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malaise

(268,930 posts) Tue Jul 17, 2012, 07:55 PM Jul 2012

Pssssssssssssst- Intrade has Obama at 56%

that is all

4 replies

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Pssssssssssssst- Intrade has Obama at 56% (Original Post) malaise Jul 2012 OP

He was 61% a couple of months back. banned from Kos Jul 2012 #1

FiveThirtyEight abolugi Jul 2012 #2

Snapshot. sadbear Jul 2012 #3

I've backed off a 10-point prediction. Zax2me Jul 2012 #4

banned from Kos

(4,017 posts)

1. He was 61% a couple of months back.

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 07:58 PM

Jul 2012

Then June brought some selling before the SCOTUS decision and its been up from 52% since then.

abolugi

(417 posts)

2. FiveThirtyEight

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 09:33 PM

Jul 2012

has him at 66.8%, down slightly from last week..

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/17/july-17-obama-odds-fall-on-gloomy-g-d-p-forecast/

sadbear

(4,340 posts)

3. Snapshot.

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 09:36 PM

Jul 2012

Although it should be higher than 60 right now.

Zax2me

(2,515 posts)

4. I've backed off a 10-point prediction.

Reply to malaise (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 09:42 PM

Jul 2012

But still.
This isn't going to be close.
And both sides know it.
Obama is already working his second term plans which means I expect we will get a better four years than we got the first time around. He didn't have a lot of experience and was practically learning on the job.

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