A new 50-state poll shows exactly why Clinton holds the advantage over Trump

[TexasTowelie]

Source: Washington Post

With nine weeks until Election Day, Donald Trump is within striking distance in the Upper Midwest, but Hillary Clinton’s strength in many battlegrounds and some traditional Republican strongholds gives her a big electoral college advantage, according to a 50-state Washington Post-SurveyMonkey poll.

The survey of all 50 states is the largest sample ever undertaken by The Post, which joined with SurveyMonkey and its online polling resources to produce the results. The state-by-state numbers are based on responses from more than 74,000 registered voters during the period of Aug. 9 to Sept. 1. The individual state samples vary in size from about 550 to more than 5,000, allowing greater opportunities than typical surveys to look at different groups within the population and compare them from state to state.

The massive survey highlights a critical weakness in Trump’s candidacy — an unprecedented deficit for a Republican among college-educated white voters, especially women. White college graduates have been loyal Republican voters in recent elections, but Trump is behind Clinton with this group across much of the country, including in some solidly red states.

The 50-state findings come at a time when the average national margin between Clinton and Trump has narrowed. What once was a Clinton lead nationally of eight to 10 points shortly after the party conventions ended a month ago is now about four points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A number of battleground states also have tightened, according to surveys released from other organizations in recent days.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-new-50-state-poll-shows-exactly-why-clinton-holds-the-advantage-over-trump/2016/09/05/13458832-7152-11e6-9705-23e51a2f424d_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_no-name%3Ahomepage%2Fstory

---

[oberliner]

1. Texas is not a tossup

And it's frustrating that Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin are so close (with Trump actually up in Ohio).

[Stuart G]

2. But this poll says Texas is a tossup (actually, Clinton ahead in Texas section of poll)

What is to be believed??....We are 62 days away from the election..

Who knows what evil lurks within the hearts of men? (and women?)....

[oberliner]

12. If she wins Texas it will be a landslide of epic proportion

Which would be wonderful, but surprising.

[GOLGO 13]

3. Yeah, not buy anything about our chances in Texas.

[Stubborn]

4. Not buying this poll(s).

No way that Colorado is that close for Trump and no way Texas is a toss up. There are four or five other states that also don't make sense.

[pangaia]

5. How ANYBODY could not be beating trump by 30-40 points is beyond me.

[Tempest]

6. The answer is obvious

The MSM is controlling the narrative.

They are lying about Clinton and not reporting on Trump's lies and illegality.

[pangaia]

7. That is true, but, still...

All one has to do is watch him for 1 minute and it is clear he is a liar, a con artist and mentally, and emotionally disturbed.

I could also have phrased it, How could trump be within less than 30-40 points of ANYBODY else?

[Bernardo de La Paz]

11. Trump uses a hypnotic sing-song pattern and simple words. He lies but he repeats over and over. nt

[Tempest]

13. How can it be clear he's a liar and con artist?

If no one is calling him out for it?

[Bernardo de La Paz]

10. Trump intimidates with vexatious litigation. He sues anyone who gets close to his secrets. nt

[olddad56]

8. it is simple, there are a lot of uneducated white people in this country.

[pangaia]

14. I might even say unintelligent rather than uneducated...

both, i guess, as they are not mutually exclusive.

[etherealtruth]

9. He appeals to the basest elements in US society

Just guessing, I would say that there is a hate filled racist/bigoted core that makes up (at least) 10-20% of the country ... add to that nut job right wingers probably making up another 10-20% (with admitted overlap)