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mahatmakanejeeves

(57,243 posts)
Thu Sep 15, 2016, 09:31 AM Sep 2016

Retail Sales in U.S. Decline in August by More Than Forecast

Source: Bloomberg

Retail Sales in U.S. Decline in August by More Than Forecast

by Michelle Jamrisko

September 15, 2016 — 8:30 AM EDT

Updated on September 15, 2016 — 8:51 AM EDT

Sales at U.S. retailers dropped more than forecast in August, indicating a pause in recent consumer-spending strength that has carried the economy. ... Purchases declined 0.3 percent from July, the first drop in five months, after a revised 0.1 percent advance in the previous month, Commerce Department figures showed Thursday in Washington. The median projection of economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.1 percent decline. Excluding cars, sales unexpectedly fell 0.1 percent.

An easing in vehicle buying matched a lackluster performance elsewhere, with sales falling in seven of 12 retail categories outside autos. While low borrowing costs, cheap gasoline prices and steady job gains should keep a floor under demand, wage growth remains slow and sustained weakness in consumer spending could limit any second-half economic rebound.

“This is not a good report, for the most part,” said Chris Christopher, director of consumer economics at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. “The consumer’s doing relatively well -- even with these numbers, it’s one of the strongest parts of the economy. There’s modest inflation, real disposable income gains are relatively robust, and they feel pretty confident.”

The report represents one of the last major data releases before Federal Reserve policy makers meet next week to debate raising interest rates. While officials are split on the urgency to increase borrowing costs, most investors and economists expect the central bank to hold off this month.

Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-15/retail-sales-in-u-s-decline-in-august-by-more-than-forecast



“This is not a good report, for the most part,” said Chris Christopher, director of consumer economics at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. “The consumer’s doing relatively well -- even with these numbers, it’s one of the strongest parts of the economy. There’s modest inflation, real disposable income gains are relatively robust, and they feel pretty confident.”

Wait, what?

Supposedly pay per view, but it opened for me:

U.S. Retail Sales Fell in August

Decline was the first since March

By Eric Morath and Ben Leubsdorf

Eric.Morath@wsj.com
http://twitter.com/EricMorath

ben.leubsdorf@wsj.com
https://twitter.com/BenLeubsdorf

Sept. 15, 2016 8:33 a.m. ET

WASHINGTON—U.S. retail sales declined in August, a cautious signal about consumers’ ability to remain the primary driver of economic growth this year. ... Sales at retail stores, online and at restaurants fell 0.3% in August to a seasonally adjusted $456.32 billion last month, the Commerce Department said Thursday. It was the first decline in retail sales since March. Sales had increased 0.1% in July, a small upward revision from an initial flat reading.

Excluding autos, retail sales last month fell 0.1%. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected overall sales would fall 0.1% in August, but rise 0.2% when excluding autos.

Retail sales were up 1.9% in August from a year earlier, outpacing weak growth in consumer prices over the past year. But sales growth slowed from July’s annual increase of 2.4%.

Consumer spending has been the primary driver of growth so far this year, expanding at more than double the pace of the overall economy during the first half of 2016. Retail sales, a closely watched measure of consumer spending, showed strong gains this spring, before easing in recent months.
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Retail Sales in U.S. Decline in August by More Than Forecast (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2016 OP
People are breathless with fear bucolic_frolic Sep 2016 #1
We already own enough stuff, no place to put any more n/t splat Sep 2016 #2
Today is a big day for data releases. mahatmakanejeeves Sep 2016 #3
It's an election year Sherman A1 Sep 2016 #4
And while on the other side of the ledger we have this happening turbinetree Sep 2016 #5
If the Corps could raise the minimum wage AND lower their fabulous profits, perhaps we could afford, Sunlei Sep 2016 #6

bucolic_frolic

(42,992 posts)
1. People are breathless with fear
Thu Sep 15, 2016, 09:44 AM
Sep 2016

of a Trump presidency

I can feel the slowdown in eBay for two months

Household cash is going to political donations and saving
in the event of Trump calamity

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,243 posts)
3. Today is a big day for data releases.
Thu Sep 15, 2016, 09:45 AM
Sep 2016
Get excited, data nerds!

8:30a: Retail sales, PPI, jobless claims, current account

9:15a: Industrial production

10a: Business inventories

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
4. It's an election year
Thu Sep 15, 2016, 10:41 AM
Sep 2016

which does have a negative affect on sales from my experience in Retail. It's not the only reason, but one of them.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
6. If the Corps could raise the minimum wage AND lower their fabulous profits, perhaps we could afford,
Thu Sep 15, 2016, 07:36 PM
Sep 2016

to buy more things.

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