HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Latest Breaking News (Forum) » Evan McMullin takes the l...

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:27 PM

Evan McMullin takes the lead in latest Utah presidential poll

Source: The Salt Lake Tribune

The Emerson College poll, released Wednesday, found McMullin with 31 percent, followed by Republican Donald Trump at 27 percent and Democrat Hillary Clinton at 24 percent.

The last 20 polls found Trump ahead or in a statistical tie, and in this poll McMullin's results are at the edge of the 3.9 percent margin of error.

-snip-

Emerson College found that McMullin was strongest among younger voters, claiming 36 percent among those 18 to 34, while Trump and Clinton received 22 percent each. Trump beats McMullin, 35 percent to 24 percent among those who are 55 and older.



Read more: http://www.sltrib.com/news/4485415-155/evan-mcmullin-takes-the-lead-in



Polls from the Beehive State have been a bit all over the place lately, but the trend is definitely toward a statistical three-way tie. Just the fact that Utah -- a state where quite often there is not even a Democratic candidate for state leg. on the ballot in many districts -- is in play for Hillary

23 replies, 2332 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 22 replies Author Time Post
Reply Evan McMullin takes the lead in latest Utah presidential poll (Original post)
malchickiwick Oct 2016 OP
Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2016 #1
jberryhill Oct 2016 #2
Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2016 #7
jberryhill Oct 2016 #8
NobodyHere Oct 2016 #15
yardwork Oct 2016 #20
NobodyHere Oct 2016 #21
vdogg Oct 2016 #3
karynnj Oct 2016 #13
Massacure Oct 2016 #17
Nye Bevan Oct 2016 #18
karynnj Oct 2016 #19
malchickiwick Oct 2016 #4
bmstee01 Oct 2016 #6
BumRushDaShow Oct 2016 #10
geek tragedy Oct 2016 #9
malachi Oct 2016 #11
Jeff Murdoch Oct 2016 #16
maxsolomon Oct 2016 #23
roamer65 Oct 2016 #12
helpisontheway Oct 2016 #14
maxsolomon Oct 2016 #22

Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:27 PM

1. So.......

McMullin may win Utah?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:29 PM

2. Yep, taking with him Utah's electoral votes

 


....which should be "safe R".

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to jberryhill (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 06:01 PM

7. Isn't he Republican?

Not that Utah matters at all. It would be gratifying to see Trump lose it at least........

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #7)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 06:10 PM

8. It puts Trump further in the hole

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to jberryhill (Reply #8)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 08:29 PM

15. More of a leap sideways really

 

Now if Clinton could actually win the state...

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to NobodyHere (Reply #15)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 06:43 AM

20. Not a leap sideways. It's one less state for Trump.

In order to win, a candidate must win 270 Electoral College votes. If you add up all the states that Trump will definitely win (like Mississippi), he is far short. If he loses Utah, he's even further behind.

Hillary has many combinations of possible ways to win without Utah.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to yardwork (Reply #20)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 02:35 PM

21. It doesn't matter if Utah goes to Trump or McMullin

 

All that matters is that Hillary reaches 270.

If both candidates fail to reach that number then the house will select Trump anyways.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:31 PM

3. I'm okay with this.

Still gets Trump further away from 270.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to vdogg (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 08:09 PM

13. True, but it can't really help Hillary except in the margin

Of victory if he wins Utah and she wins.

The only scenario where he causes Trump not to get 270 is one where he gets to 270 with Utah and is short without it. However, that means that no one gets 270. This throws the race to Congress.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to karynnj (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 20, 2016, 11:37 PM

17. One thing to note about the scenario where no one gets 270 votes

If no candidate gets 270 votes, the election for president doesn't go to the full House of Representatives. Rather, each state's delegation in The House gets one vote. So the president is elected by winning 26 of 50 votes, and not 218 of 435.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to karynnj (Reply #13)

Thu Oct 20, 2016, 11:57 PM

18. If Trump can't win in Utah,

there is no way the election goes to the House. Trump losing Utah would be symptomatic of an overwhelming victory for Hillary. And an incredible embarrassment for him.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Nye Bevan (Reply #18)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 06:07 AM

19. I agree and the further behind he is the better nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:31 PM

4. Which would be a disaster for the GOP...

of epic proportion.

And the poll also suggests a trend that puts the state of Utah in play for Hillary, meaning that snow is starting to fall down in hell.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 05:55 PM

6. Yes! Go Mcmullin... In Utah only!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bmstee01 (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 06:55 PM

10. McMullin has been getting a good chunk of support in Alaska too. nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 06:13 PM

9. Hats off to the Mormons and people of Utah for actually showing some dedication

 

to principle.

They're leading the way to fight for what's left of their party's soul.

Meanwhile, is there a bigger group of phonies than white Christian evangelicals?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 07:09 PM

11. Great. He can be president of Utah.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malachi (Reply #11)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 09:10 PM

16. Probably the next governor.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malachi (Reply #11)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 03:10 PM

23. No far off from the Mormon ideal

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 08:00 PM

12. This is an utter disaster for GOP.

It means solid red states like UT, TX and others are in play.

This election really has shades of 1912 to it.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Wed Oct 19, 2016, 08:12 PM

14. If Hillary does not win then I want McMullen to win. Keeps

Trump further away from 270. 😀

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to malchickiwick (Original post)

Fri Oct 21, 2016, 03:10 PM

22. Evan McMullen, Egg McMuffin

Momos really don't like con men.

Unless they sell Herbalife.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread