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Fri Aug 30, 2019, 03:00 PM

Inside Elections poll: Democrat McCready leads GOP's Bishop in NC redo election

Source: Roll Call

Democrat Dan McCready has a narrow advantage over Republican Dan Bishop heading into the final days of the Sept. 10 redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District, according to a new bipartisan poll for Inside Elections.

The survey, conducted from Monday through Wednesday by Harper Polling and Clarity Campaign Labs, showed McCready ahead of Bishop, 46 percent to 42 percent, with two third-party candidates receiving a combined 3 percent. Some 8 percent of voters were “unsure” and the survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.19 percentage points.

When voters who were leaning toward one candidate were included, McCready’s advantage extended to 49-44 percent.



Read more: https://www.rollcall.com/news/gonzales/inside-elections-poll-democrat-mccready-leads-gops-bishop-in-nc-redo-election



Both candidates claim they're ahead in internal polling.

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Reply Inside Elections poll: Democrat McCready leads GOP's Bishop in NC redo election (Original post)
brooklynite Aug 2019 OP
bucolic_frolic Aug 2019 #1
brooklynite Aug 2019 #2
bucolic_frolic Aug 2019 #3
deurbano Aug 2019 #4
brooklynite Aug 2019 #7
HeartlandProgressive Aug 2019 #5
paleotn Aug 2019 #6

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 04:01 PM

1. Progressive groups need to replicate 2018 and previous special elections

on the other hand there is little downside here for Democrats. A win might spell overconfidence going forward, a loss would be a wake up call, and, after all, it IS NC and how honest can the election be for Democrats?

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #1)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 04:08 PM

2. A cautionary point: this isn't a "progressive" district

This is a moderate swing district.

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #2)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 04:12 PM

3. Thanks, that is a given

But progressive groups did swing the western PA special election with their ground game and support from outside the district.

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #2)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 04:28 PM

4. My sister lives in this district, and she and her husband have been MAGAts from the start.

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Response to deurbano (Reply #4)

Sat Aug 31, 2019, 08:18 AM

7. Maybe you should offer to pick up her absentee ballot...

I understand Republicans think that's very helpful.

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 04:41 PM

5. fingers crossed!

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Aug 30, 2019, 09:53 PM

6. Gerrymandered district.

Heavy African American constituency east...Anson, Scotland, Robeson counties, offset by the heavily Rethug Charlotte exburb of Monroe / Union county. It's going to be tough. Those psychos in Monroe would vote for Satan if he had an R after his name, and did just that in 2016.

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