Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

question everything

(47,271 posts)
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:22 PM Jan 2016

Rubio, Clinton take early lead in Star Tribune Minnesota Poll

Source: Minneapolis StarTribune

Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton are early favorites among Minnesota voters in the presidential race, according to a new Star Tribune poll.

Clinton holds a commanding 34-point lead over rival Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, but the statewide poll of 800 registered voters shows that the former secretary of state could face trouble against two top Republicans. In head-to-head matchups, Clinton is essentially tied with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and trails Rubio, the Florida U.S. senator. Clinton tops Donald Trump by 5 percentage points.

Minnesota GOP voters appear deeply divided, with Rubio’s lead within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Cruz and New York developer Donald Trump are each capturing a sizable share of voters. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie trail further behind.

(snip)

But in a hypothetical matchup between Clinton and Rubio, Clinton trails the Florida senator by nine points, 40 to 49, with 11 percent undecided. In a matchup between Clinton and Cruz, the poll showed her trailing by two points, with 12 percent undecided. The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


Read more: http://www.startribune.com/rubio-clinton-take-early-lead-in-star-tribune-minnesota-poll/366314221/

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Rubio, Clinton take early lead in Star Tribune Minnesota Poll (Original Post) question everything Jan 2016 OP
"Clinton is essentially tied with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and trails Rubio" BlueJazz Jan 2016 #1
Minnesota has changed question everything Jan 2016 #3
That analysis matched with the establishments opinion. retrowire Jan 2016 #2
Minnesota will be Feel'n the Bern... SoapBox Jan 2016 #4
Strib was bought out by Conservative. glinda Jan 2016 #9
polling - 70% landline phones 30% cell phone users Harriety Jan 2016 #5
as a Mn resident I agree with the comments that ask what area codes were used azurnoir Jan 2016 #6
That's probably not it. JackRiddler Jan 2016 #14
Compared to 2008 ISUGRADIA Jan 2016 #7
Good thing for her that Obama's not running, then. Orrex Jan 2016 #8
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2016 #10
Good thing for her that Obama's not running, then. Orrex Jan 2016 #11
Isn't Minnesota fairly liberal?? Hawaii Hiker Jan 2016 #12
Like other states, the core cities are liberal while the "outstate" question everything Jan 2016 #13
 

BlueJazz

(25,348 posts)
1. "Clinton is essentially tied with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and trails Rubio"
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:33 PM
Jan 2016

Minnesota used to be such a progressive state. I left and came to Florida years ago. I figured if I have to live in a backward state, I might as well be warm. Minnesota was great until the Midwest right-wingers moved in. They started voting for politicians like Coleman and several people I knew said "Screw this..I put up with freezing my ass off so the populace can elect dumb asses"?

question everything

(47,271 posts)
3. Minnesota has changed
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:44 PM
Jan 2016

It started with many conservatives who came to Minnesota for the good schools and jobs and then decided they do not want to pay taxes that created the conditions that attracted them.

Also, the whole country has changed. We moved from a manufacturing based economy to a service one, and service means - I am for myself.

From the same story

Rubio appears to have an advantage in appealing to independent Minnesota voters, who could prove crucial in the general election. Independents break 54 percent for Rubio and 30 percent for Clinton in a head-to-head matchup.

Some Minnesota voters showed interest in candidates who have proved to be more nontraditional.

Dan Mohr, a Ramsey resident, said he can’t decide between Sanders and Trump, adding that he prefers an outsider. “They’re outside the norm and we need someone to get something done,” he said.

retrowire

(10,345 posts)
2. That analysis matched with the establishments opinion.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 01:34 PM
Jan 2016

"ANYONE BUT BERNIE, TRUMP OR CRUZ"

And yet when the polls focus on the people... Bernie and Trump always win. Wonder why.... Clinton and Rubio are dust in the wind at this point.

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
4. Minnesota will be Feel'n the Bern...
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 02:17 PM
Jan 2016

Rallies up and coming (January 26th) in Duluth and St. Paul...someone posted that the St. Paul venue holds 18,000.

...this sounds like more media pablum.

azurnoir

(45,850 posts)
6. as a Mn resident I agree with the comments that ask what area codes were used
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 02:56 PM
Jan 2016

you have Mpls and St Paul and then you have the rest of the state

 

JackRiddler

(24,979 posts)
14. That's probably not it.
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 08:33 PM
Jan 2016

I suspect it's more that like 50% (of primary voters, mind you) still are barely or not at all aware of Sanders' existence. They will get around to thinking about it after the first primaries, and for less than 10% of the time spent by the political junkies who make up 100% of this board.

ISUGRADIA

(2,571 posts)
7. Compared to 2008
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 03:04 PM
Jan 2016

Compared to a 2008 poll at about this time Clinton had 40% and Obama 33% with the rest split between Edwards, others and undecided.

Obama ended up winning the Caucuses 66% to 33% for Clinton .

Response to Orrex (Reply #8)

Hawaii Hiker

(3,165 posts)
12. Isn't Minnesota fairly liberal??
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 08:06 PM
Jan 2016

I mean they haven't gone for the Republican candiate in the general election since 1972....Even Mondale won the state in 1984, the only other place he won was DC that year...

question everything

(47,271 posts)
13. Like other states, the core cities are liberal while the "outstate"
Sun Jan 24, 2016, 08:28 PM
Jan 2016

is conservative. Two years ago the Republicans took control of the state House. And a professor for political science later said that it was predictable. The state Senate remained in Democratic hands because.... members were not running.

The country as a whole moved away from traditional Humphrey, Mondale, Eugene McCarthy, Paul Wellstone liberalism. That liberalism was based on common goods of unions and others working together in manufacturing. As we moved to a service based economy, it is everyone for oneself.

Over simplistic, I know but this is the gist, more or less.

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Rubio, Clinton take early...