) than those who did not ($77,046). Those who approved of Trump were “less likely to be unemployed and less likely to be employed part-time” than those who did not. They also tended to be from areas that were very white: “The racial and ethnic isolation of whites at the zip code level is one of the strongest predictors of Trump support.”

Maybe your experience is different from mine, but I would be shocked to hear racist crap in that elevated economic level. There is so much hand-wringing over the Democratic Party's neglect of the "white working class" who were drawn to Trump's populism--these numbers indicate that the problem is much bigger than that. We need to attract racists from all economic walks of life.

I hope I don't really need this, but

Or we could get to work on combating institutionalized racism and put a few cops in jail for starters.

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Response to cyclonefence (Reply #4)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:49 PM

5. Yeah, they don't talk racist crud, they just practice racist hiring, promotion, housing, etc.

Probably worse than a confederate flag waving racist.

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Response to Hoyt (Reply #5)

Sat Sep 16, 2017, 07:52 PM

6. Yes, they're smart enough

or socially conditioned enough to know to hide it.

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