Democrats Have a 60 Percent Chance to Retake the Senate
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Source: The New York Times
The Upshots new Senate election forecast gives Democrats a 60 percent chance of winning control of the chamber in November.
Included within this 60 percent is a 17 percent chance that the Senate ends up evenly split with a Democratic vice president providing the tiebreaking vote.
By our count, the Democrats need to win five seats among the 11 most competitive races. (The Democrats will need to win six if Donald J. Trump wins the presidential race; we put Mr. Trumps chances of winning at only 11 percent). Ten of these seats are held by Republicans, and one by a Democrat, Harry Reid of Nevada, who is retiring.
That the Democrats are favored in this election should not be surprising.
Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/24/upshot/democrats-have-a-60-percent-chance-to-retake-the-senate.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0
onehandle
(51,122 posts)packman
(16,296 posts)[URL=.html][IMG][/IMG][/URL]
Chicago1980
(1,968 posts)I live in Ohio. Strickland is a very weak candidate. To make matters worse, his opponent ran three months of unanswered commercials blaming him for the Bush recession in Ohio. Sad.
No Vested Interest
(5,156 posts)candidates for state and national offices, as exemplified in the last gubernatorial race, the current Senate race, and consistently in Congressional and state races.
We know that gerrymandering is responsible for the lop-sided results in state-wide and Congressional races, and the Republican majority is unapologetic about it.
The Dem candidate in the 2nd Congressional district is a disgrace - no campaigning at all, and he was selected in a De. primary!
Very discouraging.
I'm still hoping to pull out Ohio for Hillary for President.
Turnout, turnout, turnout!
bucolic_frolic
(42,672 posts)what plans HRC campaign has for October
Obama was always on top of the news cycle, answering volleys quickly
and seeding the news cycle at the same time, and appearing seemingly
everywhere that mattered.
Will HRC accelerate in October? Will Obama and surrogates circulate
like honeybees? It's possible to help our cause.
cstanleytech
(26,080 posts)I think Hillary will have as rough a time as Obama has had at getting anything passed because the Republicans only goal is to try and hurt whatever Democrat is in office and the Republicans literally dont care if their actions at stonewalling legislation keep harming the country.
Ohioblue22
(1,430 posts)Unit 001
(59 posts)It is so frustrating that backward radical republicans control Congress. This must end for this country to move forward.
YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)is still very unlikely. If it does happen, it'll be because of a truly catastrophic "blowing it" by the right, i.e, rejection of their own party by right-wing voters.
However, note that Trump is so weird that reportedly many don't really associate him with "normal" Republican candidates, helping down-ballot Republicans distance themselves from his toxic effects.
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