Internal RNC Poll: Complacent Trump Voters May Cost GOP Control of Congress

[brooklynite]

Source: Bloomberg

A private survey conducted for the Republican National Committee and obtained by Bloomberg Businessweek contains alarming news for Republicans hoping to hold on to control of Congress in November: Most Trump supporters don’t believe there’s a threat that Democrats will win back the House. President Trump’s boasts that a “red wave” could increase Republican majorities appear to have lulled GOP voters into complacency, raising the question of whether they’ll turn up at the polls.

While most election forecasters, as well as strategists in both parties, believe Democrats are likely to win the 23 seats necessary to take control of the House of Representatives, Republican voters aren’t convinced, the survey shows.

According to the RNC study, completed on Sept. 2 by the polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, most voters believe Democrats will win back the House—just not Republican voters. Fully half of self-identified Republicans don’t believe Democrats are likely to win back the House. And within that group, 57 percent of people who describe themselves as strong Trump supporters don’t believe Democrats have a chance (37 percent believe they do).

...snip...

The internal RNC study finds that complacency among GOP voters is tied directly to their trust in the president—and their distrust of traditional polling. “While a significant part of that lack of intensity is undoubtedly due to these voters’ sentiments toward the President, it may also be partly because they don’t believe there is anything at stake in this election,” the authors write. “Put simply, they don’t believe that Democrats will win the House. (Why should they believe the same prognosticators who told them that Hillary was going to be elected President?)”

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-18/internal-rnc-poll-complacent-trump-voters-may-cost-gop-control-of-congress

[mpcamb]

1. Combine the complacent ones with the disgusted ones. That's a lot of votes.

We need to take advantage with a well planned program.

[Still In Wisconsin]

2. "President Trump's boasts that a "red wave" could increase Republican majorities..."

That's our best weapon in this election: Yam-face himself, and his inestimable hubris. The MAGA imbeciles believe elery word they hear on Fox News or that comes out of the Yam's anus-like mouth, so why would they not think a "red wave" is coming?

[yardwork]

3. Is it because they know that the fix is in?

Most Trump supporters are wealthy suburban white men. Do they know something we don't?

[bucolic_frolic]

7. The polls are wrong again?

I still say these people do lie to pollsters. They trust nothing except their own dominance. But I do have to be very cynical if I believe that.

[brooklynite]

14. Why then is RNC concerned?

[yardwork]

15. Well, they'd pretend to be if the fix was in, wouldn't they?

I'm just asking.

[lagomorph777]

22. Hmm, this is convoluted.

And possibly true...

[Wuddles440]

24. Agree!

Pundits continue to ignore the impact of Citizens United, gerrymandering, voter suppression, and, most importantly, Putin. Considering the environment, many RepubliCONS seem way too confident of their prospects in the mid-terms. I think that he has given them assurances that he will do whatever he can to keep them in power.

[bucolic_frolic]

4. Reassure those MAGAts at every opportunity, tell them there is nothing wrong

Fewer will vote, and more heads will explode after the election

[lagomorph777]

23. If I had any MAGAt friends, I'd tell them I'm all sad because of the Red Wave.

Fortunately I don't have any such friends.

[mcar]

5. Hoist on their own petards!

[SWBTATTReg]

6. It will be the overwhelming numbers of democratic voters who will regain the ...

house, not the gop voters failing to support rump and his cronies. Too many democratic voters saw what happened in 2016. Never again. The collection of voters (everyone else but those still still remaining in the
gop's grasp) will go to the polls in overwhelming numbers and send Congress and rump a signal that they can't ignore.

[yardwork]

9. That's what it will take, I agree.

The Republicans always vote because they want those tax cuts and government deregulation. They will vote to protect their privileges. We have to vote in greater numbers.

[knightmaar]

8. And something could still go wrong to shift people back to Republican.

I don't see this as cut and dried.

Besides, to combat "complacency", Trump, Breitbart and Fox News just need to go out their and tell the Republicans they have to work hard to outvote the millions of illegal voters coming from (pick one) Canada, MS13 or Puerto Rico.

[Achilleaze]

10. republicans don't give a shit that most Americans hate what they are doing

So they are not going to change and start being honest and transparent, or to actually advocate and implement the common-sense, fair policies that the vast majority of Americans want. No. They do their little surveys, and then strategize on how to twist facts and reality so that they can sucker voters. Now, of course, they have teamed up with russia to more effectively screw over Americans.

republican traitors deserve justice. Time they got it. Investigate, prosecute, convict, and then lock up the republican traitors who have betrayed America.

[yardwork]

16. Well said.

[unc70]

11. Disbelief of polls is common in RW comments online

RW comments on general sites like WRAL.com often ridicule the polling that predicted a Clinton victory. They use that failing to dismiss the polling of Trump's favorability.

[ROB-ROX]

12. I THINK THE GOP WILL STEAL THE ELECTION AGAIN

During the past years the voting poles have shown one thing and then the election results are different. The GOP has taken elections so many times without people realizing the illegal activity. The voting machines have been programmed to give the GOP what is required to win another election. Do not be surprised when the amazing election results are announced. The GOP people do not have to vote because big brother is in control...........SAD & CRAPPY

[honest.abe]

20. Not this time. Too many votes in too many places for GOP cheating to overcome.

The blue tsunami is coming!

[Bengus81]

13. Doesn't matter what their supposed "polls" say,Dems need to turn out like never before....

Don't buy any of their fake "Dems have it in the bag" BS. That's when the election FRAUD really hits high gear.

[BumRushDaShow]

17. All that needs to happen is

that tape of Drumpf hurling the "n-word" comes out and his deplorables will be hootin' and hollerin' and right there at the polls begging for more!

[LakeSuperiorView]

18. If they are stupid enough to believe that he is doing a good job...

They are stupid enough to believe in a "Red Wave".

[smb]

19. LOL -- the iDJiT's "Fake News" Propaganda Bites The GOP In The Butt nt

[Gothmog]

21. Leaked internal RNC polls show Trump supporters believe his 'red wave' hype -- and won't bother votin

Link to tweet

[Grins]

25. "Complacent Trump Voters"...?

Complacent? I hope that's not the correct word.

How about shamed? Embarrassed? Disgusted? Woke?

[Joseph Snyder]

26. Good

Let them stay home.

[Turbineguy]

27. Complacent.

Or what Democrats might call, Patriots.

[apnu]

28. Reminds me of 2010 all over again.

Except, this time we aren't seeing the Dems a sleep at the wheel, its the Republicans.

Like 2010, all the signs were there that a storm was coming and the Dems did little to nothing about it, ignoring it. And a lot of it was Dem voter apathy for a variety of reasons.

This year, its the GOP voters expressing apathy or falsely think things will turn out fine for them.

[Dawson Leery]

29. Deplorables believe Trump's bull nonsense about "fake news".

[Julian Englis]

30. Register and vote. And help others vote Democratic. Repeat. n/t