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riversedge

(70,176 posts)
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 07:49 PM Sep 2016

Gov. Abbott email warns supporters Texas could go blue in election

Source: kvue.com






Gov. Abbott email warns supporters Texas could go blue in election
http://www.kvue.com/news/politics/gov-abbott-email-leak-reveals-gop-fear-of-texas-turning-blue/321941365


Could Texas go blue?


MaryAnn Martinez, KVUE 10:59 AM. CDT September 20, 2016



On Monday, one of the most prominent Republicans in Texas has a warning for supporters that Texas could go blue this election.

Governor Greg Abbott is sounding the alarm, citing recent poll numbers.

Democrats couldn't be happier, especially because the email from Governor Abbott to supporters wasn't meant to be seen publicly. It was sent to the governor's donors, and now Democrats are sensing a real opportunity to push ahead.

..................................




“Any other Republican would be winning by at least 10 points in the state of Texas, but it's Donald Trump,” said Manuel Medina, the Bexar County Democratic Party chairman whose optimism is fed by raw data. “We have more than 1 million voters registered in Bexar County for the first time in the history of Bexar County. And you look at where they're registering at, and they're registering from places that traditionally vote democrat. It's younger people, it's Hispanic people, it's women.”

A third poll by Texas Lyceum shows Hillary Clinton within striking distance of Donald Trump, down just one point among registered voters..................

Read more: http://www.kvue.com/news/politics/gov-abbott-email-leak-reveals-gop-fear-of-texas-turning-blue/321941365



Could it go blue?? perhaps.
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Gov. Abbott email warns supporters Texas could go blue in election (Original Post) riversedge Sep 2016 OP
channeling lady violet "do you promise?" niyad Sep 2016 #1
Texas is not a red state but a non-voting state Gothmog Sep 2016 #2
Don't count on it texasfiddler Sep 2016 #3
Just a suggestion... hamsterjill Sep 2016 #14
Recommended. Texas will have to redouble efforts at voter supression to counter guillaumeb Sep 2016 #4
They just got slapped TexasBushwhacker Sep 2016 #13
I read that. guillaumeb Sep 2016 #16
If TX is not called for Trump immediately after the polls close, then Clinton has no reason to sweat LonePirate Sep 2016 #5
Translation Ligyron Sep 2016 #6
Well, exactly. LisaL Sep 2016 #7
Liar for this year, but really really soon Texas. onehandle Sep 2016 #8
Is Trump not giving enough bribes, I mean 'donations', to Abbot? keithbvadu2 Sep 2016 #9
Abbott can fuck himself Skittles Sep 2016 #10
+1 hamsterjill Sep 2016 #15
Would be sweeeeeeeet... czarjak Sep 2016 #11
Bwahahahahahahaha! Toldjahso! George Will; 20 July 2016: Grins Sep 2016 #12
Happy to read but still....Texas GOLGO 13 Sep 2016 #17

texasfiddler

(1,990 posts)
3. Don't count on it
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 08:04 PM
Sep 2016

Oh how I wish it were true. I will not hold my breath. I will vote a straight Democratic ticket like I always do knowing that all the rednecks around me are voting for the idiot.

hamsterjill

(15,220 posts)
14. Just a suggestion...
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 11:24 AM
Sep 2016

I don't vote straight party because if there is a contest without a Democratic candidate running, I vote for whomever is NOT the Republican.

Doubt it makes any difference, but it puts a smile on my face to do it just the same. If there is a Dem on the ballot, that person gets my vote; otherwise, it's a vote AGAINST the Repukes.

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
4. Recommended. Texas will have to redouble efforts at voter supression to counter
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 08:08 PM
Sep 2016

these likely Democratic voters.

keithbvadu2

(36,722 posts)
9. Is Trump not giving enough bribes, I mean 'donations', to Abbot?
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 09:10 PM
Sep 2016

It worked fine for dropping prosecution for Trump University.

Grins

(7,203 posts)
12. Bwahahahahahahaha! Toldjahso! George Will; 20 July 2016:
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 10:49 AM
Sep 2016

George "Don't call me a Republican!" Will; 20 July 2016:


"...In 2000, (Texas) Republican candidates at the top of the ticket — in statewide races — averaged about 60 percent of the vote. By 2008, they averaged less than 53 percent. And Republican down-ballot winners averaged slightly over 51 percent.

Texas is ...84.7 percent urban, making it the 15th-most-urban state. It has four of the nation’s 11 largest cities — Houston, San Antonio, Dallas and Austin. Texas’s growth is in its cities, where Republicans are doing worst.

Dallas has gone from solidly Republican to solidly Democratic. A recent poll showed Harris County (Houston), which is about 69 percent minority, with a majority identifying as Democrats. The San Antonio metropolitan area is about three-quarters minority. Travis County (Austin, seat of the state government, the flagship state university and a burgeoning tech economy attracting young people) voted 60.1 percent for President Obama in 2012.

Asian Americans, Texas’s fastest-growing minority by percentage, were about 3 percent of Texans in 2000 and about 4 percent in 2010. They are projected to be more than 8 percent in 2040.

In the 2014 gubernatorial election, Hispanics were 25 percent of Texas’s registered voters but only 19 percent of turnout. Two years later, Hispanics are 29 percent of registered voters. Now, suppose the person at the top of a Republican national ticket gives Hispanics the motivation to be, say, 25 percent of turnout. Although it is, Munisteri says, “theoretically possible” for Texas Republicans to win by increasing the white vote, this “political segregation” is, aside from being morally repulsive, politically “a sure-fire long-term losing proposition.”

The “blue wall” — the 18 states and the District of Columbia that have voted Democratic in at least six consecutive presidential elections — today has 242 electoral votes. Texas, which is not a brick in this wall, has 38 electoral votes. After the 2020 Census, it probably will have 40, perhaps 41. Were Texas to become another blue brick, the wall — even if the 2020 Census subtracted a few electoral votes from the current 18 states — would have more than the 270 votes needed to elect a president.

Since 1994 ...Texas has been the nation’s second-most-populous state. Munisteri notes that it is the Republican Party’s only large “anchor state.” The Democratic Party has two — California and New York, with a combined 84?electoral votes. Or three, if you count Illinois (20 electoral votes), which in the past four presidential elections has voted Democratic by an average of slightly more than 16 points."


Conclusion: Drip...drip...drip...


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