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Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 12:00 PM Mar 2016

Bernie Sanders Polls: After Trailing Hillary Clinton By 30 Points In Illinois, Sanders Now Leads

Source: Inquisitr

Bernie Sanders is nearing Hillary Clinton in Illinois, with the Vermont Senator aiming to pull off another upset win like last week’s surprising victory in Michigan.

The Sanders campaign...pulled off the upset victory, propelling his campaign forward to critical upcoming votes in Ohio, Florida, and Illinois.

New polls released Sunday show that Bernie Sanders may be close to pulling off another victory in Illinois. Like in Michigan, Hillary Clinton once dominated polling in this state... But much of that polling comes from before Sanders pulled off the Michigan upset, and new data suggests that her lead may have all but evaporated.

A CBS News poll found that Bernie Sanders now leads 48 percent to 46 percent.

Read more: http://www.inquisitr.com/2884101/bernie-sanders-polls-after-trailing-hillary-clinton-by-30-points-in-illinois-sanders-now-leads-just-two-days-before-voting/



This good news on Illinois follows analysis by the University of Virginia Center for Politics analysis predicting Sanders wins in Ohio and Missouri:


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Bernie Sanders Polls: After Trailing Hillary Clinton By 30 Points In Illinois, Sanders Now Leads (Original Post) Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 OP
I hope Hillary pulls off an upset victory on Tuesday! Metric System Mar 2016 #1
After being up by 30 points panader0 Mar 2016 #11
Lol, that would be some serious spin -nt Bradical79 Mar 2016 #19
Not really vdogg Mar 2016 #30
Not really passiveporcupine Mar 2016 #31
... Faux pas Mar 2016 #2
PleasePleasePleasePlease! AzDar Mar 2016 #3
Bernie has a clear path to the nomination GreydeeThos Mar 2016 #4
Sounds as clear as mud ;) Metric System Mar 2016 #7
I think it was a joke rock Mar 2016 #16
Oh, I know, hence the wink. I agree, it's a good one. Metric System Mar 2016 #18
I'm somewhat like Sheldon on "Big Bang" rock Mar 2016 #27
Bazinga! Metric System Mar 2016 #28
Nope. He needs 54% of the remaining pledged delegates. nt thereismore Mar 2016 #33
I wonder if Hillary and Rahm have any monkeyshines planned. Gene Debs Mar 2016 #5
This is indeed, good news. Duval Mar 2016 #6
but, but, it will be "just like" a BS come from behind victory stupidicus Mar 2016 #8
Hillary's campaign is trying SO HARD to lower the bar of expectations that she's over corrected and Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #9
there may well be some merit to that stupidicus Mar 2016 #10
The polls are so consistently wrong in Hillary's favor that her campaign is worried a narrow win in Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #15
indeed, the polling has been appalling stupidicus Mar 2016 #17
+10000 Cavallo Mar 2016 #24
And after this Tuesday... Helen Borg Mar 2016 #12
This sealed it for me joealexander Mar 2016 #32
Better get ready MissKat Mar 2016 #13
Agree. tavernier Mar 2016 #14
Agreed. nt DesertRat Mar 2016 #21
It can't happen here is REAL sparkly unicorn thinking. mikehiggins Mar 2016 #22
BUT**new NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls Hillary ahead in FL, OH, & IL March 13 riversedge Mar 2016 #20
I love these polls! I really think they energize the Sanders voters to show up and vote. Cavallo Mar 2016 #23
Show up and vote? HockeyMom Mar 2016 #25
Good for you! I'm going to my caucus on March 26th. Cavallo Mar 2016 #26
I keep wondering about likely Land of Enchantment Mar 2016 #29
I believe all three of your points are going create a big surprise on Tuesday. Elmer S. E. Dump Mar 2016 #35
Bernie is also ahead in Missouri and Ohio. Major Hogwash Mar 2016 #34
Leans Sanders GreydeeThos Mar 2016 #36

GreydeeThos

(958 posts)
4. Bernie has a clear path to the nomination
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 12:11 PM
Mar 2016

He only needs to win every remaining primary by +12% or more, and he is there.

rock

(13,218 posts)
27. I'm somewhat like Sheldon on "Big Bang"
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 02:50 PM
Mar 2016

Who cannot hear tone in his friends sarcasm; I can't hear tone on the internet (because it ain't there). I didn't notice the wink. Now let's both have a good laugh!

 

stupidicus

(2,570 posts)
8. but, but, it will be "just like" a BS come from behind victory
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 12:23 PM
Mar 2016

should HC manage to hang on.

That seems to be the newest rationale from her supporters and seems to explain in no small measure why they support her. After all, making up 30 points is "just like" making up a couple, ain't it?

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
9. Hillary's campaign is trying SO HARD to lower the bar of expectations that she's over corrected and
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 12:44 PM
Mar 2016

dampening her already sub-zero enthusiasm.

 

stupidicus

(2,570 posts)
10. there may well be some merit to that
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 12:58 PM
Mar 2016

the bs her supporters are spreading pretty thick in response to these gains by Bernie reek of desperation, and are a poor facade to obscure or diminish their apprehension -- which is a great enthusiasm killer

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
15. The polls are so consistently wrong in Hillary's favor that her campaign is worried a narrow win in
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 01:30 PM
Mar 2016

Missouri, Illinois, or Ohio was be reported as a come-from-behind performance by Sanders so she's trying to claim underdog status so she can claim that losing a 25% lead in the polls but squeaking out a virtual tie type win on election day is still a big victory.

Hillary's campaign is rightfully concerned because she'll win the majority of delegates on Tuesday but then she hits a 4-week stretch of the calendar where she'll lose states and delegates consistently, and the dominant news stories will be about the wheels coming off of her campaign.

Starting April 10, the primary will shift to the final phase. If Sanders can gain momentum during the stretch from March 16 to April 9, the last stretch may tip in Sanders' favor. If Sanders cannot build up enough momentum, the final states may tip in Hillary's favor.

 

stupidicus

(2,570 posts)
17. indeed, the polling has been appalling
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 01:56 PM
Mar 2016

I think your analysis is pretty hard to dispute. The illusion of invincibility has been shattered, so she has to wing it by manipulating an expectations game over which she has limited input and control.

Cavallo

(348 posts)
24. +10000
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 02:40 PM
Mar 2016

I can imagine Hillary on the phone all night everynight trying to convince the lobbyists to stay with her super pac and that she is going to win. I have no doubt they will all go to trump. They will be on the side of whoever is ahead (except Bernie who scares the heck out of them because his administration won't be bought out and will actually try Wall Street for their crimes AND put them in prison.)

joealexander

(14 posts)
32. This sealed it for me
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 06:03 PM
Mar 2016

Sander's message is legitimate. I came across this video last night, and the rest of Bernie country needs to see this. I wept as I watched this-it was my story this guy was telling--and millions of other peoples' stories. The Libertarian politics that we now call Democratic have kept poor people poor and made millionaires into billionaires. If you know anyone in the not yet voted states, feel free to share this.

MissKat

(218 posts)
13. Better get ready
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 01:22 PM
Mar 2016

If Bernie wins, I'll work for him. If Hillary wins, I'll work for her.
Trump is going to become a hurricane of hate and I don't think Democrats are prepared. Republicans chuckled when Trump entered the race...ha ha, figuring he'd be gone any day. What a mistake.

The Democratic Party is disorganized, unwieldy, unfocused, but it's what we have. It's time now to organize, focus, and unite.

No more of this, Hillary hate, no more of the Bernie's too old, too this, too that. Each of them has something to offer, find the positive.
I honestly believe, if we don't see a major move to unite the Democratic Party that Donald Trump will be the next president. Excuse me, this country's first fascist leader. I'm really getting concerned about reading about a Trump rally and how he manipulates and manages the crowds.
How? How is it that people hear him and they think they've heard a brilliant leader?
It boggles the mind.
But it's time to stop shaking our heads and it's time to work together.

mikehiggins

(5,614 posts)
22. It can't happen here is REAL sparkly unicorn thinking.
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 02:29 PM
Mar 2016

Of course it can happen here, by which I mean a right-wing political movement that can ascend to power in the USA. This is nothing new and nothing to be sanguine about.

Trump may not be "brilliant" like Hitler was but these are different times.

Like we saw with those asshole ranchers and the "patriots" who liberated a Federal complex, there are plenty of guns in this country, and plenty of assholes ready to use them.

Take this seriously, because it as serious as it gets, at least up to this point.

Tomorrow can bring other horrors.

riversedge

(70,093 posts)
20. BUT**new NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls Hillary ahead in FL, OH, & IL March 13
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 02:23 PM
Mar 2016



BUT**new NBC News/WSJ/Marist polls Hillary ahead in FL, OH, & IL March 13

Florida--61-34 for Clinton

Ohio--58-38 for Clinton

Illinois--51-45 for Clinton



Mar 13 2016, 11:33 am ET


Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio

by Mark Murray

Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the March 15 primary states of Florida and Illinois, while John Kasich holds the edge in his home state of Ohio, according to three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.

On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders in all three states, although she's just narrowly ahead in Illinois.

. .......................


......In the Democratic race, Clinton is ahead of Sanders among likely primary voters by 27 points in Florida, 61 percent to 34 percent; by 20 points in Ohio, 58 percent to 38 percent; but by just six points in Illinois, 51 percent to 45 percent.










Land of Enchantment

(1,217 posts)
29. I keep wondering about likely
Sun Mar 13, 2016, 03:16 PM
Mar 2016

voters, mobile phones and independents. Aren't likely voters those who have voted in at least one previous election? Turnout was low in 2012 and I don't think many millennials voted that year. Now we have another group coming of voting age. /don't you think the polls are inaccurate for these reasons? What are your thoughts? Can they poll people who do not have landlines? Do they poll Independents? Thanks.


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