White House Watch White House Watch: Trump 42%, Clinton 40%

[leftynyc]

Source: Rasmussen Report

The presidential race has grown a bit tighter in this week’s White House Watch survey.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Donald Trump with 42% of the vote, while Hillary Clinton earns 40%. Thirteen percent (13%) still like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This survey was taken Tuesday evening following FBI Director James Comey's announcement that his agency would not seek any indictments of Clinton despite her "extremely careless" handling of classified information while serving as secretary of State. Most voters disagree with Comey’s decision.




Read more: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch

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Same right wing poll had don the con ahead by 4 last week.

[tonyt53]

1. Rasmussen is a right wing group. Lay off the polls until Labor Day

[Renew Deal]

2. They run BS polls until the last three days and then claim they got it right

[reflection]

3. Yep.

That's been their MO the past several cycles IIRC.

[leftynyc]

5. Was my putting right wing

right at the bottom of the OP too subtle for you to notice? And while you're free to ignore whatever you like, I'll post whatever I please.

[floriduck]

32. You'll get this reaction all day long since some can't read or make up their own storylines.

[leftynyc]

34. I know

I have pretty much stopped caring about crap like that. Why people can't scroll on by is a mystery to me.

[Yonnie3]

4. Take a look at Real Clear Politics poll list

and you will see Rasmussen leans Republican.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls

I am much more interested in individual state polls especially in close states. Unfortunately there aren't enough of them yet for me to be satisfied.

[leftynyc]

6. Nate Silver

also has them leaning right (which is obvious to anyone paying attention to these things). This same poll was posted over a dozen times last week so I'm not sure why so many want to ignore it this week.

[Yonnie3]

7. I am nearly a FiveThirtyEight addict and have been since 2009

I don't understand your comment about ignoring it this week. I don't look at the national polls much. Your post quotes "This survey was taken Tuesday evening following FBI Director James Comey's announcement ... ," so I don't understand the your comment "This same poll was posted over a dozen times last week". Can you enlighten me?

[leftynyc]

9. This poll is done every week

(for the last 5 or 6 weeks now). That's what I meant about it being posted a dozen times (at least) last week (Thursday). The wringing of hands last week over don the con's 4 point lead was ridiculous and now that it's tightening, many want to ignore it.

[Yonnie3]

12. Okiedoke, understood.

Yeah, there have been a lot of concern posts the last few weeks.

So here's my concern post:

I am concerned that two out of five folks say they will vote for this (pick one of over a hundred negative adjectives) t'RUMP. It scares me that my country has so many uninformed voters or just plain old nasty people voting. I hope the reason is that they are uninformed and they will see the light before November.

[leftynyc]

14. This is a very evenly divided electorate

Don the con is going to get 40% - that's a given. But in looking at all the polls, that does seem to be his ceiling.

[Yonnie3]

17. It helps my perspective to recall that

McCain/Palin got 46% and Romney/Ryan got 47% of the popular vote. This makes 'Rump's 40% seem pitiful.

[NoMoreRepugs]

18. so only 4 out of 10 people in 'Mericah are batshit crazies??

thats a pretty disturbing number if you really think about it....

[leftynyc]

24. Yup - but I live in NY

so it's not something I have to see every day. For that, I count my blessings.

[redstatebluegirl]

29. It is a lot higher where I live.

Trump stickers abound here in bright red Oklahoma.

[NoMoreRepugs]

35. I'm in central Florida - so batshit crazy is kinda the norm

[leftynyc]

42. Even republicans

Here in downstate NY do not like Donnie. 40 years of tabloid front pages about his repulsive personal and business life have made their mark. I'll be surprised if he doesn't lose NY by double digits.

[floriduck]

33. You're right about that. We have zero positive reaction candidates. But Hillary should be way, way

ahead of a moron like the Donald.

[7962]

8. Yeah, I'm buying THAT one. Trump cant get out of his own way. nt

[Zambero]

10. President Romney cites Rasmussen as his favorite poll

The results from that poll were just what he needed to win. Unfortunately for him, the results of the election did not coincide with it.

[RBInMaine]

11. PLEASE STOP QUOTING RASMUSSEN. IT IS A RIGHT WING SHIT. THEY HAD ROMNEY WINNING ON ELECTION DAY!

Enough with this SHIT polling firm. It's right wing propaganda SHIT.

[leftynyc]

15. Your ALL CAPS is going

to elicit yawns from me. The information is out there - you don't want to see it, trash the thread. I put right in the OP that it's a right wing organization - it's not like I was hiding it so let's not pretend otherwise.

[RBInMaine]

39. If you know it's right wing shit, why keep "pooping" it out here of all places? No need of it.

[leftynyc]

40. I'm only going to explain this shit once

The same exact poll was posted a dozen times last week when donnie was ahead by 4 - that it has tightened in the last week seemed to me to be important since the dozen threads last week had many posts on them. THAT'S why I posted it. That's the last time I'm going to explain myself to you on any issue. You got a problem with rass being posted on DU, scroll on by and stop whining.

[Android3.14]

22. let's keep the spittle under control

[Chakaconcarne]

13. Right wing or not....

What's the harm in posting the information? Gives perspective - me thinks.

Thanks leftynyc.

[RBInMaine]

38. We don't come here to read right wing SHIT that some feel they need to keep pooping out. How's that?

Thicken up thy skin my friend.

[MohRokTah]

16. RASMUSSEN!!!!!!!!

[Night Watchman]

19. Another Razzie Poll?

You're kidding, right? Why even post it?

[VMA131Marine]

20. Rasmussen is the only pollster in the RCP average showing a Trump lead since

an ABC/Washington Post Poll in mid-May. Rasumussen uses 'likely' voters while most of the others are using registered voters. At this point, Rasmussen's best guess about who the likely voters will be is probably based on the 2014 mid-term polling model which definitely skewed more Republican. I actually think Trump is in worse shape than his polls show because his organization on the ground in key states is virtually non-existent; this will depress Republican turnout compared to expectations if he doesn't make radical improvements.

[ReRe]

21. Eff the polls...

Hillary has this election hands down. It's going to be a landslide, because DT is totally insane.

[broadcaster75201]

23. lol Uh huh nt

nt

[Cryptoad]

25. Ohhhh i think wet myself! geeez

[laserhaas]

26. WTF!...whole world has gone nuts

Presudent Drumph will never happen

[Doctor Jack]

27. So hillary improved in that poll

Looks like she is moving up again. A few other polls are showing similar results

[leftynyc]

30. Which is precisely WHY I posted

the poll. To show that even right wing crap like rass shows donnie is in trouble.

[Doctor Jack]

36. Ahh, fair enough

I thought you were just trying to stoke anxiety. My mistake

[leftynyc]

37. No - I'm as far from a concern

troll as you're going to find. The very first line in the article talks about the race tightening - that's because it had don the con up 4 last week. I guess it was too much expecting people to actually read the story before going ALL CAPS on my ass.

[asiliveandbreathe]

28. And then we have Nate Silver -

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Just the stats please, just the stats...

[fbc]

31. National polls are meaningless when the election will be decided by swing states

Show me a poll that has Trump winning Pennsylvania and I'll start to worry.

[sofa king]

41. Yeah, yeah.

This is all The Man has left in the bag, "likely voter" polls that fake a close race in order to keep the herd closed.

It's the floundering of a desperate swimmer being carried out to sea.