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Joe Nation

(961 posts)
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:10 AM Nov 2016

2016 Florida Polls: Hillary Clinton Winning 28 Percent of Republican Early Voters

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by NancyBlueINOklahoma (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: Heavy.com


Published 11:28 pm EDT, November 1, 2016 Updated 8:38 am EDT, November 2, 2016 5 Comments By Brendan Morrow 23k

2016 Presidential Debate, second presidential debate, presidential debate st. louis
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at the second presidential debate at Washington University in St. Louis. (Getty)

With just one week left to go until the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are quite close in the polls, but a few pieces of data in particular are looking good for the Democratic candidate.

As of November 1st, Real Clear Politics’ polling average has Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton by 0.8 percentage points in Florida. That is a drop from this time last week, when Clinton was ahead of Trump in the state by an average of 2.4 percentage points.

But the latest poll that’s gaining a significant amount of attention is from William & Mary College, and it has Clinton ahead of Trump in Florida by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent. Most surprisingly, though, that poll has Clinton winning 28 percent of Florida’s Republican early voters. On the other hand, Donald Trump is winning just six percent of Democratic voters. Clinton is also winning early voters overall, with 55 percent of early voters saying they voted for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent saying they voted for Donald Trump. Among those who have not yet voted, though, this poll showed the race to be much tighter: 43 percent of these voters back Donald Trump, and 42 percent of them back Hillary Clinton.

Read more: http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/2016-election-florida-polls-polling-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-winning-losing-early-voters-voting-republicans/

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2016 Florida Polls: Hillary Clinton Winning 28 Percent of Republican Early Voters (Original Post) Joe Nation Nov 2016 OP
Without Florida's 29 Electoral College votes... Joe Nation Nov 2016 #1
With so many Republicans voting Hillary, we'll take GA, AZ, and OH. Latinos may deliver Texas too. Coyotl Nov 2016 #2
FL might be unique in that a lot of registered republicans are Hispanic (Cuban). LisaL Nov 2016 #3
Clinton doesn't need Florida to win Joe Nation Nov 2016 #6
I wonder if this trend will keep up across the country? Botany Nov 2016 #4
Unlikely. LisaL Nov 2016 #7
In florida, a lot of republicans are also woman..... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #9
holy crap! fantastic electron_blue Nov 2016 #5
The only downside to this poll is Joe Nation Nov 2016 #8
Duplicate topic - Locking OKNancy Nov 2016 #10

Joe Nation

(961 posts)
1. Without Florida's 29 Electoral College votes...
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:14 AM
Nov 2016

Trump has no path to victory at all. It makes it completely impossible for him to reach the 270 he needs.

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
2. With so many Republicans voting Hillary, we'll take GA, AZ, and OH. Latinos may deliver Texas too.
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:17 AM
Nov 2016

LisaL

(44,962 posts)
3. FL might be unique in that a lot of registered republicans are Hispanic (Cuban).
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:19 AM
Nov 2016

So don't count on that in other states.

Joe Nation

(961 posts)
6. Clinton doesn't need Florida to win
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:21 AM
Nov 2016

Trump absolutely has to have Florida or he is orange toast. The Hispanic community is coming out in droves for Clinton in Florida..

Botany

(70,294 posts)
4. I wonder if this trend will keep up across the country?
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:19 AM
Nov 2016

I see Trump getting crushed in a landslide. I'm willing to bet that millions of
republican women across the country will either vote for Hillary or a 3rd party
person.

LisaL

(44,962 posts)
7. Unlikely.
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:21 AM
Nov 2016

In FL a lot of republicans are Hispanic. Not so for other states.

getagrip_already

(14,255 posts)
9. In florida, a lot of republicans are also woman.....
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:25 AM
Nov 2016

I'm pretty sure other states have that phenomenon also.

electron_blue

(3,592 posts)
5. holy crap! fantastic
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:20 AM
Nov 2016

I have been wondering to myself how many registered republicans are voting D for President "just this once". I figured there were be a few percent, but never dreamed it would be this high. Significant if true.

Joe Nation

(961 posts)
8. The only downside to this poll is
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:22 AM
Nov 2016

that the Republicans are still voting Republican down ticket.

OKNancy

(41,832 posts)
10. Duplicate topic - Locking
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 09:26 AM
Nov 2016

Target smart/William and Mary poll already posted here last night: http://upload.democraticunderground.com/10141613267

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