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Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 11:43 AM Dec 2015

Most Americans are nervous or scared about Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Source: The Week

There's good news and bad news for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in a new national New York Times/CBS News poll, partly released Thursday morning. ... most Americans said they were concerned with both frontrunners: 40 percent of respondents expressed fear and 24 concern about a President Trump, while 34 percent were scared and 23 percent concerned about a President Hillary Clinton.

Read more: http://theweek.com/speedreads/593588/most-americans-are-nervous-scared-about-donald-trump-hillary-clinton



Here is a link to the polling results data.

The "excited" vs. "concerned" vs. "scared" data concerning independent voters was the most interesting, especially as contrasted with partisan voters:

Independents on Trump:

8% .....excited
26% ...concerned
41% ...scared

Independents on Clinton:

4% .....excited
27% ...concerned
32% ...scared

Democrats on Trump:

2% .....excited
25% ...concerned
63% ...scared

Democrats on Clinton:

22% ...excited
17% ...concerned
6% .....scared

Republicans on Trump:

25% ...excited
20% ...concerned
13% ...scared

Republicans on Clinton:

2% .....excited
24% ...concerned
65% ...scared

All Voters on Trump:

11% ...excited
24% ...concerned
40% ...scared

All Voters on Clinton:

9% .....excited
23% ...concerned
34% ...scared
120 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Most Americans are nervous or scared about Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton (Original Post) Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 OP
I really love the cleverness of the Bernie Movement in equating HRC and Trump. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #1
+1 .. n/t obnoxiousdrunk Dec 2015 #2
Agree. What nonsense equating Hillary with a dysfunctional fascist. Hortensis Dec 2015 #26
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #31
The OP misstates Clinton support BADLY, Hortensis Dec 2015 #34
The OP ... staggerleem Dec 2015 #59
76% of Democrats feel GOOD about Hillary. As for the OP, Hortensis Dec 2015 #69
So NOW your wanting to parse a national poll? blackspade Dec 2015 #62
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #71
No, it's not. It's polled Democrats. Hortensis Dec 2015 #73
Now That Sounds itcfish Dec 2015 #86
The similarities between the RW and Sanders folks Gman Dec 2015 #55
Funny ... staggerleem Dec 2015 #61
On this forum there are a few non-bernies who have become trollish, Hortensis Dec 2015 #117
A New York Times/CBS poll result is "the Bernie Movement"? nt. m-lekktor Dec 2015 #5
I was NOT speaking of the poll, which is incredibly obvious to those not looking for an argument. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #91
What did Bernie have to do with this? 840high Dec 2015 #11
Absolutely nothing. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #92
Rectal extraction at its finest mindwalker_i Dec 2015 #21
I assume you're referring to the OP: I totally agree. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #93
If I had meant to respond to the OP, I would have responded to the OP mindwalker_i Dec 2015 #99
Yep. But in the spirit of your original response to me: Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #101
the only equation is that they are both the 'front runners' for their respective parties azurnoir Dec 2015 #52
"another day another smear" Indeed. The author of the OP should be ashamed, but we know better. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #94
The HIllary movement has been equating Bernie to Ron Paul for months. morningfog Dec 2015 #53
Not the same. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #95
Of course not. Of course. morningfog Dec 2015 #103
The parallel between Gore and HRC in that context is true. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #110
I am not "having a sad" and I think you are confused. morningfog Dec 2015 #111
Good lord. No idea why I locked in on Nader. That's embarrassing. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #112
I spend the better part of my day in a brain cramp. morningfog Dec 2015 #113
Yup, that has been the pattern among some for some time. The old Nader still_one Dec 2015 #54
I love the way people use RIGHT WING SOURCES like THE WEEK to make their points. MADem Dec 2015 #57
The CBS poll is equating Trump and Clinton. blackspade Dec 2015 #60
The poll isn't equating ANYONE OR ANYTHING! staggerleem Dec 2015 #63
You're misunderstanding my response. blackspade Dec 2015 #64
It's not the poll that's the problem, it is the OP and posters who make similar comparison. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #96
The poll is doing the comparing. blackspade Dec 2015 #107
the poll did. jeez roguevalley Dec 2015 #97
Nope. The author of the OP misled the readers with the thread title and supporting text. Buzz Clik Dec 2015 #98
And yet 52% say they'll vote for Clinton, only 32% (down 1% from November) for Sanders. George II Dec 2015 #3
it makes complete sense to restrict the question restorefreedom Dec 2015 #45
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #72
Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate? baldguy Dec 2015 #4
The Democratic party is 30% of the electorate. jeff47 Dec 2015 #6
But the Democratic Party is almost 100% of the Democratic Primary electorate. George II Dec 2015 #8
And that still doesn't win the GE. jeff47 Dec 2015 #9
Except Obama lost independents in 2012....and still won. nt Cali_Democrat Dec 2015 #10
He got enough of them to win. Independents are roughly split 50-50 jeff47 Dec 2015 #18
So Bernie has 30% of the Democrats 30% redstateblues Dec 2015 #104
Virtually all registered Democrats will vote for the nominee. jeff47 Dec 2015 #116
52% of 30% of the electorate Doctor_J Dec 2015 #16
You should be. jeff47 Dec 2015 #22
Wait!!! itcfish Dec 2015 #89
It's independents and cross-overs who win GE elections. Hepburn Dec 2015 #15
And do you know what drives those people away? baldguy Dec 2015 #23
To the people I have spoken with -- what drives them away is... Hepburn Dec 2015 #29
As if Sanders could win the general election, Beacool Dec 2015 #28
Democrats are 30% of the electorate. You don't win a general election with 30%. jeff47 Dec 2015 #36
Would you care to expand on your thoughts? Or is that the extent of your observation? Vincardog Dec 2015 #44
My point was clear. Beacool Dec 2015 #106
Yes see Bernie winning every democratic voter that cares a out winning the GE. The winner is the Vincardog Dec 2015 #108
I saw another poll with Clinton getting 6 percent of the Indpedendent vote CoffeeCat Dec 2015 #7
I'd like to see that poll leftynyc Dec 2015 #13
No, 94% will not vote for Hillary -- that is the issue. n/t Hepburn Dec 2015 #17
So somewhere in that poll leftynyc Dec 2015 #20
You are not getting this, are you? Hepburn Dec 2015 #24
And the Poll STILL hasn't been posted leftynyc Dec 2015 #39
So what percentage will it be? Desert805 Dec 2015 #82
No idea leftynyc Dec 2015 #87
What does it matter? Hepburn Dec 2015 #84
Bullshit leftynyc Dec 2015 #88
Link to the poll please. leftofcool Dec 2015 #105
No. Voting is not zero-sum. jeff47 Dec 2015 #25
So you've seen this leftynyc Dec 2015 #41
I'm not talking about that poll. I'm talking about the make-up of the electorate jeff47 Dec 2015 #48
Take it up with the leftynyc Dec 2015 #65
Are you EVER going to post leftynyc Dec 2015 #40
This poll as presented by NYT/CBS is a pretty bad gauge of the opinions of Americans.... George II Dec 2015 #12
Finally I am in the majority on something Doctor_J Dec 2015 #14
K/R 1K n/t SmittynMo Dec 2015 #27
The majority of Americans don't want their taxes raised upaloopa Dec 2015 #37
When it's framed by right wingers, you are correct Doctor_J Dec 2015 #43
Again you are using talking points upaloopa Dec 2015 #75
I saw him get upset when reporters asked about foreign policy. He wanted to talk about the economy. Laser102 Dec 2015 #74
Why is HRC unwilling to apologize for her vote for a WAR CRIME???? Why KingCharlemagne Dec 2015 #115
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #19
When the chips are down, I doubt that Trump will be the Republican nominee. Beacool Dec 2015 #30
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #32
I read that kind of wishful thinking on RW sites. Beacool Dec 2015 #33
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #38
and you are proud of smearing a Dem on a Dem board!! Shame on you. riversedge Dec 2015 #46
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #67
Irony ain't just a lump of ferrous material... whatthehey Dec 2015 #49
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #68
LOL - the cons have leftynyc Dec 2015 #42
Holy False Equivalency, Batman! nt Tommy_Carcetti Dec 2015 #35
Thank you. riversedge Dec 2015 #47
And for the record for all the GD:P people out there..... Tommy_Carcetti Dec 2015 #50
well Bernie is NOT an outsider VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #78
Message auto-removed Name removed Dec 2015 #51
Why? Thenewire Dec 2015 #56
Everyone I've spoken with agrees that this election SUCKS. There are NO decent candidates. Xithras Dec 2015 #58
One reason, IMHO, is the post-Watergate micro-scrutiny of candidates steve2470 Dec 2015 #109
I admire supporters who work tirelessly for their candidate. LanternWaste Dec 2015 #66
This is such bullshit. murielm99 Dec 2015 #70
Insightful analysis. frylock Dec 2015 #76
22% of Democrats are excited about Clinton. frylock Dec 2015 #77
Why even care about what Republicans think? ThoughtCriminal Dec 2015 #79
Trump cannot win the general election because he has no support among independents and Democrats. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #80
There you go again. Another post conflating Trump and Hillary. Nitram Dec 2015 #81
26 years Bernin Dec 2015 #83
Come On Now itcfish Dec 2015 #85
one is a neocon who will continue the endless wars, the other is insane. yurbud Dec 2015 #90
Plain ridiculous that Americans are almost as scared of Hillary Clinton as they are of Trump. Zing Zing Zingbah Dec 2015 #100
A Sanders nomination is scary to me, he does not have a foreign policy Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #102
Your fears about ISIS are misdirected. You are 187 times more likely to starve to death in American Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #114
This information does not give Sanders foreign affairs knowedge, he lacks in this area. Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #118
Clinton has less experience focusing on poverty than Sanders has focusing on foreign affairs. Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #119
What, less experience, has Sanders ever went into migrant camps seeking the children in those Thinkingabout Dec 2015 #120
 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
1. I really love the cleverness of the Bernie Movement in equating HRC and Trump.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 11:48 AM
Dec 2015

It certainly sets them apart from the GOP.

But, wouldn't it be a bit more honest to say who is scared of whom? Just a bit more honest? Please?

Response to Hortensis (Reply #26)

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
34. The OP misstates Clinton support BADLY,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:47 PM
Dec 2015

From the NY Times DIRECTLY:
Clinton Democrats
22% "excited"
54% "optimistic"

This totals 76% feeling pretty darned good about her.

Note that 23% of Democrats said they were "concerned or scared," but that doesn't separate out those who will vote for her and are worried she won't be elected from those who are worried she will (undoubtedly a far smaller number).

I didn't check the other groups for mistakes, but please note THIS important point: REPUBLICANS make up majorities of both those who are worried about Trump (of course) AND those who are worried about Clinton (of course).

 

staggerleem

(469 posts)
59. The OP ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:03 PM
Dec 2015

is quoting a different poll from what you saw, that asked different questions - the poll the OP is discussing, in fact, has NOTHING TO DO with support.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
69. 76% of Democrats feel GOOD about Hillary. As for the OP,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:18 PM
Dec 2015

for some reason it did not show the NY Times report, but another source that merely reported on the NY Times report. I didn't check the OP source to see if the mistake was there or in copying here.

Response to Hortensis (Reply #34)

Gman

(24,780 posts)
55. The similarities between the RW and Sanders folks
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:57 PM
Dec 2015

Just gets more and more apparent. They both can be so simple minded in making connections between two unrelated things in order to disparage someone.

That's not the real problem. The problem is insisting it's a valid comparison. I have my response well rehearsed as j use it daily in life..."ummm....okay." It's an exercise in futility to even attempt to argue.

 

staggerleem

(469 posts)
61. Funny ...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:05 PM
Dec 2015

... my wife & I were observing the EXACT same thing about Hillary supporters last night.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
117. On this forum there are a few non-bernies who have become trollish,
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 01:33 PM
Dec 2015

always whacking at the bernie-hive with a stick, it's true. BUT, the similarity between the behavior of many zealous, anti-Democrat, anti-establishment Bernie supporters and the tea-partiers and rest of the GOP base is very striking. It seems to be the similarity between peoples toward the extremes on each end of a u-shape or o-shape political spectrum, compared to those of more moderate viewpoints.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
91. I was NOT speaking of the poll, which is incredibly obvious to those not looking for an argument.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:48 PM
Dec 2015

I was speaking of the poster and the dozens of others making similar comparisons.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
101. Yep. But in the spirit of your original response to me:
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 07:19 PM
Dec 2015

If you ever feel the need for some fresh air, I can perform a rectal extraction for you, too.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
52. the only equation is that they are both the 'front runners' for their respective parties
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:50 PM
Dec 2015

or so we're told therefor the comparisons

another day another smear

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
94. "another day another smear" Indeed. The author of the OP should be ashamed, but we know better.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:50 PM
Dec 2015
 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
110. The parallel between Gore and HRC in that context is true.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 08:36 AM
Dec 2015

Ron Paul did make it a campaign issue that there was no difference between Bush and Gore. (btw -- did we ever properly thank Ron Paul for his contribution to the existence of ISIS?)

Some of the Sanders followers are making a similar claim.

The difference, however is gigantic: in the 2000 election, the candidate (Paul) made the comparison; in this election it is ONLY the candidate's more awful supporters making that claim.

And, if you're having a sad because some mean old HRC fan said you were behaving like Ron Paul -- quit acting like Ron Paul.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
111. I am not "having a sad" and I think you are confused.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 09:16 AM
Dec 2015

Your post seems to be about Ralph Nader, but we are talking about the silly comparison of Sanders to Ron Paul. For months posters have been trying to link Sanders and Paul on the grounds that they each draw large crowds and energize the youth. It's a stupid pound to pimp, but it's been done repeatedly.

It's the hypocrisy that gets me. This OP is better grounded than the Sanders-Paul idiocy, and that was my original point.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
112. Good lord. No idea why I locked in on Nader. That's embarrassing.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 09:30 AM
Dec 2015

I have seen the comparison between Nader/Gore and Berners/HRC, and I get it.

Ron Paul? I don't see it. Your original point is well taken.

I apologize for my brain cramp.

still_one

(92,061 posts)
54. Yup, that has been the pattern among some for some time. The old Nader
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:56 PM
Dec 2015

strategy, no difference between republicans and Democrats talking point, only demand nitrates either a self-imposed bubble, or a way to create flame bait

MADem

(135,425 posts)
57. I love the way people use RIGHT WING SOURCES like THE WEEK to make their points.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:58 PM
Dec 2015

I think it's fascinating! By their links we shall know them!

Consider the source, people. Consider the source. A magazine founded by a guy who used to run the UK Sunday Telegraph, and which features the word stylings of David Frum....just the sort of garbage we like to see here at DU....


smh.

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
60. The CBS poll is equating Trump and Clinton.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:04 PM
Dec 2015

Not Sanders or his supporters.

Besides, I thought you all liked the national polling?

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
96. It's not the poll that's the problem, it is the OP and posters who make similar comparison.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:53 PM
Dec 2015

Willful. Ignorance. Why is that?

blackspade

(10,056 posts)
107. The poll is doing the comparing.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 09:32 PM
Dec 2015

I honestly don't like the poll to begin with.
I think the premise sucks.
But the OP is not doing the comparing, merely reporting the results.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
98. Nope. The author of the OP misled the readers with the thread title and supporting text.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 06:59 PM
Dec 2015

The poll was just fine.

George II

(67,782 posts)
3. And yet 52% say they'll vote for Clinton, only 32% (down 1% from November) for Sanders.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 11:52 AM
Dec 2015

I wonder why the poll didn't ask the same question about the other candidate(s)?

And why did you edit the categories in which they expressed their opinion?

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
45. it makes complete sense to restrict the question
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:38 PM
Dec 2015

to the current frontrunners. especially with a zillion people running gop,,although i would not have minded seeing results regarding the top two or three on each side.

Response to George II (Reply #3)

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
4. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 11:52 AM
Dec 2015

* DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS *

52% ... Hillary Clinton
32% ... Bernie Sanders
2% ... Martin O'Malley

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
9. And that still doesn't win the GE.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:01 PM
Dec 2015

You need those independents in the OP, which aren't exactly looking good for Clinton.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
18. He got enough of them to win. Independents are roughly split 50-50
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:24 PM
Dec 2015

between Democratic-leaning and Republican-leaning.

Again, Democrats are 30% of the electorate. You don't win with 30%. You have to get the 20% of the electorate that are Democratic-leaning independents. They will either vote for the Democrat or stay home.

They will not "fall in line", because they are not Democrats.
They will not vote because "Republicans bad!", as demonstrated by 2010 and 2014 (and 2004, and 2000).
They are to the left of the median Democrat, so "pivot to the center" is exactly the wrong thing to do.

Obama got them in 2008, and barely held on to enough of them in 2012 - his margin in popular vote in 2012 was half that of 2008, which is not terribly good for an incumbent. Still "got the job done", but also shows there is a problem.

Clinton has a very large general election problem. Yet there's zero evidence Team Clinton thinks there could be a problem, much less have a plan to address it.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
116. Virtually all registered Democrats will vote for the nominee.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 11:25 AM
Dec 2015

Your claim is that Clinton and O'Malley supporters in the primary will stay home in the GE. You really want to make that claim?

And are you utterly unaware that such a claim also means Clinton is doomed when Sanders and O'Malley supporters stay home in the GE?

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
16. 52% of 30% of the electorate
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:22 PM
Dec 2015

I don't see her motivating a large number of new/undecided/discouraged/independent voters. I am a little worried by her candidacy.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
22. You should be.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:29 PM
Dec 2015

A decent chunk of the 48% of Democrats who are not for Clinton will "fall in line" for the GE.

But Democratic leaning independents will not "fall in line". They are not part of the party.

Democratic leaning independents are not motivated by "Republicans bad!" as demonstrated by the massive failures of our "Republicans bad!" campaigns in 2014 and 2010 (and to a lesser extent, 2004 and 2000).

And Clinton's history is to "pivot to the center" for the general election. Democratic-leaning independents are to the left of the median Democrat. "Pivot to the center" is exactly the wrong thing to do.

There is a very large general election problem looming. And it doesn't look like Team Clinton thinks a problem is even possible, much less have a plan to deal with it.

itcfish

(1,828 posts)
89. Wait!!!
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:14 PM
Dec 2015

35% of the registered voters are Democrats as opposed to 27% of the registered voters who are republicans. 49 % of the independent voter leans democratic and 39% lean republican. How do you figure 30%????

Hepburn

(21,054 posts)
15. It's independents and cross-overs who win GE elections.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:22 PM
Dec 2015

BFD that HRC is getting Dem votes. She lacks where it counts the most for the GE. She is a loser. She will not get the votes needed to take the WH if we Dems unfortunately nominate her. Again: She loses because she does not have the necessary appeal to Independents and Repubs whereas Bernie does.

JMHO

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
23. And do you know what drives those people away?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:30 PM
Dec 2015

Insisting that the RW lie of both parties being the same is true.

Do you know why Hillary will win? Because she's over the last 8 yrs she's been laying the groundwork to win.

For some reason the Berniestas think this is a bad thing.

Hepburn

(21,054 posts)
29. To the people I have spoken with -- what drives them away is...
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:37 PM
Dec 2015

...the thought of Hillary Clinton anywhere near the WH.

I do not merely think she is the bad thing, I know the difference between a DINO and a progressive and true liberal. She is of the 1% and for the 1% and simply not one of us.

Hillary may win the nomination -- UNFORTUNATELY -- but against all of the Repukes but tRump she will lose. She does not have the necessary appeal to win the GE -- lack of appeal to the independents and lack of Republican cross-overs. Winning the nomination in no manner makes her POTUS...in fact, it pretty much makes for a loss for the WH and down the line.

The fact that she laid campaign groundwork is a frightening thought -- says to me that she does not speak the truth, but will do what it takes to win. Out of your own post, you gave one of the major reasons to not support her...however the wind blows for the nom, so blows Hillary.

And, stop with the insults like BGernistas...it makes YOU and not Bernie Sander supporters look bad. TIA

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
28. As if Sanders could win the general election,
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:35 PM
Dec 2015

when he doesn't even get the majority of Democrats to vote for him.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
36. Democrats are 30% of the electorate. You don't win a general election with 30%.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:57 PM
Dec 2015

Most of that 30% will vote for the Democratic nominee, be it Sanders or O'Malley or Clinton.

For winning the GE, you need the 20% of the electorate that are Democratic-leaning independents. They will either show up or stay home. They will not vote for the Republican.

Independents are not centrists. There are two major blobs - Democratic-leaning independents and Republican-leaning independents. They are roughly the same size. They will never vote for the opposing party. They will either vote for one party or stay home. Polls often treat "independents" as one block, which makes them appear to be centrists since you are effectively averaging Democrats and Republicans.

They will not "fall in line". They are not Democrats.

They will not vote only because "Republicans bad!". That's why they stayed home in 2010 and 2014 (and to a lesser extent in 2012. That's why Obama's popular vote margin went down by half)

They are to the left of the median Democrat. Clinton's history of "pivot to the center for the GE" is exactly the wrong thing to do.

Clinton is starting in a very bad place with these voters, and she needs them to win the GE. She has very little "room" to change their opinion over her, due to her long time in the spotlight. it is going to be very hard for Clinton to get these voters to the polls. And if they don't show up, it's 2000 or 2004 again.

Sanders and O'Malley are starting in a much, much better place with these voters.

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
44. Would you care to expand on your thoughts? Or is that the extent of your observation?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:38 PM
Dec 2015

I believe Bernie wins with all the voters democratic, independent and even some cross over republicans. Exactly how many left leaning independents do you see Hill getting?

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
106. My point was clear.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 09:24 PM
Dec 2015

If Sanders can't even win enough votes to win the party's nomination, he obviously can't win in a general election. Where do you see Sanders winning "with all the voters Democratic"?

Vincardog

(20,234 posts)
108. Yes see Bernie winning every democratic voter that cares a out winning the GE. The winner is the
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 03:28 AM
Dec 2015

Last edited Fri Dec 11, 2015, 05:04 PM - Edit history (1)

one who gets the INDEPENDANTS. Do you really see Hill getting any moderate INDEPENDANTS?

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
7. I saw another poll with Clinton getting 6 percent of the Indpedendent vote
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 11:56 AM
Dec 2015

How in the world can a Democratic candidate win a national election with only 6 percent of Independents? They can't.

Break this down:

-The vast majority of Republicans have deranged hate for her (mainly due to talk radio)
-She's got single-digit support among Independents
-25 percent of Democrats are either scared by or concerned about her policies--and there is an enthusiasm gap.

This is a recipe for disaster.

How could Hillary possibly win a GE?

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
13. I'd like to see that poll
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:16 PM
Dec 2015

because what you're saying is 94% of Independents plan on voting republican if Hillary is the candidate. I don't believe that crap for even one second.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
20. So somewhere in that poll
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:25 PM
Dec 2015

they say they will vote for Bernie? Where is that poll? What are the other 94% going to do? Vote republican? Stay home? Do you really expect people to buy that bullshit?

Hepburn

(21,054 posts)
24. You are not getting this, are you?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:31 PM
Dec 2015

The issue is NOT voting Republican and/or voting for Bernie -- the issue is that apparently approx 94% of independent voters will NOT vote for Hillary. Now, you go and figure out how that impacts her chances at the general. It means she loses the GE.

Hint: It may mean also that if we Dems unfortunately nominate Hillary that people will stay home and/or pass votes...it does not ipso facto mean Repubbie and/or Bernie votes ... it simply means NO on Hillary...PERIOD.

The only BS I see that is being bought is that HRC is a progressive or a true liberal. She IMO is nothing of the kind. If you want corporations-in-control, Wall Street-making-the-Rules establishment BS, then the choice is simple...support HRC.

JMHO



 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
39. And the Poll STILL hasn't been posted
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:28 PM
Dec 2015

So I still think it's complete bullshit. Along with your read on it. The thought that 94% of independents will stay home or vote con is so hilarious, I can't believe you actually typed it.

Desert805

(392 posts)
82. So what percentage will it be?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:07 PM
Dec 2015

You can't win an election with 30% of the votes (assuming 100% of Democrats vote for Hillary, that is).

So, what percentage will it be?

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
87. No idea
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:07 PM
Dec 2015

It would depend on who the gop candidate is. But throwing out bullshit numbers and refusing to provide links is unmitigated garbage.

Hepburn

(21,054 posts)
84. What does it matter?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:54 PM
Dec 2015

She cannot win the GE with ONLY Dems supporting her.

She MUST HAVE independents and cross-overs to get elected. That is NOT going to happened. She could have 100% of all Dems backing her and if no support from Independents and Republies, she loses.

Do you understand this yet?

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
88. Bullshit
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:09 PM
Dec 2015

You and the suspiciously absent poster who threw out those bullshit numbers can't provide any evidence of your arguments. And who would even look at a poll when you don't know who the gop candidate is going to be? You have ZERO evidence that independents will support Bernie over Hillary. ZERO EVIDENCE. The desperation is getting very smelly.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
25. No. Voting is not zero-sum.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:32 PM
Dec 2015

Democratic-leaning independents won't vote for the Republican. They'll just stay home. Like they did in 2010 and 2014, and to a lesser extent in 2012 (Obama lost 1/2 of his popular vote margin between 2008 and 2012, largely due to Democratic-leaning independents staying home).

Democratic-leaning independents will not "fall in line". They are not Democrats.
Democratic-leaning independents are not motivated by "Republicans bad!".
Democratic-leaning independents are to the left of the median Democrat. So "pivot to the center" is exactly the wrong thing to do.

We need high turnout among Democratic-leaning independents or we lose. Clinton is starting in a massive hole with them, and shows no evidence of believing it's possible she's below grade, much less have a plan to get out of that hole.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
41. So you've seen this
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:30 PM
Dec 2015

poll also? Where? Or do you just believe whatever bullshit anyone on your side posts? I asked for a link to that poll HOURS ago.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
48. I'm not talking about that poll. I'm talking about the make-up of the electorate
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:43 PM
Dec 2015

as shown by a whole lot of polls and studies, as well as actual election results and exit polling.

Here's one article about it. There are many others, with minor differences in percentages.

Roughly speaking, 30% are Democrats. 30% are Republicans. 40% are independents, half of which "lean Democratic" and half of which "lean Republican". "Leaners" will never vote for the opposite party. True "swing" voters that will vote for either party are a trivial fraction of the electorate.

You are trying to dismiss problems with independents as "94% will vote for the Republican". My point is voting is not zero-sum. Democratic-leaning independents will not vote for the Republican. They will stay home if they do not want to vote for the Democrat. And voting for the Democrat is not the same thing as voting against the Republican.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
65. Take it up with the
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:09 PM
Dec 2015

person who posted the results from a poll they wont link to who said only 6% of independents will vote for Hillary. That was the claim I calling bullshit on.

George II

(67,782 posts)
12. This poll as presented by NYT/CBS is a pretty bad gauge of the opinions of Americans....
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:14 PM
Dec 2015

...there were 72 questions asked, they've chosen to release the results of only 8 questions. The others are all "Held for future release".

I wonder what they're trying to hide and when they intend on releasing the remaining 64 questions?

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
14. Finally I am in the majority on something
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:19 PM
Dec 2015

Wait...actually majorities of Americans want healthcare, school, infrastructure improvement, social security expansion, higher taxes on the hyper rich, action on climate change, a major bump in the minimum wage, less pentagon spending, and wall street regulation.

Luckily there is one person running for president who sides with the majority on these issues.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
37. The majority of Americans don't want their taxes raised
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:58 PM
Dec 2015

You are telling a part of the story. Tell it all.
To get what Bernie is talking about you will have to pay more in taxes. After all that is what socialism is all about. You pay into the government and get those things you mentioned back.

The problem is for Bernie that the majority of Americans have a negative view of having their taxes raised when they are struggling as it is. And the right will never agree to it.

But one of Bernie's biggest negative is his lack of foreign policy experience and his unwillingness to discuss terrorism.

So a large part of the electorate do not want to pay more taxes for more government services and they worry about terrorism.

You can argue that they should not feel that way but the fact is they do.

Hillary is less extreme and would do better in the general when all the facts are out on the table.


 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
43. When it's framed by right wingers, you are correct
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:37 PM
Dec 2015

If the dimwitted Limbeciles were told they could pay an extra $400/yr in taxes and their healthcare would decrease by $6000/yr, even they might catch on. Or maybe not. And it is telling that a segment of the Dem party has adopted the Fox/hate radio spin. A major reason for the heavy losses in recent years. I recently posted that new people at my place of work take home about $29K/yr, and might now be on the hook for a max of $12K/yr in healthcare expenses - 40% of their net pay. A follow-up by one of the DU fans of for-profit health insurance: "That's less than the ACA allows"

ummm...yeah

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
75. Again you are using talking points
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:04 PM
Dec 2015

You have no studies or anything to back up what you say.

I won't vote for talking points.

And other countries do it is not proof it works here. It isn't as simple as Bernie folks say it is.

Laser102

(816 posts)
74. I saw him get upset when reporters asked about foreign policy. He wanted to talk about the economy.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:49 PM
Dec 2015

Reporters aren't going to follow his script. They are going to ask whatever they want. He knows that by now. No one wants a cranky old man yelling at them. If they do, I have a husband in mind for president.

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
115. Why is HRC unwilling to apologize for her vote for a WAR CRIME???? Why
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 10:26 AM
Dec 2015

do you support someone who voted for a war crime,????

Why are you and all the fucking Hillbots on this site UNWILLING to discuss that??????

Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
30. When the chips are down, I doubt that Trump will be the Republican nominee.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 12:38 PM
Dec 2015

On the other hand, I have no doubt that Hillary will be the Democratic nominee.

Response to Beacool (Reply #30)

Response to Beacool (Reply #33)

Response to riversedge (Reply #46)

Response to whatthehey (Reply #49)

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
42. LOL - the cons have
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:31 PM
Dec 2015

been making that claim about "indictments any day now" for over 2 decades. How lovely to see that bullshit on a board called Democratic Underground. Get lost.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,153 posts)
50. And for the record for all the GD:P people out there.....
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:47 PM
Dec 2015

....equating Bernie Sanders to Donald Trump simply because both are considered "outsider" candidates is equally false of an equivalency.

There is no Democratic counterpart to Donald Trump. Period.

Response to Attorney in Texas (Original post)

Thenewire

(130 posts)
56. Why?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:58 PM
Dec 2015

Why are some of you guys turning against other democrats or equating them to vile xenophobic trash like Trump? Are you telling me that in a hypothetical election between Clinton and Trump you wouldn't go out to vote for her just because she isn't Bernie Sanders? You guys realize that you are buying into the same right wing propaganda as the right wingers if you believe all the bullshit thrown against Clinton.

Xithras

(16,191 posts)
58. Everyone I've spoken with agrees that this election SUCKS. There are NO decent candidates.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 01:59 PM
Dec 2015

I like Bernie, but his numbers are climbing too slowly to win the nomination. Hillary is a neoliberal corporatist hawk. Trump is insane and the rest of the Republican herd is close behind him.

Where is the John Kennedy? Where is the Roosevelt? Hell, for that matter I'd take a Jimmy Carter over this crop of losers. How did we get to this point? Why, in a nation of 350 million people, can we not come up with a better selection of candidates?

steve2470

(37,457 posts)
109. One reason, IMHO, is the post-Watergate micro-scrutiny of candidates
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 03:52 AM
Dec 2015

I would never run for public office. I don't want practically every aspect of my life under the white-hot spotlight of media and opposition research scrutiny. I think most people are exactly like me. Therefore, anyone intelligent and decent is not going to run unless they are 1) confident something less-than-morally-perfect isn't going to be revealed in public ; 2) they don't really care; and/or 3) they think they can survive the scrutiny. I'm glad some people are willing to run the gauntlet.

tl;dr: Too much bullshit, not worth it for most people.


 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
66. I admire supporters who work tirelessly for their candidate.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 02:11 PM
Dec 2015

I admire campaign supporters who work tirelessly for their candidate; though I dismiss as mentally lazy (or simply incompetent) those supporters who's only tactic is to tear down the opposition candidate to make theirs appear higher than is actual.

But America's short attention span, love of fear and divisiveness, and ability to pretend the irrational it rational, I'm rarely surprised when I see it happen.





“I like your candidate, I do not like your candidate's supporters. Your candidate's supporters are so unlike your candidate.”
Mahatma Gandhi - True story.

ThoughtCriminal

(14,046 posts)
79. Why even care about what Republicans think?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:33 PM
Dec 2015

What do brain-damaged rabid raccoons think?

They are going to be scared of anybody who is not as evil/mean/insane as they are.

Independents matter, but frankly if you are still on the fence between Republicans and Democrats, you have to live in a very deep cave.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
80. Trump cannot win the general election because he has no support among independents and Democrats.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:02 PM
Dec 2015

I take comfort in that, but I don't see why the same is not true of Clinton.

If we nominate her, and the Republicans do not nominate Trump whose candidacy is equally unpleasant to independents, it is difficult to find any objective justification to support the hope that she'll have any appeal among independents or potential cross-over Republicans. Clinton's model seems to work in a primary, but it does seem to have much potential past the primary. This path is a dead end.

Nitram

(22,759 posts)
81. There you go again. Another post conflating Trump and Hillary.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:05 PM
Dec 2015

It would be tiresome if it weren't so petty.

 

Bernin

(311 posts)
83. 26 years
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 04:12 PM
Dec 2015

For 26 years I have been voting Democratic straight party ticket. With one minor exception that was a local seat years ago.

I will not be falling in line if Hillary is the nominee. She will not get my vote.
I have many friends that are registered Democrats as well. They have said they will not vote for her. They also said they might even vote Republican for the first time in their lives if she is the nominee.

A Hillary run for the WH will be a disaster.

If she is the nominee look forward to Republican control of ALL branches of government for the next decade.

itcfish

(1,828 posts)
85. Come On Now
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:05 PM
Dec 2015

Scared of Hillary? After 8 years of Bush and a possibility of Trump, Hillary is the best candidate. Why this propaganda now? 9% Excited? Sorry I don't believe it.

yurbud

(39,405 posts)
90. one is a neocon who will continue the endless wars, the other is insane.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 05:21 PM
Dec 2015

people are right to be concerned.

Zing Zing Zingbah

(6,496 posts)
100. Plain ridiculous that Americans are almost as scared of Hillary Clinton as they are of Trump.
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 07:07 PM
Dec 2015

I don't buy it. Hillary Clinton is not scary.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
102. A Sanders nomination is scary to me, he does not have a foreign policy
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 07:23 PM
Dec 2015

And failed the fp question in debate #2, still does not want to answer questions about ISIS, voted no on the ISIS Resolution,

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
119. Clinton has less experience focusing on poverty than Sanders has focusing on foreign affairs.
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 02:58 PM
Dec 2015

Poverty is a greater threat -- by far -- to American lives than terrorism.

I prefer Sanders' experience over Clinton's experience.

If you are going to pick a candidate or a president based on your perception of the candidate's ability to protect you from the minuscule threat of terrorism, I cannot dissuade you, but that is EXACTLY the goal of terrorism -- to affect political decisions by public acts of violence.

When Trump offends and alienates Muslims across the globe, the terrorists have won that battle.

Similarly, if you make a political decision based on a fear that ther terrorists have sparked within your mind, the terrorists have won that battle.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
120. What, less experience, has Sanders ever went into migrant camps seeking the children in those
Fri Dec 11, 2015, 03:08 PM
Dec 2015

camps to improve their lives? She lived in Arkansas for several years, yes she has experience living and being around poverty. She has visited areas of the world where women are in dire poverty, has advocated for women not only in the US but around the world. Women are the head of households, she has fought for equal wages for women because this helps more households. Poverty is an issue Hillary has lots of experience. Try another one.

On Trump offending Muslims, she has said what Trump is doing is not in the best interest of the US and is placing a bad image on the US, this is something Trump is responsible.

In the last debate, it was oblivious Sanders lacks in foreign experience, we need a well rounded president not one who only has a one horse show.

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