... that so many want to conflate the words "fringe" and "base" (or "extremist" and "base" .
They're NOT the same thing... not even close.
But, our loyal BASE are the ones who are mature and reliable. They come out to vote and they SUPPORT the party. They're not part of the "rule-it-or-ruin-it" group.
Its offensive and they really outed themselves. You and I know that. Most others are catching on.
... because they went all tea-party-koo-koo? (Or am I misremembering some other group?)
Is that Dean started that group and his brother Jim ran it (don't know if he still does)
This was the subgroup that Northam beat Hillary Clinton on....educated women, particularly suburbian. They voted for Trump last time or didn't vote at all. They came out to vote. ALL women, and this subgroup in particular.
That includes black women. And white women. And Asian women. And all other women. But men, too! Particularly upper middle class & the wealthy...Northam did well in those groups.
That tweet and post didn't cite where they got those numbers from. The numbers aren't final yet.
I'm sure the Democratic Party will look at the demographics, when the numbers are official, and analyze them for the 2018 mid-terms.
-- Women made the difference. White women with college degrees -- a group that split evenly in the 2013 Virginia governors election favored Northam by 16 points over Gillespie in preliminary exit polling, 58 percent to 42 percent. Northams margin is more than twice as wide as the margin Hillary Clinton won those voters by last year, 50 percent to 44 percent.
Married women voted for Northam by 10 points according to preliminary exit polls, 54 percent to 44 percent. In the 2016 presidential election, Trump eked out a one-point lead with this group, 48 percent to 47 percent. Married women consisted of 30 percent of Virginia voters this year, about the same share as in 2016 and 2014.
And, of course, African American women. Lets keep it up, girls.
The votes aren't even all counted yet.
These numbers need to be studied in Virginia & the other states, to see if we can repeat this in the 2018 mid-terms.
Saw on MSNBC that Healthcare was the #1 reason given for their votes. Gun control was 2nd.
The shift from 2016 votes for Trump to 2017 votes for Northam was +7 percent towards the D among whites (both men and women).
The percent of the Black vote for Northam was actually a little lower than that for Hillary in 2016.
It is not dismissive of the base. The base turned out strong as usual. However, that strong turnout from the base was not enough to defeat Trump. What defeated the Republican in this election was the fact that there was movement towards the Democratic side from white voters.
What defeated the Republican in this election was the fact that there was movement towards the Democratic side from white voters.
35 percent of white voters in Virginia voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
42 percent of white voters in Virginia voted for Ralph Northam in this election.
That shift accounts for Northam's victory.
Which you omitted in this post. Well done. I agree this is a big part.
A majority of white voters went Republican again. Not the base. Clearly.
I'm not following the distinction you are making.
My argument is that the difference between 2016 and 2017 is that in this most recent election there was movement from white voters away from R and towards D.
For example if Northam won't say 2% fewer of the votes from black women, but there was a 10% increase in turnout among black women that would mean more votes for him.
Either way, for today, I think the correct answer is to celebrate the victories up and down the ballot.
It is great that Democrats did so well!
In terms of turnout, it was much higher in the 2016 election than in this one (by about a million voters).
AA women 12%
AA men 9%
The OP is correct.
AA women gave the margin of difference.
If white men and women hadn't shifted over to the D side, then the Republican would have won.
Especially women are the base of our party.
Fickle white sure are not. Especially young hipsters.
But today is a good day for all Democrats!
And each and every one of them deserve our thanks regardless of their color or gender.
women voted against their own interests just like in the general election.
Surrendered to Authoritative Patriarchy in exchange for what exactly? To feel safe and "taken care of"?
So, so glad my daughters are nothing like them.
party of Donald Trump isn't going to 'take care' of any of the everyday Americans who voted for them. They want us to suffer prodigiously under the heavy yoke of unrestrained capitalism. At least Mercer, Koch and those radical libertarians they have in their pockets want that.
election would have been much closer and perhaps even a loss...it takes everyone to win...let's not do this. I am grateful to all of our Democratic voters who made this possible.
so there is a certain type who would like to maintain their privileges
17%? What the fuck were they listening to?
It really should be like 95-5 AA women and (maybe) 90-10 AA men
We need to remember that and address issues important to them directly and often.
It's not how many women voted for the Dems. It's WHICH women came out to vote for them who don't always vote Democratic. And that is the suburbian woman.....Northam beat the # of women who voted for Clinton, and far exceeded the suburbian educated woman count than Clinton. THEY MADE A DIFFERENCE.
Let's give credit where credit is due. Many of them voted for Trump or didn't vote at all.
But thanks to all who went out in bad weather and voted, all women and all men.
THANK YOU from the bottom of my heart.
Could we do something to recruit Michelle Obama to run? I have no doubt she could right this ship.
I wonder whose recent visit to VA may have helped GOTV?
If you start digging into the numbers there were a number of variables that played into what happened in VA. Indeed the Female black vote was massive for Northam as was the male black vote. But the shift in #s for white woman breaking for Northam was also very significant compared to past elections. Black woman could have voted for Northam but if white woman didn't increase their numbers for the D compared to the past he may have had a much closer election or even a loss.
It takes ALL votes of all races, ages, socio-economic situations to make a winner. I applaud everyone for what they did.
the base votes the way they always do that's why they are the base=GOTV
getting the swing voters, the shift voters, the cross overs, those other than the base, to break your way is how you win close elections
'identity politics' will consider...that those they want to sideline are the base...not those who are calling for this sort of thing.
My question to white women is: WTF is wrong with you? Are you kept my a white man? In the district where I live (12th Michigan, Debbie Dingell is my rep) white women are there every month at the meetings. We are a diverse district and all work together for beat the crap out of the repubs.
But it is good to know that in the women group black women helped take it beyond the threshold.
I despise the term "identity politics". If Democrats want to continue to win, they have to stop thinking they have to reach out to the folks who voted for Trump and think about galvanizing their own base. If we stay true to our own values and embrace every member of the party... We will be victorious.
White women are the biggest obstacle to defeating the Republicans. Democrats are never going to win White men outright. I get that. White men, on average, benefit a lot when Republicans are in power. White women? Not so much. So how is it that the Dems cannot win White women?
We do okay with college educated white women. But working class white women without college education are fear based so they have found several reasons to move steadily toward the GOP. Fifteen years ago it was as security moms and now it's concern that their husbands and children -- particularly sons -- will struggle as providers as the manufacturing, etc. jobs dwindle.
We need them. White liberals (me) should acknowledge their endless contributions and rock-steady support more often and protect the votes of ALL black people as if they are our own. Because they are! White liberals need them and they need us to make a majority that can beat Trump and the crazy-ass regressive, bigoted, corrupt GOP. It's basic math, but more than that, it is also our values.
What percent of the total registered AAF voters, voted? Do the math for all women, white, black, asian, etc.. and then post. This post also leaves out all the people who did GOTV efforts on behalf of the candidates. Not to mention the candidates themselves, who people had to be willing to vote for.
I am thrilled that black women got out the vote but it was a joint effort. They could not have done it without everyone else.
What is 81% of 12%?-9.72% BF vote
What is 91% of 9%?-8.19% BM vote
What is 48% of 32%?-15.36% WF
What is 36% of 36%?-12.96% WM
What is 71% of 6%?-4.26% other vote.
Just have to do the math.
That being said, I would not want a society where only whites or blacks decided issues for all of us. The dance is to have us work together for goals that empower us all, and make a society possible for those who will follow. I do not want a world where anyone does not fell free to contribute, or where people do not feel acknowledged for their contributions. I am thanking everyone. When I think women carried the vote, I think of black, Asian, white, Latina, Indian, lesbians, transgender, etcc.. It feels less like a positive post, and more like a sense of resentment. And I would hate for one to feel that they could not be honest. Because this is the place and time for long overdue change.
I am so pleased to see this and so ashamed that white women could not do better.
voted strongly for him and took it over the threshold. Thankfully!!
but overall, it was the black women who did an outstanding job for the left.
I don't like to play party parts. I am who I am and I don't care who (what group) it is that brought us to the table. I cheer the black women of Virginia this morning for their support of the left and the slap in the face to Trumpism.
I hope some of my fellows will grow up in time.